BeverleyHills
-
Posts
165 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Store
Posts posted by BeverleyHills
-
-
36 minutes ago, glensmad said:
I saw this theory on the Premiership relegation thread, and thought it was a useful non-scientific way of working out what might be the promotion threshold.
Glencairn have been in this league for 8 of the past 9 nine seasons, under a 26-game set-up.
During those 8 seasons, the highest points total for the 3rd place team was 53 points (2015-16). Divide 53 by 26 games, and multiply that by 30 games, and that would give you 62 points for promotion this season.
As I've said, it's non-scientific, and there are other factors built in this season like the bottom three losing a lot of games and consequntially the promotion contenders getting more points. But it does give some sort of indication of what may be required, from the highest points total for third place over the past decade.
The average points total of the 3rd placed teams over those same years is 48.25 points, which would equate to 56 points for promotion over 30 games.
The lowest points total of the 3rd placed teams over those same years is 45 points (seasons 2009-10, 2011-12 and 2012-13). That would equate to 52 points for promotion.
Make of the above whatever you want, it really is only just me playing with statistics, as each season is different, but it perhaps gives some sort of indication of what might be required.
What is significant to note, though, is that Benburb have already passed the highest points total for 3rd place over 26 games, and they have only played 22 games. Also, Glencairn are already above the average points total for 3rd place over 26 games, and we have only played 21 games. It would be particularly irritating to beat all these historical milestones of the past decade but still fail to get promoted. I think I'd just go and watch ice hockey if that happened.....
That would be an interesting thread lol
1 -
3 hours ago, glensmad said:
What do we reckon will be the points requirement for promotion now, given that a few of the teams at the top of the table have still to play each other ?
Tough one but I think you will need a minimum of 65 given the remaining fixtures. Think 67 will get you up.
It might be less but that's my thinking.
0 -
1 hour ago, DanMan said:
I take your point, but if it happens, Rossvale will have lost 1 game in 16. Arthurlie will have lost 6 and Cumbernauld 5. Rossvale Benburb and Glencairn will only have lost 4 games between them.
I never said anything was certain, but it would be a long road back for the rest
I think winning games more likely get you promoted than not losing them,your win ratio is lower than Cumbernauld,Rutherglen and Benburb..
0 -
13 minutes ago, DanMan said:
Could be a very decisive week in the promotion race. If Rossvale, Glencairn & Benburb all win, I think it will be very difficult for the other contenders. If it goes the other way, what a finish we are in for.
I will go
Away
Home
Away
Draw
Draw
Home
Home
Home
I don't see it like that, you could win on Saturday and quite easily lose your next two difficult games. Then again if you get beat on Saturday I would say its Rossvale who will find it difficult to gain promotion. All ifs and buts.
0 -
1 hour ago, 1874_MTL said:
Away 1-4
Away 0-5
Home 3-1
Away 1-2
Draw 2-2
Away 1-2
Now am concerned we have conceded 3 goals in our last 6 matches and your predicting we lose 4 on Saturday mmmm
0 -
1 hour ago, glensmad said:1 hour ago, griffiti on the wall said:What do you think
65 points as a guess.
I believe minimum 65 now for promotion.
0 -
5 minutes ago, jimbaxters said:
Maybe Peter Leonard was just on his holidays in Dalmellington.
Interesting that, I did hear a young boy saying before the game that Peter Leonard was attending the game, if true sure the decision had nothing to do with the Craigmark performance on Saturday I thought they had had a decent youthful team and will give teams plenty of problems certainly at Dalmellington.
0 -
On 17/12/2018 at 11:45, glensmad said:
Six of our last eight league fixtures at home as it currently stands.
As it stands just now we have 4 home to finish with.
0 -
Home wins for Cumbernauld and Rutherglen
Going for 6 draws in the other games.
0 -
I think you might need minimum of 60 points, as for a poor patch I hope we've had ours.
0 -
1 hour ago, glensmad said:
I'd settle for a scrappy 1-0 right now, with an own goal for the winner.
Larkhall have to get better at some point, and being at home to the league leaders might inspire them. We're taking nothing for granted.
There certainly was an improvement in their overall performance against us last Saturday compared to our meeting in early August.
1 -
Not just home sure we are undefeated home and away in League and Cup over last 3-4 seasons.Sure Peter will have the stats,it cant last forever here's hoping we can prolong a little bit further.
0 -
Two away victories and no goals conceded and we top the league.Last night was a comfortable win and could have been much more but credit to Larkhall who kept going to the final whistle. Its obvious they are going through a transitional period, last night they fielded a very young team and it was always going to prove difficult against an experienced 'Nauld'team.We wish them all the best for the season and many thanks for the welcome and hospitality provided.As for us onwards to Saturday and we look forward to welcoming Neilston to Guys Meadow.
2 -
A Vic's man through and through, always made you very welcome and suspect a big loss for the Club.
1
West Region Championship thread 2018-19
in Junior Football
Posted
In the league Tony Stevenson,not seen anyone with his ability.