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Latest Polls and Latest Odds


Lex

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If the race is getting closer and closer (as the separatists would have us believe) why are the odds at the bookies on Yes drifting at 11/2 and shortening on No at 1/10? What do they know that we don't?

#followthemoney

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Surely their headline suggest the gap is shortening? Or am I missing something?

looks like it, but it does appear both sides are up

PS I deleted my last post in error

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Surely their headline suggest the gap is shortening? Or am I missing something?

I think the headline means the gap has shortened despite support for Yes and No increasing.

I was expecting the gap to shorten slightly at some point as No have been doing very well in the polls recently. Ideally it wouldn't happen at all but realistically it was almost inevitable.

There's been a pattern the whole way through the campaign though. Yes shortens the gap giving Yes supporters false hope and then No pulls away again.

Edit: This is apparently the results...

Yes 38% (+4) No 47 (+2) Don't Know 14 (-7)

That only adds up to 99% so Yes or No could possibly have increased slightly further.

Of those still to decide which way they will vote, they said they were more likely to vote No by a ratio of 2:1.

Edited by thepundit
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Is this a serious question?

Bookies odds don't follow likelihood of victory, they follow the numbers of people betting on one outcome or another.

If enough people were betting on Yes it would show a Yes win as an odds on bet despite the polls being the other way round.

Christ almighty. What the hell do they teach kids at schools these days?

*ucking modern studies.

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Is this a serious question?

Bookies odds don't follow likelihood of victory, they follow the numbers of people betting on one outcome or another.

If enough people were betting on Yes it would show a Yes win as an odds on bet despite the polls being the other way round.

Christ almighty. What the hell do they teach kids at schools these days?

Totally wrong.

More bets have been placed on YES to win. 58.38% of all bets on indyref have been placed on YES.

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