dorlomin Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 Wagner aligned telegram channel pushing the Russian version of the replacement theory and predictions of civil war. Grim. But I have heard quasi apocalyptic pronouncements from senior figures in the Russian regime before. Putin really is not the worst case scenario for Russia. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 Some of the vehicles being transferred to and around Belarus have tactical markings on them - seems like a white triangle with a 2 in them, could be this attacks version of the Z from the start of the invasion. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 2 hours ago, dorlomin said: Russia apparently planning to buy Iranian SRBMs. Quick google and the Zolfaghar is an IRBM. If true then it against does suggest Russia is critically low on battlefield rockets at the moment. The Fateh-100 is a short range, semi-ballistic missile with about a 300km range. The Zolfaghar is a true ballistic version of the Fateh-100, about 700km range. Both are evaluated as poor performers by interested parties, with reliability and accuracy concerns. Both are also assessed to use commercial GNSS signals for targeting and guidance, so will be heavily degraded in the Ukrainian environment. 2 hours ago, welshbairn said: I could see some Iranian factories suffering some devastating malfunctions and rapid unplanned disassembly. https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/10/16/iran-russia-missiles-ukraine/ So Israel refused to transfer any missiles to Ukraine…Israel is also requesting more funding, from the U.S. for laser missile defence, hum… Also, Israeli intelligence has reported Iran using Syrian facilities to produce some missiles…and Israel just struck some Syrian targets of an unknown nature, hum… Wouldn't be very surprised if the Iranian factories do indeed start having some issues, courtesy of Mossad, and the U.S. passes some funding for Israeli anti-missile research. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 18 minutes ago, TxRover said: The Fateh-100 is a short range, semi-ballistic missile with about a 300km range. The Zolfaghar is a true ballistic version of the Fateh-100, about 700km range. Both are evaluated as poor performers by interested parties, with reliability and accuracy concerns. Both are also assessed to use commercial GNSS signals for targeting and guidance, so will be heavily degraded in the Ukrainian environment. So Israel refused to transfer any missiles to Ukraine…Israel is also requesting more funding, from the U.S. for laser missile defence, hum… Also, Israeli intelligence has reported Iran using Syrian facilities to produce some missiles…and Israel just struck some Syrian targets of an unknown nature, hum… Wouldn't be very surprised if the Iranian factories do indeed start having some issues, courtesy of Mossad, and the U.S. passes some funding for Israeli anti-missile research. Can't remember if it was the Israelis or Americans, but the bug they planted in the control systems for Iranian uranium purification centrifuges was pretty cool, programmed them to exceed their maximum speed limit momentarily every night, which meant they fell apart after a couple of months.. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 39 minutes ago, welshbairn said: Can't remember if it was the Israelis or Americans, but the bug they planted in the control systems for Iranian uranium purification centrifuges was pretty cool, programmed them to exceed their maximum speed limit momentarily every night, which meant they fell apart after a couple of months.. Stuxnet, jointly developed by the U.S. and Israel. Targeted particular devices that met a whole host of stipulations, than resulted in a worm that very narrowly targeted the Siemens controllers the Iranian centrifuges used. It was a work of genius, and very effective…but it showed people what could be done. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 Bad move Lieutenant Colonel. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherrif John Bunnell Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 Muslim soldiers seem like the only semi-competent part of the Russian army, so the higher-ups should maybe not be slating Allah to their faces. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted October 16, 2022 Share Posted October 16, 2022 ...especially if they are holding loaded machine guns at the time. That's Darwin Award territory. Son of a top general did it apparently. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 Wait, the guy who was shot was the son of General Latin? That’s the commander of Army Group Centre. Bloody hell. Dozens of Shahed drones attack Kyiv this morning, some have been shot down, some have made it through. Kyiv railway station has been hit, apparently. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 (edited) Someone managed to photograph a Shahed drone just as it hit in Kyiv. Edited October 17, 2022 by ICTChris 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jagfox Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 At least some being sent from Belarus. Supposedly part of the reasoning about the attack on Belodograd. