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LongTimeLurker

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Everything posted by LongTimeLurker

  1. They are not adjusting for don't know responses and refusals if you check the graphic, so it probably will still be over 40% when adjusted for that.
  2. Meanwhile the potentially catastrophic damage of exiting under WTO rules would already have been done.
  3. Selfish if it means forcing the no deal scenario for short term party political advantage.
  4. Think the SNP might go for that though if it provides scope to eventually be open-ended. If the alternative is no deal it's not too difficult to build a narrative that it's in Scotland's best interest and the closest we can reasonably get to the Remain scenario we voted for under the circumstances even if it doesn't help Jeremy Corbyn's selfish quest to be PM.
  5. It's not all that different from what happened in England when the Southern and Isthmian Leagues wound up having overlapping catchments after the Isthmian league joined despite not being involved as a feeder initially when the Alliance Premier was formed. The good thing is that an all in pyramid finally appears to be happening. Hopefully the junior cup will be rejigged to be all in for tier 6 and below.
  6. The problem is that both of the possible fudges will be blocked by the DUP and/or Tory rebels thanks to Corbyn not putting the national interest first with his ridiculous six tests as he cares more about getting a general election than anything else. If you are looking at it from the EU's standpoint it's now time to prepare for no deal because there appears to be noone at Westminster to negotiate with who can steer an acceptable deal through parliament.
  7. Difficult to see a way out of this without a snap general election and an extension to allow another round of negotiations in the aftermath. From an EU standpoint it's maybe best to just let the clock run down now, take the measures needed to mitigate the biggest problems and just get on with it, so the example is set that leaving is a very bad move.
  8. The deal that was rumoured to be in place appears to have collapsed according to what's on twitter at the moment. Suspect the issue that ultimately hinged on will have been whether or not there can be a time limit on the all UK EU-UK customs union backstop as Theresa May needed to add that to stop the imminent wave of cabinet resignations.
  9. Mundell can resign as a government minister, not so clear on Davidson. The Scottish Tories are still Unionist in their mindset, but I could easily see Theresa May being just as willing as the Iron Lady was back in the 80s and Ted Heath was in the 70s to push NI on a course towards an eventual UI if she still had a solid majority. The DUP are very lucky to have the leverage they have. The whole backstop thing has been code for you can go easily with a reasonable trade deal as long as we only have to deal with sea borders. Otherwise it's got to be the customs union, which was what TM appeared to be close to agreeing to last week with the open-ended all UK backstop but Rees-Mogg and co would go bananas over that, unfortunately. So near but yet so far.
  10. An MEP for 34 years, so only a non-entity because the European parliament was ignored by the British media due to the outdated imperial twilight attitudes that have got us into this mess. The bit about a convergence in the language used by Arlene F and Barnier is worth watching. Still think this is going over the edge of the cliff due to Corbyn's hard left agenda and Rees-Mogg and co's far right one, but good to see a glimmer of hope.
  11. Hopefully this guy knows what he is talking about: https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/theresa-already-agreed-brexit-transition-13413421
  12. No he gives it to Israel and it's a little worrying that you don't understand the difference. Noam Chomsky and Norman Finkelstein are examples of Jewish intellectuals who would probably make similar comments.
  13. Saw an article somewhere yesterday that mentioned that 450 million of the initial billion has already been spent in the context of direct rule.
  14. The sort of thing the Scottish Tories could also be bleeding out of Westminster right now in a way that would probably boost their popularity at the expense of the SNP if they had listened to Murdo Fraser. Sadly I think Rees-Mogg and co are going to sink this sensible open-ended soft Brexit compromise, but fingers crossed. Well played DUP if it works.
  15. It's all about the customs union. If the entire UK stays in as the backstop then both the EU and Arlene are happy. Problem for Theresa May is whether she can hold her party together on that.
  16. Perhaps worth bearing in mind that the SNP didn't advocate using the Euro post-independence during the Referendum. They have been Euroskeptic for around 20 years or so now and at least some people were happy to vote Yes because they thought it meant leaving the EU.
  17. https://www.scotsman.com/news/opinion/tom-peterkin-the-english-tories-who-care-more-about-brexit-than-union-1-4813350 ... Still in Northern Ireland, 86 per cent of Leave voters say that a Yes vote in a second Scottish independence referendum is an acceptable price for EU withdrawal. Given that Leave voters in Northern Ireland are overwhelmingly of Unionist persuasion, these findings make one wonder quite what kind of Union it is that they actually believe in. As one of the academics behind the study – Professor Ailsa Henderson of Edinburgh University – put it: “There is evidence that Brexit is dislodging long-held red lines about the Union. If even Unionists in Northern Ireland care less about the territorial integrity of the UK than pursuing Brexit, then it really raises questions about the type of Union we’re in, and indeed what Unionism means.” ...
  18. The DUP seem to be intent on preparing the ground for an eventual UI so would have thought you should be pleased. Ultimately it only boils down to the DUP if the Lib Dems and SNP were to both play selfish politics rather than do the sensible thing and get some sort of rational deal in place rather than contributing to the worst case scenario. Not hopeful on the SNP voting with the Tories in what would effectively be a confidence motion, so it's probably only the Lib Dems can avert the catastrophe of a no deal exit. Rees Mogg and co will probably still send things over the edge, unfortunately.
  19. Guess Larkhall can claim to be the oldest club playing junior football then, while East Craigie can claim to be the longest running junior club?
  20. Was Ginaro I think on that one, but sounds sensible. Then you can also make the lower set of standards the entry point for regional Qualifying Cup style preliminary rounds to the main Scottish cup without giving the clubs involved full membership and all the money that flows from that.
  21. The cover installed for 100 at Golspie Sutherland's ground and accepted for licensing: is a prime example of what could be tightened up a bit by the licensing committee to avoid a massive influx. The problem for them is if they tighten up too much is that the resulting cull of the existing full members would start to include some Lowland League clubs like Civil Service Strollers:
  22. That would throw the cat amongst the pigeons in a big way and arguably in a very good way from a pyramid standpoint, but if the minutes were circulated after the meeting they should have been amended to reflect what actually happened. Were you at the meeting or is this second hand information?
  23. Fortified co-op land sounds like Sauchie back in the 1970s. Have no idea why people get their knickers in a twist like this over whether it's junior or senior, if they aren't one of the officeholders that is desperately trying to keep their blazer. It's all just fitba and Bo'ness United vs Crossgates Primrose is still Bo'ness United vs Crossgates Primrose.
  24. Can they get away with that last bit when it's constantly being reviewed? Don't think so. Also, think that guy is being a bit pessimistic where new clubs are concerned. They don't need to be all that much more stringent to put it beyond reach of most of the NRSJFA and smaller district clubs in the east and west without causing the likely tier 6 promotion challengers any insurmountable challenges. If they go overboard on this to the extent Bo'ness and Bonnyrigg have an issue it will also cause major problems for a lot of Lowland and Highland league clubs. Best to wait and see.
  25. Think it is obvious that is pretty much the inevitable outcome of 160 former junior clubs charging over the horizon all at once towards a club licensing scheme that has set the bar low enough for the likes of Golspie Sutherland to still get in. What's not so clear is whether this guy has any inside info or is just predicting what is likely to happen.
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