UEFA World Cup Playoffs - Probability of a home match with:

12 or fewer points - 0%
13 points - 0.59%
14 points - 25.71%
15 points - 87.05%
16 points - 99.61%
17+ points - 100%

* points in the 2nd place table (excluding matches against 6th place teams)

— We Global Football (@We_Global) October 12, 2021