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 Belgorod is a long way from Belarus close to Kharkiv so not sure that fits but maybe they fly through Russian airspace into Belarus and the Ukraine. I read somewhere last night that the reason they targeted Belgorod was an air defence system that had shot down two Ukrainian planes in recent days. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jagfox Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 6 minutes ago, LongTimeLurker said: Belgorod is a long way from Belarus close to Kharkiv so not sure that fits but maybe they fly through Russian airspace into Belarus and the Ukraine. I read somewhere last night that the reason they targeted Belgorod was an air defence system that had shot down two Ukrainian planes in recent days. I meant as a warning for attacks from Belgograd to the Belarussians. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 Russia's sending 9000 troops to "help protect Belarus borders against Ukraine and NATO". Wonder if the real threat to Lukashenko is internal? https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/belarus-says-host-just-under-9000-russian-troops-2022-10-16/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beefybake Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 1 hour ago, welshbairn said: Russia's sending 9000 troops to "help protect Belarus borders against Ukraine and NATO". Wonder if the real threat to Lukashenko is internal? https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/belarus-says-host-just-under-9000-russian-troops-2022-10-16/ On what evidence do you wonder that ? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, beefybake said: On what evidence do you wonder that ? Nothing specific, just that there's zero chance of Ukraine or Poland invading Belarus, so what are they there for? He's so paranoid about the opposition that he ordered a Ryanair jet overflying Belarus to be brought down so he could arrest a young journalist. Maybe some of the military aren't happy about the support they're giving Russia against Ukraine? Just idle speculation... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacksgranda Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 1 hour ago, welshbairn said: Nothing specific, just that there's zero chance of Ukraine or Poland invading Belarus, so what are they there for? He's so paranoid about the opposition that he ordered a Ryanair jet overflying Belarus to be brought down so he could arrest a young journalist. Maybe some of the military aren't happy about the support they're giving Russia against Ukraine? Just idle speculation... You can never go far wrong with that... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TommyDickFingers Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 1 hour ago, welshbairn said: Maybe some of the military aren't happy about the support they're giving Russia against Ukraine? Being unhappy is one thing, doing something about it and putting you and your families necks on the line is quite another thing entirely. from a Washington Post article in Aug: Quote In a statement, the State Department said the targeted officials “have been implicated in torture; violent arrests of peaceful protesters; raids of homes and offices of journalists, members of the opposition, and activists; coerced confessions; electoral fraud; politically motivated sentences of political prisoners; expulsion of students for participation in peaceful protests; passage of legislation impacting the enjoyment of fundamental freedoms; and acts of transnational repression.” In a symbolic move, Lukashenko’s rival in the 2020 elections Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, who lives in exile in Lithuania, announced a transitional cabinet. But while Tikhanovskaya is regularly welcomed in Western capitals, and met President Biden at the White House last year, Lukashenko faces no internal threat to his power. Instead, Lukashenko’s thuggish enforcers at GUBOPiK have a green light to rough up activists and target their families. They post spoof videos mimicking a popular Russian before-and-after apartment renovation show — but instead the homes are destroyed. Wielding crowbars, they break up the apartments of parents of exiled Belarusian activists, the camera panning slowly across the view, “after the search,” showing floors pulled up, broken furniture, mirrors and fittings smashed, shards of glass and tangled clothes. GUBOPiK did not respond to requests for comment about the confession videos. Source 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
highlandcowden Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 18 minutes ago, TommyDickFingers said: Being unhappy is one thing, doing something about it and putting you and your families necks on the line is quite another thing entirely. from a Washington Post article in Aug: Source Those guys sound hard as nails, maybe before this is done the Ukrainian military will show them how fighting people who fight back is a little different to roughing up defenceless civilians,just like they did to Russia's hard as nails paratroopers 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jagfox Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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