Dawson Park Boy
-
Posts
3,795 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Store
Posts posted by Dawson Park Boy
-
-
30 minutes ago, coprolite said:
If you wanted a comparison excluding the wealthiest areas then yes.
Scotland does better than the whole UK figure though. I think that means that unless Edinburgh and Aberdeen outstrip London and SE then the rest of Scotland probably out earns the rest of England.
These figures give a limited picture anyway so i'd not rely on them for anything more than very broad brushstokes.
They're employee earnings so don't include self employed. Likes of Aberdeen or West Mids will have a lot of well paid "self employed" engineering contractors. Edinburgh and London lots of very well paid self employed partners in law, accountancy or architectural practices. The biggest number of self employed people throughout the country will be cash trades, taxis and hairdressers etc which aren't so well off, officially.
Then there's variation in non-participation in the labour force. Anywhere with former coal mines will be adversely affected by this. If fewer people are working then average income for the population at a given level of average salary for employees will obviously be lower.
If there's a reliable household income figure kicking about, that would give a better idea of welfare.
Then there's price levels and purchasing power...
Regarding your union work, do you take into account the help given to households directly for energy or just the published inflation figures? Also, do you accept that everyone is going to be poorer due to macro- economic circumstances or is it all down to bargaining strength?
0 -
7 minutes ago, RC_Bairn said:
I'm sure your pals on the board won't take too kindly to you saying their effort is lacking.
His pals on the Board have one big job and that’s to have the funds in place before the cash runs out.
Everything else is secondary.
0 -
1 hour ago, welshbairn said:
‘ You can’t always get what you want’.
I think the words of that tune says it all.
0 -
1 hour ago, WATTOO said:
You can only raise taxes if you have high wages and in Scotland just now the average salary is around £23k to £24k, however we still have a large percentage on much less than that.
The BBC and our Westminster politicians seem to think that a "poor wage" is around £35k, however they're all living in cloud cuckoo land.
Incidentally, the "Russia" excuse and Covid are quite convenient to mask the fact that this has been coming for years but we continually just kicked the can down the road by playing dumb and keeping interest rates at ridiculously low artificial rates, however it's now we have to pay the piper I'm afraid.
The Car leasing sector will be one of the first to crash and any Bank who's tied up in it will see major losses, it will then snowball from there and with the majority of the population having very little disposable income we'll see what's left of our broken retail sector crash and burn along with the construction industry which will only lead to extremely high unemployment.
Of course, we've not even started discussing the waves of strike action and general rage among the general population.....
Wouldn’t disagree with that.
The printing presses have been rolling since the last crash and it was inevitable that reality, at some point, would kick in.
Totally agree about PCP leases. A huge disaster awaiting coupled with higher mortgages.
The best bet now is to avoid debt, keep the old car running and hunker down.
Your point about Scotland is correct. Doesn’t have enough high earners which makes the case for independence even more stupid.
0 -
55 minutes ago, HopeStreetWalker said:
It's the reality of where we are in the scheme of things. In the hunt for the play off's but teams now have a handle on how to play us and we don't have the squad quality to mix things up.
Disagree.
I think we do have the squad quality to mix things up but, so far, the manager has preferred to go with the same personnel.
Hopefully, that will now change.
1 -
9 minutes ago, Michael W said:
I don't think saviour Boris would save many seats (if any) in the red wall either, seeing as though his grand promises oddly enough did not transpire.
I'll be glad when it goes back to unquestionably voting Labour, so we never have to hear about it ever again. Sick of "what will red wall voters make of this" commentary in response to any given policy or some culture war shite that crops up now and then. Their opinion is no more relevant than that of anyone else, and it's just a lazily-imported US term to pigeonhole and stereotype voters.
I agree Sunak should claw back the party base a bit, but there will still be big losses. Mortgage rates are going up, energy costs are well up with support potentially ending for many and the housing market is about to crash. A lot of the Tory target demographic will be badly impacted by the interest rates and support there will suffer. The best that can be said, is the impact will be less severe than if Johnson were in charge, but there will be prolonged squeeze on living standards and that never bodes well. The UK being a prisoner of the markets at the moment means the scope for maneuver is also pretty limited.
