HardyBamboo

As Renton said, Methodology is everything, I don't think you can assume anything - usually best to wait until the stats. guys analyse the data sets.

Dont know if anybody has put this up before but Channel 4 have been running a poll - you can see the up to date results at the link below; https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1bjntrrT_1zy4eEdG8FNAPJB_-usej61UgerYAD3t-gc/viewanalytics You might have to go through the Channel 4 website first, if so use the link below; http://www.channel4.com/news/scotland-independence-alex-salmond-sterling-pound-europe

From Professor Curtice; http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/02/survation-enter-the-fray/ "Survation, the regular (internet) pollsters for the London newsdesk of the Mail on Sunday (though not of the desk in Scotland), have entered the referendum polling fray for the first time this weekend. They put the Yes vote at 32%, No at 52%, with 16% saying Don’t Know (after taking into account people’s reported likelihood of voting). Once the Don’t Knows are excluded, that means Yes are on 38%, No on 62% – almost exactly in line with the average reading of the six polls conducted since the publication of the Scottish Government’s White Paper in November. Of course, as Survation have not previously conducted a poll on referendum vote intentions, we do not know whether or not the poll is further confirmation that there has been a swing to Yes. However, there is one feature of the way in which this poll has been reported that should be noted. As previous polls that have asked people how they voted in both the 2010 Westminster and the 2011 Holyrood elections have discovered, people’s memories of what they did on the latter occasion seem to be more accurate than their recollection of what they did in 2010. Certainly, when unweighted this poll has a 45% SNP vote in 2011, with Labour on 29% – in other words more or less exactly in line with the actual result. In contrast the unweighted figures for how people said they voted in 2010 are 42% SNP, 32% Labour, which is far from the actual result. It is because of findings such as these that all those pollsters who weight their referendum poll samples by past vote have opted to do so by how people said they voted in 2011 rather than in 2010. This poll has, however, been weighted according to how people said they voted in 2010. The effect, predictably, has been to increase the estimated No lead considerably. Before the data were weighted at all (including to make sure that the sample matches the demographic profile of Scotland), the Yes tally stood as high as 43% (after the Don’t Knows are excluded). The weighting has knocked as much as five points off that figure. It looks highly likely that if Survation had followed the same practice as most other pollsters, the reported Yes vote in this poll would have been over 40% – just as it was in last weekend’s ICM poll and is in this weekend’s TNS BMRB poll...."

I don't think he will be able to do that, as far as I can see there are no economic positives for voting No.

I have never seen devo max properly defined but, seeing as it isnt on the ballot paper, nobody can vote for it. IMO, in a lot of ways, what the SG is pushing for is effectively devo max.

This poll isn't up to date, the data was collected between June & October of last year, before the White Paper, WG debt statements & various other "genie out of the bottle" items. I am not saying it is entirely irrelevant but there has been a fair bit of water under the bridge since then.

Interesting, can you give me a link to the relevant post please?

An interesting post, (from Wings again, sorry Reynard), probably something most already know but it is demonstrated quite well. The Scotsman and Herald both carry stories today reporting an Ipsos-MORI poll which found that only 14% of voters considered themselves to be “well-informed” about the referendum debate, and that two-thirds had difficulty in discerning whether what they were being told was true or not. Since this site’s entire reason for existence is to demonstrate that what much of the No campaign and the Scottish media tells people is either distorted, misleading or flat-out untrue, we can’t say those findings surprise us much. But there was an interesting nugget buried in the poll data which the papers didn’t pick up on. http://wingsoverscotland.com/kept-in-the-dark/

As my post says it was the recent better together commissioned poll, why dont you read the article - it isnt long.

Maybe an interesting critique of the recent YouGov poll? When we commissioned our second Panelbase poll, we asked Edinburgh University’s highly respected Professor of Public Policy, Politics and International Relations,James Mitchell, to give our questions the once-over beforehand to ensure they weren’t unfair or leading. The resulting poll’s neutrality was widely praised. We thought it might therefore be interesting to get his expert professional opinion on the recent “Better Together” poll by YouGov, and he very kindly obliged. http://wingsoverscotland.com/on-gullibility-and-bias/