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2026 Scottish election


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IMO Anas Sarwar would be ill advised to be measuring the curtains in bute house just yet.

 

Thursdays result for me is a function of:

 

- Labour uniting the union supporting vote across the central belt and motivating their supporters to turn out

 

- SNP scandal leading many of their voters to stay home

 

- FPTP voting system

 

The SNP can easily retain power with just a small swing and there’s no great love for this Labour Party. IMO Swinney has a year to improve the poll ratings or they’ll twist to Forbes 9 months out.

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