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Russian invasion of Ukraine


Sonam

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One for the Kremlinologists - Surovkin has been replaced as commander of Russian forces in Ukraine by Gerasimov.  Surovkin and two others (commander and deputy commander of Russian ground forces) will operate under Gerasimov, who is the Chief of the General Staff.

Lots of different reports from Soldar about Ukrainian troops being captured or not - seems difficult to now what's going on other than a Russian advance there.  Prigozhin has been photographed in what he claims is Soledar and has been quoted as saying only Wagner fighters were part of the fight, all part of the politicking and fight for influence.

In other news Poland will send a company of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine, as part of an international coaltiion of donors.  President Duda of Poland met with Zelensky in Lviv yesterday where the shipment was finalised.  Poland has previously delivered hundreds of T-72 tanks to Ukraine.

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2 hours ago, ICTChris said:

One for the Kremlinologists - Surovkin has been replaced as commander of Russian forces in Ukraine by Gerasimov.  Surovkin and two others (commander and deputy commander of Russian ground forces) will operate under Gerasimov, who is the Chief of the General Staff.

Lots of different reports from Soldar about Ukrainian troops being captured or not - seems difficult to now what's going on other than a Russian advance there.  Prigozhin has been photographed in what he claims is Soledar and has been quoted as saying only Wagner fighters were part of the fight, all part of the politicking and fight for influence.

In other news Poland will send a company of Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine, as part of an international coaltiion of donors.  President Duda of Poland met with Zelensky in Lviv yesterday where the shipment was finalised.  Poland has previously delivered hundreds of T-72 tanks to Ukraine.

Laughed at that!

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13 hours ago, ICTChris said:

 ....Lots of different reports from Soldar about Ukrainian troops being captured or not - seems difficult to now what's going on other than a Russian advance there....

Not great if you are one of the soldiers on the ground but the setback at Soledar seems to have galvanised NATO into action:

 

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30 minutes ago, jagfox said:

Have the Russians ran out of missiles? Thankfully not heard of many strikes on civilian and infrastructure targets recently.

They hit a maternity hospital in Kherson the other day.  They hit a market in Kharkiv region last week as well.  Sadly, these strikes are all too common - things that would have generated headlines early in the war are kind of accepted as normal now.  

Ukraine are having more success shooting down the missiles and drones but some do get through.  Germany provided some Gepard anti-aircraft guns which have helped and a lot of other NATO countries have sent anti-aircraft material.  The Patriot missile batteries that are coming in a few months will make a huge difference as well. 

I'd have to look up the figures but Iran apparently sold a few thousand Shahed drones to Russia and around 6-700 have been used so far.  There are estiamtes going about on how many cruise missiles the Russians have used or have left, it's difficult to really know.  What is confirmed is that Russia are using less artillery in their offensives - in Bakhmut and surrounding areas they are firing significant less artillery at Ukrainian positions than they did in the summer Donbas offensive.  Of course, running out of shells is going to impact the Ukrainians as well, they have already had issues getting new ammunition for their old Soviet guns, and production capacity of NATO shells isn't high enough to meet the demand.

Edited by ICTChris
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Usually strikes are posted on Pro-Ukrainian/ Ukrainian sites. Not been so many last few days. Not sure if it is a switch in strategy or they are eventually running low on stocks?

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The Ukrainians were claiming to be shooting down 100% of Iranian drones being launched at the very end of last year. Saw this recently. No idea how accurate it is:

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but the suggestion appeared to be that the Russian's ability to go after the Ukrainian power grid to the extent they had been was almost exhausted.

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Glad it wasn't me carrying out the operation after a night on the vino. #shakinallover

An X-ray said to show an unexploded grenade wedged inside the chest of a Ukrainian soldier.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/12/surgeons-remove-unexploded-grenade-lodged-in-ukrainian-soldiers-chest

Edited by eindhovendee
add a pic
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Didn't realise there's a Russian presidential election in March next year.  Normally candidates announce their candidacy in October, properly starting the campaigns. An ex Russian politician on C4 news thinks that if Ukraine manages to sever the Donbass-Crimea land bridge Putin's fucked. I suppose he could declare martial law and postpone it, but even if he loses, his replacement is likely to be someone even further to the Nationalist Right, unless Moscow starts losing the propaganda war internally with the death rate of conscripts seeping into public knowledge, and likely expansion of mobilisation.

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16 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

Didn't realise there's a Russian presidential election in March next year.  Normally candidates announce their candidacy in October, properly starting the campaigns. An ex Russian politician on C4 news thinks that if Ukraine manages to sever the Donbass-Crimea land bridge Putin's fucked. I suppose he could declare martial law and postpone it, but even if he loses, his replacement is likely to be someone even further to the Nationalist Right, unless Moscow starts losing the propaganda war internally with the death rate of conscripts seeping into public knowledge, and likely expansion of mobilisation.

:Putin is more a Tsar than a president. No way he loses an election IF it takes place. Even Navalny is a right wing nutjob, although he might not lst too long anyway. 

Alexei Navalny: Concern grows for health of jailed Putin critic

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