Confidemus Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Know what's pretty tragic? Confi is always accusing H_B of dedicating his life to this place. Well H_B averages 14 posts per day, Confi averages 9. Hardly a huge differential. At his current rate of posting confi will have 32000 posts by the time he's been here a decade. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 ??? A dog with a microphone? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 ??? A dog with a microphone? Investigative Scrappy Doo. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Investigative Scrappy Doo. What? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaven Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Haha. Id forgot what he looked like. Your too kind by the way. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 What? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Eh? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Eh? You, my friend are Scrappy Doo. An irritating little tit, full of bravado, apeing the big boys. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUFC90 Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 He's still none the wiser What a tit. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P45 Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 I don't know if this has been posted but Oddschecker has the percentage of bets placed on the referendum at 58% on Yes and 42% on No. The fact that No still is the massive favourite means that fewer people are betting big cash on No. Maybe to make the odds look favourable towards No. That or lots of people are putting small bets on Yes. Either way more people are betting Yes than No. It would be interesting to see only Scottish bets. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H_B Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 (edited) It's the opposite. No has attracted the big hitters. The amount of cash bet on No will dwarf that on Yes, though the volume likely won't. Very few people will put £5 on No at 1/7 but may well be happy to chuck away a fiver on Yes at their odds. I'd expect the amount of money on each outcome to be around 80/20 or higher No v Yes based on the huge sums bookmakers have publicly stated they've taken from No betting big hitters Edited July 14, 2014 by H_B 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 I don't know if this has been posted but Oddschecker has the percentage of bets placed on the referendum at 58% on Yes and 42% on No. The fact that No still is the massive favourite means that fewer people are betting big cash on No. Maybe to make the odds look favourable towards No. That or lots of people are putting small bets on Yes. Either way more people are betting Yes than No. It would be interesting to see only Scottish bets. It's probably self-deluded Nats who believe the hype about their chances. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecto Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Ladbrokes took a 10k bet on a Yes win at 9/2, that was on Saturday, No still 1/7 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P45 Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 It's the opposite. No has attracted the big hitters. The amount of cash bet on No will dwarf that on Yes, though the volume likely won't. Very few people will put £5 on No at 1/7 but may well be happy to chuck away a fiver on Yes at their odds. I'd expect the amount of money on each outcome to be around 80/20 or higher No v Yes based on the huge sums bookmakers have publicly stated they've taken from No betting big hitters That is what I was saying. The No bet is getting big cash from a fewer number of people to weight the odds to make it look like No is clear favourite, when in reality the bookies are taking less bets on it. The odds don't give a clear picture of the way people will vote. That is assuming people will bet the way they will vote. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H_B Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 I'm not sure you understand betting. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
P45 Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 I'm not sure you understand betting. Well as I am agreeing with you about it then you don't either. Have you ever made a point on here that hasn't been shot down as total bullshit? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H_B Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 Well as I am agreeing with you about it then you don't either. Have you ever made a point on here that hasn't been shot down as total bullshit? You aren't agreeing with me, you are just too dumb to realise it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 As much as I side can be "backed in" in betting, it's still based on probability. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doulikefish Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 I'm not sure you understand betting. We need lex to explain it all 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael W Posted July 14, 2014 Share Posted July 14, 2014 You need a big stake to make betting on No worthwhile. Depending on the bookie you're looking at £500-700 to make a profit of £100 - there's no value whatsoever in it and for most people it simply isn't worth it. Yes is the value bet. I expect the odds to narrow in August as the referendum approaches, so there's a decent chance of trading it out as well if you so wish. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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