lichtgilphead
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Posts posted by lichtgilphead
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QT is the whole of our one nation, so the rest don't wasn't to hear about Scottish, as they see it, ' local' issues
You consider a UK minister abusing his position to tell lies in an attempt to influence a UK General Election to be a 'local' issue?
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Who's the racist bird?
Quite an accusation to make when you don't even know her name.
I'm going to go out on a limb here and suggest she looks as though she may struggle to remember her own name.
Here's an overview of her performance at the UKIP Scottish Campaign launch
http://www.buzzfeed.com/aidankerr/ukip-scotland
She seemed nervous in the presence of the media, was chaperoned at all times by a UKIP spin doctor, and was unable to answer a question about UKIP’s ambitions in the Gordon constituency.
After failing to answer the question, Santos was prompted by the spin doctor who told her: “Words – use your words.”
“I don’t know,” she responded.
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Currently there are beavers living wild around some areas of Scotland. There are some on the Tay which have been illeagally released or escaped from private collections. Their fate will be decided when the Beaver trial in Knapdale, Ayrshire, is finished.
I think we should bring back the Lynx with a view for later bringing back wolves. These animals would control deer numbers and restore the natural habitat. Deer currently have no natural predators and so are overgrazing the land and destroying precious habitats such as the ancient Caledonian Pine Forests. This has been seen in Yellowstone National Park where the wolves totally transformed the landscape when they were reintroduced and began to prey on the caribou. Lynx and/or wolves would bring deer numbers down in Scotland and drive them to the uplands and out of the valleys. These animals would also be excellent for Scottish wildlife tourism and potentially boost the economy in that sense.
I don't think bringing back bears would be a good idea as I think the threat they pose to humans is too high.
What do you think?
Knapdale is in Ayrshire now, is it? When did they move the Argyll county boundaries?
Anyway, f**k the beavers. When they arrived, they built dams and flooded the path around Loch Coille-Bharr. We practically had to swim to complete our Sunday walk.
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The tap in my kitchen is leaking slightly from the neck. I'm no expert on plumbing, but is it likely that it requires the washer being changed over? or can it be something more comlex?
Turn the water heater thermostat up to full & open all the windows
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You're using Iain Dale as a source??????
I got as far as
INVERNESS, NAIRN, BADENOCH & STRATHSPEY
Danny Alexander
Majority: 8,765 over Labour
Prediction: DEAD CERT LIBDEM HOLD
Even the LibDems think Alexander is going to lose this seat! Did you not see thier own polling?
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you my friend have reached the very top of the list no one wants to be on the most tedious poster on P&B, congrats now go and bask in your new found fame, so on you go, toddle off
So, now that you're completely unable to back up your original point, you resort to personal abuse. Well done you.
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the poll that they put out for the SNP last year, ruined all their good work and plaudits they got in 2011, but since you mentioned YouGov, I also have no faith in their polls either, so get the "seethe" back in check
No seethe mate, just a request that you provide some proof that Panelbase's current methodology is flawed.
You ignored the request in your response above, so I'll give you a second chance.
Otherwise, we're only left with your opinion as to their credibility, and I've seen nothing from you so far that leads me to believe your views are valid or credible.
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if Yes Scotland were getting a poll done for them, it would have been advisable to use a pollster other than panalbase, which lets be honest has continually polled the pro-Indy campaign higher, just saying
I assume you're going to provide some proof that Panelbase's current polling methods are flawed, Ecto?
Otherwise, all you're saying is that Panelbase consistently get a higher "Yes" percentage than your favoured pollsters, but not giving any reason why you consider their figures to be incorrect. Without a reason, that's just an opinion, not a fact.
Who's to say that Panelbase aren't correct & YouGov are wrong?
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It's better than -1
Especially when No already has the lead and so near to the referendum.
Yes peaked a few months back. It's been downhill ever since.
Still waiting for the link to your figures...
Edited to add - Scot Goes Pop has been updated since my original link. Now shows figures with DK included & excluded.
Still at a loss as to why No consider this to be significant movement...
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Survation poll in tomorrow's Mail on Sunday. Yes 40%(-1) No 46% (0)
Do you have a link? I've only seen it reported as 47% Yes 53% No (obviously excluding DK's)...
The link below states no change to Yes or No
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I agree that they are different countries. There is a difference between "foreign" and "different" though, we would only be foreign after a yes vote. A foreigner is someone who belongs to a different sovereign state as you.
So, even though Rory Best & Gordon D'Arcy both represent the same national team at rugby, in your view they are currently foreigners to each other?
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New panelbase poll out it in Sunday Times today.
No 48(+2)
Yes 41 (-2)
Without DK's:
No 54 (+2)
Yes 46 (-2)
When even yes friendly polls like panelbase have yes losing ground, you know how much trouble they're in. More great news for the better together campaign.
I note that Lex fails to mention that the comparison he's quoting is against a Yes Scotland Panelbase poll instead of against the previous Sunday Times Panelbase poll.
As slightly different question series are asked, these polls are not directly comparable. If you compare against the previous Sunday Times Panelbase poll, the actual figures are
Yes 41% (+1)
No 48% (-1)
As such, I'm not sure why Lex appears to be celebrating a further decrease in the shaky "No" lead
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The no percentage seems solid at mid forties. Yes need to Hoover up almost all of the undecideds between now and polling day. Now that's very feasible, because there's a reason these people haven't made their minds up, but it's a big ask.