Sunak is unpopular with a fair section of the party, so I wonder if he might be able to hold it together, if only out of pure self-interest on behalf of c200 Tory MPs that are at risk of losing their seats.
Sunak is the best bet at the present time. He’s a serious politician which is what we need at the present time.
A day or two ago I heard Mervyn King state that the world is going to be a poorer place for a good few years due to Covid, Ukraine and all the money printing by all the Central Banks. It’s just a fact, I’m afraid. Taxes will need to rise and not just on the wealthy (not enough of them) with the middle classes hit quite badly. He painted a miserable scenario but I think he’s right, unfortunately.
-1 -
34 minutes ago, Binos said:
Are you David Coburn?
No, but I’ve met him when he was standing in my constituency a good few years ago.
He needed a certain number of signatures for his candidacy so I obliged.
Definitely a no-hoper.
1 -
On 19/10/2022 at 09:02, Salt n Vinegar said:
Looking forward to hearing Westminster and Holyrood Tories congratulating His Britannic Majesty's Government's handling of the economy and that OF COURSE pensions and benefits will rise by 10.1% from April.
In other news, the RAF was scrambled to deal with flying pigs over Edinburgh.
To provide a little context, eurozone inflation is 9.9%.
Hardly an earth shattering difference!
Regarding pensions and benefits, it would seem logical that the energy assistance that we are all receiving should be taken account of in calculating the true inflation rate?
0 -
27 minutes ago, VincentGuerin said:
I hope you're right, and you may be. But it's far from a given.
The electorate has never warmed to Starmer. He lacks charisma, and it's easy (and fair) for the media to say he hasn't presented a coherent solution to the problems the country has. Labour need to be more aggressive in getting a message out about how exactly they are an alternative to what we have now. They're failing to do that just now, and Johnson will lap that up.
BJ gets the big calls right, he was a victim of the political establishment stabbing him in the back, he understands working people, Starmer is boring and Labour have no plan anyway. Repeat, repeat, repeat, and delay the election as long as possible, and the Tories can win.
I'm not saying they'd suddenly be favourites. But the idea that they couldn't win is gone if BJ comes back. I think the Tories would be insane to pick anyone else from a purely pragmatic point of view.
Kind of agree with you but I think it’s maybe a bit too early for BOJO to return.
Yes, he got most of the big calls right apart from being pushed into the ludicrous Covid lockdowns which have wrecked the economy. He obviously was against them but wasn’t able to withstand the pressure from all the medical and left wing media wimps who pressurised him into all the anti-libertarian policies.. Goodness knows when the country will recover from all the costs involved in that? What did it achieve? Nothing apart from current increased excess deaths.
0 -
20 minutes ago, Billy Jean King said:34 minutes ago, Dawson Park Boy said:It’s not unbelievable.
Its simply because he’s got a personality which strikes a cord with lots of people.
Just compare him to Sturgeon, Starmer, Sunak, Biden ,and most other politicians.
He may be a rascal and a rogue but he’s likeable.
With some good minders he’d be great.
Obviously not to all the sour faced, moaning Nats on here but to the general public, he’s a breath of fresh air.
My wife is desperate for his return.
Now, there’s a post just inviting some witty and abusive ripostes!That sounds more like a critique of Ant & Dec rather than someone touted to be the PM of the UK. It's nowhere near enough as he found out only months ago. The Tories have no good spin masters and strategists that's their Achilles heal and it's what has put them in this massive death spiral so he would suffer the exact same fate only quicker. A quarter of the parties MPs that he promoted into cabinet resigned and he was forced out by his own party. There is no hope of them uniting behind him but I suppose the totally inevitable drubbing when eventually a GE comes might push a lot of them to use him as the patsy / fall guy for that.
I think your analysis is probably correct, unfortunately.
0 -
15 minutes ago, RH33 said:
So the racist , misogynist, russian money taking, no morals......no it's not surprising he appeals to the small minded Tory membership.
For clarity DPB, I am not an SNP supporter.
For clarity, I’m not a Tory member but a periodical supporter.
Last party I had a membership with was UKIP.
