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Jeremiah Cole

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Posts posted by Jeremiah Cole

  1. A new epidemiological study(preprint) concludes that the fatality of Covid19 even in the Chinese city of Wuhan was only 0.04% to 0.12% and thus rather lower than that of seasonal flu, which has a mortality rate of about 0.1%. As a reason for the overestimated fatality of Covid19, the researchers suspect that initially only a small number of cases were recorded in Wuhan, as the disease was probably asymptomatic or mild in many people.

  2. 6 minutes ago, Bonksy+HisChristianParade said:

    My bird has been sent home today because they are too overstaffed. Surely a first for the NHS to be overstaffed 😂

    One of my mates lives next to 2 nurses in Paisley who work in intensive care

    They were both off at the weekend

    They’ve only got 1 person in intensive care in Paisley with coronavirus. 
     

    He’s 86, just had a hip replacement and was in intensive care anyway 

  3. 27 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

    Then stop rolling out their models as fact.

    They spread fear and have all been wrong.

    The latest "6 months until UK returns to normal" helps absolutely nobody

     The authors of the British Imperial College study, who predicted up to 500,000 deaths, are again reducing their forecasts. After already admitting that a large proportion of test-positive deaths are part of normal mortality, they now state that the peak of the disease may be reached in two to three weeks already.

  4. 13 minutes ago, Turkmenbashi said:

    It is rarely the experts that role these things or as fact. It is often the media who report things in the sensationalist way.

    Lets face it, 6 months seems conservative. While it be the case nobodies knows how this is going to play out so there absolutely no point in predicting. Restrictions at some point in the next month or so and then we will make new models based on what happens then.

    Also without the models we would probably be still going down the herd immunity strategy, which would in all likelihood mean many more deaths here.

    They are still going down the herd immunity route in Sweden.....

  5. he latest influenza report of the German Robert Koch Institute of March 24 documents a „nationwide decrease in activity of acute respiratory diseases“: The number of influenza-like illnesses and the number of hospital stays caused by them is below the level of previous years and is currently continuing to decline.

     

    In Switzerland, the excess mortality due to Covid19 is apparently still zero.

  6. 2 minutes ago, TheScarf said:

    My parents are jn their mid 60s and only 1 of them will go to the shop or walk the dog at the moment. 

    The wife and I are in our 30s and do the same. You don't need 2 grown adults to go to the shop.  The less people outside, the quicker this fucking shite situation can be over. 

    No it won’t. It won’t make a blind bit of difference 

  7. Sweden has so far pursued the most liberal strategy in dealing with Covid19, which is based on two principles: Risk groups are protected and people with flu symptoms stay at home. „If you follow these two rules, there is no need for further measures, the effect of which is only marginal anyway,“ said chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell. Social and economic life will continue normally. The big rush to hospitals has so far failed to materialize, Tegnell says.

  8. 4 minutes ago, D.A.F.C said:

    Testing should be done at home or away from the hospitals, ideally near a doctors surgery or facilitated by trained people like the army.

    And then we quarantine loads of a- symptomatic NHS staff who test positive, thus putting the NHS under more strain? 

  9. 18 minutes ago, D.A.F.C said:
    21 minutes ago, Jeremiah Cole said:
    A hospital doctor in the Spanish city of Malaga writes on Twitter that people are currently more likely to die from panic and systemic collapse than from the virus. The hospital is being overrun by people with colds, flu and possibly Covid19 and doctors have lost control.

    Which is why testing is vital.

    In Switzerland, some emergency units are already overloaded simply because of the large number of people who want to be tested. This points to an additional psychological and logistical component of the current situation.

  10. 2 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

    More people will be denied treatment or screenings for other illnesses if the hospitals are overflowing with Covid19 patients. What is it about this you don't get?

    But they aren’t overflowing with coronavirus patients and they never will be

    what is it about this point that you don’t get?

     

     

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