Im guessting if there was no over round the odds should be
yes 4/1
no 1/5
Is it you that claims to be doing maths at uni?
If there's no overround, the odds have to add up to 100%. The odds you quote add up to 103.33%..
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Think of it this way.., there's 7 ways Brazil won't win the cup. There's 1 way to lose a 2 horse race.. For example in the games tonight you'll get odds on a team to win, and odds on a team to progess. The first is a 3 event outcome (win lose or draw) the second is a 2 event outcome.
Look at the difference between the odds to win the game and to progress. Look at how much taking away an outcome knocks off the price.
If you really still can't see the difference there then I'm sorry.
Wow Lex! Just Wow!
There's one way Brazil can win the WC - win all their remaining ties.
There's one way they can fail to win the WC - fail to win all their remaining ties.
Progress to the semi-final & final is conditional on winning the previous matches.
Similarly, winning a 2 horse race is conditional on getting out of the starting gates, clearing every jump & crossing the finishing line 1st.
If a horse in a 2 horse race falls at the 1st fence, is that any different from losing by a nose on the line? In both cases, you lose!
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no, will accept the result whatever way it goes and just get on with it, as we all will all have to, but some of us will find it easier than others
So, as the referendum result will exclude the people who choose not to express their opinion in the voting booth, would you agree that using polling figures that exclude the "don't knows" will produce a result that is likely to be closer to the final result on the 18th September?
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As they are the government that are asking the question, they run the independence campaign, they control the independence campaign - of course it's about the SNP.
But then the NCC will try to paint it otherwise.
Politicians are politicians.
Half_Baked is a well known troll who continually asks questions along the lines of "Have you stopped beating your wife - Yes or No"
As his question above falls into that category, I don't see any point in answering it.
However, in response to your point, I would agree that the SNP are the main driving force in the independence debate. Other parties (the Greens & most parties of the left) also support independence.
However, not every member of the SNP, Greens & Socialists will vote Yes. Similarly, not every Labour, Libdem, Tory & Ukipper will vote No.
As such, the debate is between those of us that believe that Scotland will prosper under indy, and those that believe that we will prosper under the Union.
Accordingly, it's not wholly about the SNP. Surely you can appreciate this distinction?
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The usual "obsessed with the SNP" stuff
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Meanwhile, the UK Government is quietly funding Better Together's private polling
http://www.sundaypost.com/news-views/scotland/independence-referendum/uk-government-accused-of-funding-no-campaign-1.435240
Even though the Secretary of State for Portsmouth had previously stated “the principle is it’s government research and we don’t release it”, the principle does not appear to apply to sharing the information with the "No" side0 -
I think a lot of don't knows won't actually vote.
In that case, if the result is 55% Yes & 45% No on an 80% turnout, will you and Ecto start a campaign to have the result overturned because the Yes vote has been inflated because the non-voters weren't counted?
In Ecto's eyes, that particular result would mean that Yes only gained the votes of 44% of the total electorate, whilst the No vote (36%) and the non-voting 20% would total 56%.
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What was the question he was responding to?
Don't expect a coherent answer. Ecto appears to have given up any pretence of defending his lie.
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Difference being Sturgeon commented on actual poll standing, when asked, Salmond on the Marr show quoted the poll unsolicited and did not explain how he came to his outcome
Can you specifically point out where she was asked to comment?
As far as I can see, her quote is contained in an SNP press release. The release gives some figures, then Nicola gives her unsolicited take on what the figures mean.
I fail to see how this differs from what Eck did.
Seriously Ecto, stop digging. Admit you lied & were called on it.
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Nae luck there chief, she is only commenting on a point already made in the report, this is no different from your last attempt, carry on
So, when Alex Salmond comments on a poll result, that's somehow different from Nicola Sturgeon commenting on a poll result?
Surely you're not suggesting that there is a serious difference because Alex appears to have worked out the percentage excluding DK's by himself, and Nicola has had someone do the sums for her?
What a strange view to take.
Eck is a bad man because he can do arithmetic 0 -
She is only making comment on a Daily Record poll, she is not making the claim, Salmond made the claim
Give up, Ecto
Here's a direct quote from Sturgeon on 23rd February
SNP Depute Leader and Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said: “These are very encouraging figures, indicating a two-point tightening of the gap since the last Panelbase poll two weeks ago. Yes is now at 44 per cent once ‘don’t knows’ are excluded."
http://www.government-world.com/panelbase-poll-shows-2-point-narrowing-of-gap/
Are you finally going to admit that the story you made up about Salmond was a lie?
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Oh dear. Keep digging, Ecto.
Same search as before with the word "Sturgeon" added throws up Nicola using figures with "Don't Knows" excluded back in January 2014.
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/independence-referendum-snp-claim-within-3065487
What next? Are you going to claim that Salmond was the first male politician to use this dastardly trick?
My allegation that you were talking sh*te has been proved to be correct. Congratulations (yet again) on buying into the whole "Better Together" ethos.
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Question Time
in The Politics Forum
Posted
Apologies. I mistakenly reacted to your post without re-reading the specific point from Sparky88 that you were actually replying to.