0 -
8 minutes ago, Billy Jean King said:
So that's Rees-Mog, Wallace, Ukraine and every TV news vox popped member of the public backing the Scarecrow clown who, after weeks sunning himself while meant to be representing his constituency, is suddenly on the first flight out of whichever donors Caribbean island he was rendering his blubber on.
He's the one with traction right now unbelievably.It’s not unbelievable.
Its simply because he’s got a personality which strikes a cord with lots of people.
Just compare him to Sturgeon, Starmer, Sunak, Biden ,and most other politicians.
He may be a rascal and a rogue but he’s likeable.With some good minders he’d be great.
Obviously not to all the sour faced, moaning Nats on here but to the general public, he’s a breath of fresh air.
My wife is desperate for his return.
Now, there’s a post just inviting some witty and abusive ripostes!
-4 -
1 hour ago, Joey Jo Jo Junior Shabadoo said:
The Pound was 20% down on USD and EUR on the 24th June 2016 compared to the day before.
How has the euro done against the dollar since then?
I can’t be bothered checking these things out but I can’t imagine it’s been very great.
0 -
1 hour ago, Caledonian1 said:
Oh come on you cant expect Dawson Park Boy to remember that.
This is someone who only four weeks ago re-acted to Kwasi's (remember him?) "fiscal event" with the following - "Where I do disagree is that I think that this is a brilliant budget at just the right time and will increase GDP."
Yes, that’s correct.
The strategy was correct but the implementation was poor.
In my opinion, of course.
0 -
36 minutes ago, Joey Jo Jo Junior Shabadoo said:
Of course it has made a difference to him. He's talking absolute shite. Every single one of us, including himself, has been fucked over by the fact that he and his ilk crashed the pound that day and it has never recovered. Think about it, that's paying more to fill your car with petrol every single time you've done it in the last 6 years. But it hasn't affected him, no siree.
The pound and the euro are both quite low against the dollar due to the FED aggressively raging interest rates in the US.
-1 -
44 minutes ago, The Skelpit Lug said:
Do you want to qualify that with "hasn't made any difference to you " otherwise you're in danger of posting the most ridiculous statement ever concerning Brexit. Do you not see any connection at all between the events of the past few weeks and Brexit?
My whole post was about my personal experience.
In all honesty, I don’t see Brexit as having much to do with the events of the past few weeks.
0 -
11 hours ago, 101 said:
We haven't even got all the import controls on yet so how can you comment on Brexity being good bad or indifferent yet it's not done yet maybe you can comment when it's done.
All I’m saying is that, at the moment, it hasn’t made any difference.
-2 -
8 minutes ago, Boo Khaki said:
Sort what out exactly?
The German couple I'm talking about looked into 'right to remain' the moment it became a thing. They both desperately wanted to remain in the UK as they both had good jobs here, they owned a home here, their children were born here, settled, doing well at school, and pretty much considered themselves Scots with German heritage.
The reason they chose not to bother is that there was literally not a thing they could do that gave their children UK citizenship, so the worry was that even though they themselves could apply for indefinite right to remain, the only reason their children would be granted right to remain was because they were their parents' dependents. There was no explanation forthcoming about what would happen when the children themselves reached the age of legal adulthood, so they decided that ultimately the uncertainty was just too much and they sold up and left.
They couldn't 'sort anything out' in the interim period, because there was no indication whatsoever forthcoming from the Home Office with regard to what they might need to do. As far as they knew, it could be that nothing at all would change, or it could be that all EU citizens would be removed from the UK without exception, or it could have been any possibility in between those two extremes. This was the problem. There was no information whatsoever until the HO released the preliminary RTR guidelines, by which point the original UK leave date had already past, so EU citizens were entirely at the mercy of what the UK government decided from that point on.
FWIW, the Irishman I'm talking about left the UK in 2017 as his science job was entirely dependent on EU funding, he was forewarned that would stop, and lo and behold, it's never been made good by the UK government so his post simply doesn't exist any more. He could have applied to RTR as well, but he just went home and got exactly the same job he was doing here, because the people doing the same thing in Ireland still have their EU funding. He'd have preferred to stay here, but he's happy enough where he is. The UK, Scotland in particular, is worse off for losing him, his skills, and his job though.
Thanks for relating their stories.
Cant see the logic in the HO position.
