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DC92

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Posts posted by DC92

  1. 28 minutes ago, DC92 said:

    Maybe the most hideous line-up we've put out all season. It is actually physically impossible for me to imagine this combination of 11 players putting in a display that is anything other than eye-bleedingly shite.

    3-0 Hearts.

    I should say that the "3-0" here refers to the number of subs made by each side at half-time.

  2. 4 minutes ago, pozbaird said:

    For many seasons, I always hoped St Mirren would do better, but we didn’t deserve anything. I don’t think anyone told our similarly sized opponents like Motherwell, St Johnstone, Livvy or a dozen others to lie down and go easy on us because we deserve to be doing better.

    Complete minter, I expect nothing less from Sevco & Hearts mind you.

    Cue photo of Sellik Shop sign? Go on, don’t disappoint me.

    Yeah, that's definitely what it means, rather than being a criticism of those in charge of the club.

    Fans of any club are entitled to point out when they feel the running of the club is not in keeping with the quantity of money they are putting in. See the amateurish handling of the management situation as the latest example.

  3. 21 minutes ago, bishoptonbuddie said:

     

    Individually, you have some cracking players but they just seem to have absolutely zero direction coming from the touchline apart from Naismith seemingly screaming abuse and telling them how bad they are like some sort of Alex Rae tribute act. Destined for disaster.

    This was how he came across for most of his playing career with us. It was one of my main concerns about him as a manager aside from his lack of experience.

    On 10/04/2023 at 18:10, DC92 said:

    Obviously options are severely limited for an interim role but not sure about Naismith. Obviously he ticks the pashun box but on the pitch he usually seemed to channel that into petulance/frustration rather than providing inspiration when things weren't going well.

     

  4. 1 hour ago, Craigie Jambo said:

    I honestly can't see how you think Naismith had anywhere near full control of managing our team

    Because the reason he wasn't officially manager until now is an administrative fudge and nothing else. There was no imperative on us to change how things worked behind the scenes from the end of last season. Even Naismith was emphasising that the way the coaching team worked hadn't changed.

    What tactical differences did you spot in the transitions from Naismith to McAvoy and back to Naismith, incidentally?

  5. 8 hours ago, Gordon EF said:

    I think 99%+ is probably a bit much but a quick calculation with even some fairly conservative numbers gives us a huge probability of qualifying.

    Norway beat Cyprus - 95%

    Us getting a point minimum in Spain - 10%

    Norway beating Spain - 33%

    Us beating Georgia - 50%

    Us getting at worst a 1 goal defeat to Norway - 60%

    All of that is already giving us around a 94% chance of qualification.

    Yep, but my point is there's a big difference between a 1 in 100 chance and a 1 in 20 chance. Not trying to say it's any more likely than that.

    9 hours ago, craigkillie said:

    Worth noting that our goal difference is currently miles better than Norway's too - we're +11 and they're -1. That means there's also the possibility that if we lose in Spain, and draw in Georgia, then even a one-goal defeat at home to Norway could be enough for us to squeeze through.

    I hate that I'm doing a lot of doom-mongering over something I don't actually think will happen, but can you imagine the atmosphere in Hampden if this is the case and Norway take the lead? Let's avoid that scenario entirely please.

    If our only dropped points after 6 games are away to Spain then we'll deserve to wrap it up a month early and enjoy the last couple of games. Hopefully that's what happens.

  6. Wasn't that arsed about him being called up in the first place and not that arsed about this. Not to say he won't end up being a player, but he's done nothing above League 2 level yet and could easily end up being another Matt Phillips.

    I wonder what he "didn't enjoy" about the camp.

  7. 12 minutes ago, Gordon EF said:

    Yeah, but that's kind of the point. If anyone's only willing to take the bet at silly odds then they're basically admitting that it's incredibly likely that we qualify.

    The silly odds are what's implied by the much-quoted nerd stats. I'm just saying I don't think it's quite that unlikely in reality.

    I'm sure 99% is completely justifiable if you look at each fixture matchup with cold eyes like a computer simulation would. But a that approach obviously doesn't account for the psychological context of each game. Norway beating us (or beating us by a couple) at Hampden isn't especially likely in a vacuum, but it can be tricky to approach a home game only needing a point, especially after people had you as virtually qualified already. It's similar to the second leg of a European game where you can get some wacky scores in the 90 minutes. If Norway do beat Spain there's a decent chance that's the scenario we face.

    There is a distinct possibility this is the trauma of Hearts 22/23 talking, mind. Like I said earlier, I'm very confident we'll qualify and I've got faith in this squad and manager to do the business even if Norway do take it down to the wire. I just won't completely relax until it's done. 

  8. 3 hours ago, nate said:

    I agree. Norway beating Spain isn’t as unlikely as some are suggesting, given the probable group situation/mentality at the time. You have a home side throwing the kitchen sink at Spain knowing it’s win or out. And you have a Spain side with two easy matches still to come, ensuring them top spot whatever. Norway will be the more motivated on this occasion. This scenario is of course dependent on Spain beating us in Seville, which unfortunately I think is very probable. We had an outlandishly meagre 25% possession against them at Hampden, which might be some kind of record for a winning underdog at International level (anyone know if it actually is?). Expect similar stats in Seville. And Spain will certainly not be as complacent/arrogant this time around by changing 8 players from their previous match. If we get anything from this fixture it will be joyous surprise imo.

