Mr. Bojangles Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Ipsos Mori now 49/51. Fucking hell, if youGov does as rumoured then we wil lfinish the campaign with youGov, TNS and Ipsos-Mori as the most yes friendly pollsters What's the rumour? Went back a couple of pages and didn't see anything (though I am prone to selective blindness). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 All to play for again! Ha ha. Whats bet you gov tonight will be 50 50. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kejan Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 What a bloody ride this. Looking at Panelbase 48/52 - yet somehow downbeat, then that ISPSO beast up 7pts although returns 49-51 - making me guidy again. Roll on tomorrow when this all done and dusted. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 What's the rumour? Went back a couple of pages and didn't see anything (though I am prone to selective blindness). Someone mentioned that it was 49/51 - but then it might have been confused with Ipsos 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMDP Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Someone mentioned that it was 49/51 - but then it might have been confused with Ipsos That was me - sorry, I was talking about Ipsos-Mori. Had heard the rumour it was 49/51 earlier today. -2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MangoBroccoli Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 If it was tossed 10 times, there might be 10 heads. Or 10 tails. Or some number of heads and tails adding up to 10. Maybe. If you toss 10 coins or 100 coins or 1000 coins, it will always settle around 50/50. I think that's regression to the mean (I hope it is, I bloody love that phrase) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Near 100% of yes will vote. Not sure that is the same for No.. But heh, im just hopeful 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H_B Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 You can f**k off onto my ignore list as well. 6 months later than I should have done. I'll try to cope 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Mon the rain. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
banana Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 If you toss 10 coins or 100 coins or 1000 coins, it will always settle around 50/50. I think that's regression to the mean (I hope it is, I bloody love that phrase) Not always. The more coins you toss the more likely, though. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crùbag Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Good news from Mori who've always had Yes really low. Interesting bit is that Yes is up 7 and No down 7. What a swing. Go for it! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Pleasing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Good news from Mori who've always had Yes really low. Interesting bit is that Yes is up 7 and No down 7. What a swing. Go for it! The only thing we have to fear is fear itself. WE CAN WIN THIS! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaven Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 I cannot believe how many people seem to be conceding defeat before the main vote actually starts. This is what the NO campaign want ,they want to make you think that YES have no chance so you will not go out and cast a vote. Keep the faith and believe and make damned sure every yes voter you know gets out and casts their vote :-) When people see the flood of YES voters heading to the polls, they will join in. Don't worry about that. We are going to be independent come Friday morning. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anonapersona Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 That's pretty much it then. Yes has the momentum again, right when it counts the most. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE KING Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-09-17/twitter-suggests-scotland-going-solo 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Looking at data tables for Ipsos: IN terms of age groups, yes tanking No up to 55+ age bracket. In terms of employment status: +6 full time working, +3 part time working, +11 not working and -17 retired. In terms of working sector +2 in private sector and +14 in public sector. In terms of nat id Scot/more scot than brit/equal/more brit than scot/ brit it goes:+70/+28/-43/-51/-78. Ipsos also confirms that lower income households more likely to vote yes and that while Yes has a 1 point lead in urban areas it gets slaughtered in rural areas by a good 14 points. Folk renting, either private or council much more likely to vote yes than home owners, though one thing that did surprise me is that folk with children in their households are more likely to vote yes than those without. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 Looking at data tables for Ipsos: IN terms of age groups, yes tanking No up to 55+ age bracket. In terms of employment status: +6 full time working, +3 part time working, +11 not working and -17 retired. In terms of working sector +2 in private sector and +14 in public sector. In terms of nat id Scot/more scot than brit/equal/more brit than scot/ brit it goes:+70/+28/-43/-51/-78. Ipsos also confirms that lower income households more likely to vote yes and that while Yes has a 1 point lead in urban areas it gets slaughtered in rural areas by a good 14 points. Folk renting, either private or council much more likely to vote yes than home owners, though one thing that did surprise me is that folk with children in their households are more likely to vote yes than those without. So its the selfish oldies that could ruin it for the future 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redvine Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 I'm hoping the yougov poll isn't something dramatically different. Not that it's likely to affect many people at this late stage. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 17, 2014 Share Posted September 17, 2014 I'm hoping the yougov poll isn't something dramatically different. Not that it's likely to affect many people at this late stage. As NWA once said, f**k the polls. We've got this. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.