Jump to content

AgainstAllOdds

Gold Members
  • Posts

    12
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by AgainstAllOdds

  1. 16 hours ago, FortescueFotheringhamSmyth said:

    Interesting. I think stats like this are worth keeping an eye on, but the numbers for teams at the very top of the table will usually be skewed by a 20/1+ win. 

    I don't have the Premiership stats, but I'd guess St.Mirren's win in the East End of Glesca would've seen them top the table. Ross might've been 2nd on the back of their win over Celtic. Stats would be easy enough to google. The Racing Post publishes them every Saturday in the season.

    In the NFL and the NRL & AFL Down Under the similar stats can be more informative in competitions where clubs are far more evenly matched. Though clubs with the most fans will still generally be shorter odds than they should be, while poorly supported teams may be overpriced. 

    What you really want is clubs with huge amounts of fans from areas full of neds, chavs, bogans, jackeens, rubes, etc. Collingwood, South Sydney, the Raiders and two clubs in Scotland spring to mind.

     

    **Edit** It Sez Ere (as Billy Bragg would say) on "The Punters Page", the 1st site that came up on Google, that Ross County were top in the Premiership. Maybe not surprising, as they won at Hibs, beat Aberdeen and 6 of their 11 wins were away. Rangers were 2nd. Nobody else in profit. St.Mirren would've made you a small loss (!?), even though 7 of their 11 wins were away. I can't see that. If they were 12/1 to win at Celtic, they'd only have needed to be an average of 6/4 for the other 10 wins to break even. Must have been bigger than 6/4 on average, even though they didn't beat Hibs or Aberdeen.

    Yes, true one big win does swing it a bit. 

    Interesting to know that Ross County were top of the Scottish Premiership. Not quite sure how St Mirren have stayed negative! 

    I suppose this is a good way to look back and see which bigger sides really underperformed. In this case, Celtic... 

  2. MOST PROFITABLE

    1. Cadiz
    2. Granada
    3. Leicester

    LEAST PROFITABLE

    1. Parma
    2. Torino
    3. Valladolid

    This post ranks how profitable each team in the top 5 European leagues are if you were place a 1 point stake on them in every match: 
    https://bitedge.com/blog/most-profitable-soccer-teams-to-bet-on-2021/ 

    Interestingly, if you backed a draw in every German Bundesliga match last season you'd end up over 19 points up. Whereas, backing the draw in the Premier League and Ligue 1 would leave you 48 and 33 points down respectively. 

    A lot of the bigger teams don't allow for much profit across the season, which I guess shows the value of value! Finding underdogs which will win is a much better strategy than backing a team like Liverpool (5 points down), Man City (0.9 points down) or PSG (3 points down).

    Anyone manage to back Granada to beat Barcelona at 20.98?! 🤣

  3. 1 hour ago, RossBFaeDundee said:

    My definite favourite of the bunch though is 'Four Days In October', about the first 3-0 comeback in baseball playoffs history, between big rivals Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees.

    I haven't watched this one, but agree the series is really well done. Sonicsgate was my favourite from the ones I have watched. It shows how the Seattle SuperSonics came under new ownership and were pushed towards a move to Oklahoma City. The legal battle and fan reaction (and sheer audacity of the owners) makes it a thriller. 

    1 hour ago, ArabGaz said:

    I’m not a rugby fan but ‘Living with Lions’ about the ‘97 British Lions tour to South Africa is excellent. 

     

    Anything with behind-the-scenes style footage always looks good to me!

    1 hour ago, dundeefc1783 said:

    I believe in miracles about Nottingham Forest is a great watch. Brian Clough was some man

    Brian Clough was a hero on so many levels - the stories about him are always hilarious. The Damned United was brilliant - I thought Michael Sheen played him superbly (although I do realise this is a film and not a documentary).

  4. 16 minutes ago, Flybhoy said:

    BT Sport and ESPN have done quite a few good ones 

    Too Good to go Down, the tale of the decline of Man Utd post Matt Busby and their subsequent relegation in 1974 and gradual recovery under Tommy Docherty. 

    Two Tribes, about the two great sides, Liverpool and Everton of the 1980's amidst the juxtaposition of the social and economical crises that was the city of Liverpool then and how the success of the football teams along with some marvellous musical, acting and playwriting talent saved the sanity of the cities people amidst the backdrop of industrial decline, riots, migration from the city, the militant Labour group being ostracized from the party and tragedies such as Heysel and Hillsborough. Brilliant contributions in particular from Derek Hatton, Pete Wylie and David Morrisey.

    Also some pretty brilliant biopics of Jimmy Greaves and the Wimbledon 'Crazy Gang' in recent years by BT Sport. 

    Brilliant thanks, will add these to my list. 

    Yes, the ESPN ones on the list in the original post are all really enjoyable. The 30 for 30 series they put together really delivered some great content, which I would recommend if you haven't already seen. There's a lot of American sport stories, but knowing little about these sports meant I didn't know the ending (in some cases) and was gripped. 

  5. Just now, sparky88 said:

    Give the players more money and they will play in the ESL.  And they shouldn't be blamed for that. 

    I take your point, but these players are multi-millionaires. They will surely have some integrity (at least some of them) and see how bad this is for football.

    The ESL not allowing them to play international football is also a breach of contract from the club's side (as per the Athletic article below), so effectively allows the players to walk away should it happen.

    Not for a minute saying "I think the players will strike" but you can see the direction it's heading. 

    image.thumb.png.6549e124acbbb4cb10f7435a444e852c.png

  6. 19 minutes ago, sparky88 said:

    I can just imagine Joel Glazer saying 'We are going to have to call the whole thing off, Premier League captains think the ESL is a bad idea'. 

    If the players went against playing the ESL I feel like someone somewhere would have to take notice.

    Isn't the whole premise of this thing that the best players, the best teams, the best stadiums are all there? If the players don't back it and won't play the ESL falls down. 

  7. I came across this list of sporting documentaries and thought it was worth posting here - https://bitedge.com/blog/best-sports-documentaries/

    A few corkers in there, especially Senna and Salute which are well worth a watch if you have the time.

    Surprised they missed out Four Year Plan (the QPR behind-the-scenes one) and Diego Maradona.

    Any others you'd add to this? 

    Really enjoyed watching these and would love to continue with more high quality sports docs!

  8. On 19/04/2021 at 13:15, senorsoupe said:

    It's a decent scam he's got going.  Convince clubs to give him massive contract based on his reputation, work hard for 1 season, then be useless, get sacked, get a massive payout and then wait for the next club to do the same

    I'm genuinely convinced he does this.

    The way he acted towards the end of his second reign at Chelsea - think they were bottom half around Xmas time - and towards the end of his Man Utd time. It's like he's trying to get sacked. He just says all the wrong things and loses the dressing room.

    Works every time to be fair.

×
×
  • Create New...