     

    2 hours ago, No_Problemo said:

    If Spain lose to Norway they would be in real danger of not winning the group, so I find it very unlikely that Norway are going to be more motivated…

     

    1 hour ago, Jaggy McJagface said:

    If Spain don’t beat Norway then finishing top is no longer in their hands, even if they skelp us 10-0 in Seville. They won’t be treating it like a kick about.

    The number of points you get also directly influences your seeding at the Euros. 18 points is very unlikely to be pot 1 but 21 points almost certainly would be.

  9. It really only takes one unlikely result (Norway beating Spain) to set up a showdown in the last game, and that result isn't that unlikely. Spain are capable of dishing out gubbings but they've also got a soft side as we saw at Hampden and in a few of their games over the last few years. In their previous two qualifying campaigns they've lost and drawn in Sweden and drawn with Norway. In the Nations League they've lost in Ukraine and drawn away to Switzerland.

    If that scenario transpires then we'll be nervy as f**k going into the final game with no wins in 4 and Norway having won a few on the bounce. People will push the narrative that we're on the verge of bottling it despite the fact that having 16 points out of 21 going into the last game would probably have been seen as near-ideal prior to the win in Oslo and certainly before the win over Spain. 

    I think we'll have it wrapped up by next month, but if we don't it'll be a nervy few weeks before the Georgia game. I get that the simulations give us a 1 in 100 chance of fucking up, but that feels a bit generous to me.

  10. 1 hour ago, Dons_1988 said:

    Why would this be a catalyst for change? In practice has anything actually changed?

    I think they're taking the piss out of the tweet posted on the previous page.

    I reckon those speculating about McAvoy having a bigger say before now are probably the same people who backed Naismith for the job and now won't entertain the idea that the initial upturn in performances was just a new manager bounce.

    If there's a sudden improvement from here it'll be because we got knocked out of Europe and Naismith stopped doing daft things; not because we changed who's doing the press conferences. I won't hold my breath on that.

  11. 2 minutes ago, VincentGuerin said:

    There are individual mistakes that an organisation can make and that's just life. But at Hearts we now have a pattern going back years now. From the Main Stand, to recruitment, to managerial recruitment, to the obvious folly of how slow they were to act on Neilson (giving him a longer contract!). Even the way the likes of McKinley have handled themselves in public.

    The club has a long record now of poor decision making and masses of evidence that the people running the club are basically just shite at it.

    I can't think of how we could be better placed in terms of finance. STs sold out, every home game sold out, James Anderson, FoH, last year's European money. Yet the folk running the club continue to spunk it against the wall.

    This is the frustrating thing.

    And it means this season is fucked. It shouldn't be fucked, because we have a more than capable squad and there isn't a standout team outside the OF. Even having a clueless manager isn't necessarily a problem because you can just replace them. But it is fucked, because when Naismith is binned in a few weeks they won't have a clue who to bring in.

    After Neilson was sacked, I'm pretty sure McKinlay said that we keep a list of potential successors to ensure we're prepared in the event of a managerial exit. Two months later, we'd interviewed one midtable rando from Sweden who Aberdeen had been linked to and then hired the B team coach. Risible.

  12. 23 minutes ago, VincentGuerin said:

    This is my issue. Plus, as outlined above, I was not impressed with the 'process' that saw him get the job.

    Hearts, as a club, get everything they could ask for from the fans. The stadium is full every week and we fire a fortune in through the FoH. We also have the good fortune of James Anderson. We are in a great position.

    Yet, we have complete fucking amateurs running the club. Our managerial choices are ridiculous. We have money. We have a huge market to choose from. The club are squandering a tremendous situation.

    We've played fucking Kilmarnock and Motherwell at home, and can't argue we deserve any more than we have. It's so, so poor.

    Unfortunately there is no evidence we have any idea how to properly identify and recruit a manager. None whatsoever.

    Aside from Stendel, who was hired based on fan hype, every manager we've appointed since admin has got the job because of who they know or the fact they happened to be in the building at the time. Naismith might even be the worst example of this given he was brought to the club as a player.

    The one time I can remember us interviewing a shortlist of candidates was after Cathro was sacked. We then binned off all those candidates and hired Levein instead.

    "Amateurs" is correct.

  13. 1 minute ago, Dons_1988 said:

     

    We were left in a difficult position. His leverage for the job was clearly helped by external circumstances (just how much of a mess Goodwin made and hearts implosion plus 3rd place being more significant than normal) but you can’t argue he took an absolute shambles and dragged it into a solid unit. 

    Every manager is a gamble and if you give it to some random over robson and he fucks it you look ridiculous. Robson had to be given a go at building his own side but he looks to have fucked it early doors. 

    The recruitment may well be ok but he looks tactically clueless now that we’ve moved away from just shutting down the opposition and letting clarkson, duk and miovski go and attack. 

    Naismith was given the job full time for much less imo. 

    The last paragraph is unquestionably true.

    Robson took a team that was at rock bottom and had zero expectations but still had some good players and had sorted its main personnel issue in January, got a couple of wins after a meh start and then harnessed the momentum really well. Then the winning run ended and he hasn't looked so clever since.

    I said at the time the only positive for us was that Aberdeen would be obliged to hire an unproven manager based on what is ultimately a small sample size. Unfortunately we have done the same thing but for much flimsier reasons.

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