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ICTChris

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Posts posted by ICTChris

  1. 1 hour ago, Dunty said:

    Would it be fair to say that with recent events, Alba may finally see a spike in support, even if it's just a small one?

    You imagine a lot of SNP diehards who gave the Greens their second vote will no longer do that. Both votes SNP is a waste, so maybe Alba do now get those precious lost votes.

    If the UK general election comes first, they may even be a vehicle for a protest vote just to give the SNP a wee warning from pro-Indy voters.

    Be interesting to see polling figures in a month.

    Yep, they might even get up to 1.5%

  2. 2 minutes ago, Dunning1874 said:

    The SNP to refuse to stand a candidate in two constituencies in 2026, said constituencies to be chosen by Alex Salmond and Ash Regan, and the thermometer.

    I was going to post something about them demanding Nicola Sturgeon be expelled from the SNP as a joke but I honestly think that might be fairly realistic.

  3. I remember during Covid Cosgrove wrote a column for the National about how much he loved watching the daily press conferences at the time because Sturgeon would "put the journalists in their place".  he might have said Unionist journalists but I can't recall that level of detail.  This was at a time that hundreds were dying every day in Scotland but the main thing for Stuart was that he could sit and watch people he hated being "put in their place".  Complete self absorption.

  4. Some quotes from Lorna Slater on Good Morning Scotland

    Quote

     

    “The first minister decided to end the Bute House agreement very suddenly. Even 48-hours before he was saying the Bute House agreement was worth its weight in gold and take a very different tag,

    “We had been a very stable progressive government. As things unravel rapidly, I think it will become clear that the Greens were the glue holding stable governance together in Scotland.

    “Whether he can hold a government together now, I don’t know."

     

    and on working with the Scottish Government again

    Quote

    We could have that conversation again and, you know, nobody has reached out to us in any way to try and change our minds so we’ll have to see how events develop.

     

  5. Technically speaking, Yousaf doesn't have to resign if he loses the vote.  He can just say "f**k it" and go on.

    Anas Sarwar has now lodged a motion of no confidence in the Scottish Government.  Douglas Ross' motion is in Yousaf himself so if Yousaf resigns then the motion will be dropped.

  6. 18 minutes ago, AyrExile said:

    Will the hive still be following orders next week? A good chance for Ewing to get his own back for the greater good. Will Matheson still have the powers to vote and can Sturgeon be relied upon to turn up at her work these days?

    With the rate of change today it also gets more likely by the hour he realises his tea is oot and throws the towel in before any vote 

    I was thinking that - everyone assumes that all SNP MSPs will vote one way but will they?  Matheson's punishement is due to be decided next week - I have no idea if he could be suspended from Parliament for a period of time.  That could tip the balance.

    I think you might be right, Yousaf might resign.

  7. 30 minutes ago, virginton said:

    Also mentioned in another Westminster-based analysis:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024/apr/25/humza-yousaf-forgot-the-rule-leaders-who-want-to-look-tough-look-stupid

    It would be quite fitting if the Greens contrived to get themselves emptied from government over this. 

    Surely there is no way Regan would've got that motion passed.  I was just typing out that there's no way Yousaf would've ended the Bute House Agreement over that but everyone seems to have gone tonto so maybe that was it.

    Anyway, Ash Regan's list of demands should be a hoot.

  8. The BBC summary on their website has mentioned a couple of times that the Cass Review, on gender related healthcare for children and young people in NHS England, is a factor in the break but I haven't heard anyone actually say that in any of the statements, which I admittedly haven't listened to start to finish.

    Is there any indication that the Cass Review, and more specifically the NHS Scotland response to it, is a factor in what's happened today?  I can't see any but it's there on the BBC site, or it certainly was there.

  9. Did one of the Tory MSPs not join Reform?  Surely they could bribe her to vote with them, GB News to be exempted from license fee in independent Scotland, make Neil Oliver head of some quango about tinfoil hats.

    The sole Reform UK MSP lost her seat in 2021.  Rest well, sweet princess.

  10. The Greens confirm that they will vote for the motion of No Confidence in the Scottish Government.

    It's all down to Ash Regan.  I'm sure that the Alba party will approach this massive responsbility with characteristic nuance, maturity and non-insanity.

  11. 5 minutes ago, Leith Green said:

    That dick would probably be the last to know.

    Is he not a member of Alba, he'll probably be a good source for stories about them.  Who knows though, all up in the air.  I'd be very surprised if Alba voted against the motion but what do I know.

  12. 9 minutes ago, alta-pete said:

    It may yet be proven the work of some high level 4D chess by Humza. Knowing the SNP are on the slide those 8 Green list seats might become very valuable if Labour secure their purported surge.

    It seems more like 1D chess.  Going by his letter to Slater and Harvie, Yousaf thought that this would all be very business-like, that the Greens would understand that he was acting prior to their membership ending the Bute House Agreement anyway and that they could move back to relying on them helping an SNP minority government.  Instead, the Greens have blown up, Lorna Slater accusing the SNP of a culture war and backing down to the most reactionary people in the country (SNP backbenchers?), Patrick Harvie retweeting statements saying that the SNP have sold out to big donor money (don't think the SNP have many big donors, maybe Harvie means Mr Soutar). 

    I posted earlier in this thread, in true Nostradamus style, that the Bute House Agreement was popular with SNP activists.  The only polling I ever saw about it was positive but in the last couple of days the whole thing has crumbled, it all seems to have been built on sand.  I doubt there will be any alliance between the SNP and the Greens again unless there's a big push back.  What was the trigger for all of this?  The climate targets?

  13. With a knife edge vote of no confidence coming up, will the Scottish Government win or lose this vote?

    I think if it's a draw the Presiding Officer votes with the Government so that counts as a Scottish Government win.

     

    I will take a call and say that they will WIN the vote.

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