When you hear of a real- life story it becomes a lot clearer.
0 -
12 minutes ago, welshbairn said:
Totally fair comment from @Day of the Lords, is this your snowflake attempt to get him cancelled again?
Why do you say that?
Surely you realise it is normal to be retired from a family business yet retain some interest.
Always thought you were a man of the world with some knowledge of such things.
I have never made any attempt to have him cancelled. My only gripe was the appalling level of abuse which he displayed which seemed completely wrong for a supposed public servant.
0 -
7 minutes ago, Boo Khaki said:
There's nothing to stop the adults seeking UK citizenship, but that's inconsequential with regard to the children, because they would still not be UK citizens. This is exactly why my German friends, both of whom had lived, worked, paid taxes, got married, and had children in the UK ended up going back to Germany. Under the terms of 'right to remain', because neither of them were UK citizens prior to the UK leaving the EU, their children are not considered UK citizens no matter what the adults do.
You might think it's of no consequence, but then my American sister-in-law also thought that living, being educated, working, paying tax, getting married to a Scot, having children in the UK, and having been resident for 10 years would mean that the UK government would be happy to leave her to continue. Nope, Home Office did their level best to deport her, totally ignoring the fact that she'd recently given birth to a UK citizen.
Would I stay in the UK and be perfectly comfortable with the fact my children were not regarded as UK citizens despite being born here? Not a fucking chance. Not with the Tories in control of the Home Office.
Fair enough. If what you say is correct then I don’t see the logic in it.
One last question to you.
After the vote and prior to leaving was there not a period within which you could sort this out?
Probably wrong here but just going on memory.
0 -
52 minutes ago, Boo Khaki said:
Nope.
If neither parent is a UK citizen, or more precisely, if both parents are EU nationals living and working in the UK thanks to freedom of movement, it doesn't matter a jot if their kids were born here in the UK, they are not UK citizens.
Why can’t the parents take out UK citizenship if they’re committed to being here?
45 minutes ago, Day of the Lords said:In the past three weeks, you've gone from "I run my own business" to "I retired a few years ago" to "i just look in now and then" to "I import goods from several EU countries"
What an utter fantasist
Maybe if I used the term ‘the company’, that might keep you happier.
You're starting to fall back in to your old ways.
Im sure you get the point but you’re just being awkward.
-2 -
1 hour ago, Boo Khaki said:
Just off the top of my head -
My EU citizenship, my freedom of movement, my right to live and work inside the EU, and my previously frequently used ability to buy and sell small items to and from other EU countries, which is now rendered completely impractical and unaffordable by exorbitant tariffs and shipping costs. Oh, and the number of friends I haven't seen in years because they immediately went home to Ireland, Germany, and Poland, in part because the UK's ridiculous 'right to remain' strictures does not consider their UK born children to be UK citizens.
But apart from that...
Well, I import goods from a number of EU countries and there isn’t much difference other than a bit more paperwork. I pay import VAT on goods which were formerly exempt but that can be reclaimed off output VAT so no change.
Don't know about the citizenship business but surely if they take out UK citizenship, then their kids will be British.
Or is this just a case where people were playing the system?
0 -
43 minutes ago, Antlion said:
If that someone wasn’t a vocal “it’ll just work out; don’t ask questions” Brexiteer, you might have a point.
Plenty of people can reasonably ask questions of independence - they should. Active Brexiteers demanding answers, however, is a bit like Jeffrey Dahmer insisting on better prison food.
BTW- I still think Brexit will work. Before the vote I said I’d happily be prepared to take a 10% hit on my living standards.
That never happened and all the doom- mongers were proved wrong. The current problems are world - wide and not Brexit related.
Out of interest what has Brexit cost you?
1 -
5 minutes ago, SweeperDee said:
Anyone “scared of tax rises” like Dawson p***k here are only scared for one reason, and it was the one I originally stated. They are greedy vermin.Okay then. What do you reckon is a reasonable top rate of tax such as to bring in the ‘dosh’ but not kill the golden goose?
What say you- 45%, 50%, how about 60%, 70%, even better?
0
Next temporary leader of the Conservative Party PM
in The Politics Forum
Posted
Thanks.
Seems very reasonable.