Donathan Posted June 20, 2023 Share Posted June 20, 2023 we global’s model has us on nearly 99% https://twitter.com/we_global/status/1671292866906161152?s=46&t=hoEhEilPTNgSI6PlOUPZiQ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted June 20, 2023 Share Posted June 20, 2023 We’ve got more points than the rest of the group put together (12 > 11) Looking at the group table is giving me an absolute stauner. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thumper Posted June 20, 2023 Share Posted June 20, 2023 Incredibly pleased with all this chat about how impossible it'll be to get flights when I can, worst case, just jump on a string of domestic trains and get there for 25 euro. So long as Clarke doesn't get caught in the next thunderstorm and replaced by fucking Levein again, after Cyprus this becomes a matter of challenging for top seed. I only very dimly remember the days before qualification rested on getting results against various bankrupt ex-Soviet states and failing miserably. What a time to be alive. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aufc Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 I booked a flight to frankfurt for the Friday morning of the first game at the weekend. Plan is to get a camper van and just drive where required. Haven’t got a flight home yet as will see where will end up. Also haven’t told the mrs yet but can worry about that later. With two young kids, a week might be a big ask but time will tell. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC92 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 9 hours ago, Donathan said: we global’s model has us on nearly 99% https://twitter.com/we_global/status/1671292866906161152?s=46&t=hoEhEilPTNgSI6PlOUPZiQ I'd be very surprised if we don't do it now, but 99% seems ludicrously high? If we beat Cyprus then 99% looks fair enough. If we don't, we have two very tough fixtures and Norway have three winnable games (Georgia and Spain at home, Cyprus away) to close or overcome the gap before the final game. You'd fancy Spain to win their other games. Surely that scenario isn't 1 in 100. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Empty It Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Plan on taking the van over, crashing in the back of it with absolutely no expectations of getting tickets. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kilMARKnock Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 22 minutes ago, Empty It said: Plan on taking the van over, crashing in the back of it with absolutely no expectations of getting tickets. This! We will have a convoy of 2, told my boss this morning (south of the wall) who just laughed. I'm taking that as a yes for the whole trip to the final 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 (edited) 38 minutes ago, DC92 said: I'd be very surprised if we don't do it now, but 99% seems ludicrously high? If we beat Cyprus then 99% looks fair enough. If we don't, we have two very tough fixtures and Norway have three winnable games (Georgia and Spain at home, Cyprus away) to close or overcome the gap before the final game. You'd fancy Spain to win their other games. Surely that scenario isn't 1 in 100. The models will price in the very high likelihood of us beating Cyprus. The 99% will fall significantly if we don’t win in Cyprus but probably won’t rise very much at all if we do (not that it has much room to rise, but 98.9% probably just become 99.0% or 99.1% if we win that game) Effectively the model itself is probably baking in a c.95% chance that we’ll win in Cyprus. Edited June 21, 2023 by Donathan 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No_Problemo Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Outbound flight and accommodation in Frankfurt booked up from 10th to the 24th… 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC92 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 8 minutes ago, Donathan said: The models will price in the very high likelihood of us beating Cyprus. The 99% will fall significantly if we don’t win in Cyprus but probably won’t rise very much at all if we do (not that it has much room to rise, but 98.9% probably just become 99.0% or 99.1% if we win that game) Effectively the model itself is probably baking in a c.95% chance that we’ll win in Cyprus. We absolutely should win that game, but I'm not sure we take all 3 points 19 times out of 20, especially considering it'll likely be in 30-degree heat. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pie Of The Month Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, DC92 said: We absolutely should win that game, but I'm not sure we take all 3 points 19 times out of 20, especially considering it'll likely be in 30-degree heat. It likely won't be anywhere near 30 degree heat, we're kicking off at 9.45pm local time. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, Pie Of The Month said: It likely won't be anywhere near 30 degree heat, we're kicking off at 9.45pm local time. 26 degrees at 10pm today. I’m not sure how late June compares to early September but it’s going to be hot. I still fancy us to win quite easily though. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andershen Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 2 hours ago, Empty It said: Plan on taking the van over, crashing in the back of it with absolutely no expectations of getting tickets. Same. Newcastle to Amsterdam or Hull to Rotterdam. Seems you can’t book more than 6 months in advance. If only someone would get their finger out and get a few ferries sailing from Rosyth. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GallowayBlue Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Where are people booking flights this early? Lufthansa? What will be the best way to get tickets for people with no SSC points if Scotland qualify? Splashing out for hospitality...? Or will there be another way? Ticket resales maybe? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSJ.84 Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, GallowayBlue said: Where are people booking flights this early? Lufthansa? What will be the best way to get tickets for people with no SSC points if Scotland qualify? Splashing out for hospitality...? Or will there be another way? Ticket resales maybe? UEFA sell their own ‘neutral’ tickets, so you’d have a good chance of getting them that way. https://www.uefa.com/euro2024/ticketing/ 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lubo_blaha Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 9 minutes ago, GallowayBlue said: Where are people booking flights this early? Lufthansa? What will be the best way to get tickets for people with no SSC points if Scotland qualify? Splashing out for hospitality...? Or will there be another way? Ticket resales maybe? UEFA put a huge number of tickets on ballot to the general public (around 40% of the capacity for each game I think). They have them available before and after the teams are known so there’ll be an avenue there. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pie Of The Month Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 For an idea of Scotland's official allocation (if we make it, I still can't do any of these types of posts without saying if) here's what Wales got for euro 2016, although all 3 were increased later on and were smaller to begin with. v Slovakia 8,969 in Bordeaux (42,155 capacity) v England 5,202 in Lens (38,223) v Russia 7,002 in Toulouse (33,150) Really for an increased allocation you want to avoid teams that will also bring a big support or one with a lot of neutral interest so there's less corporates. There was a massive thread on here for the euro 2020 ballot pre-COVID and before we even knew Scotland had qualified and a fair number of people got Hampden games through the ballot before it was re-done with reduced capacity so I think people will have a decent chance of tickets even if not in the supporters club. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
falkirkzombie Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 booked hotel in Düsseldorf for 10 days, seems to be a good base location for most of the host venues, will just day drip to Berlin or Munich if required. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stellaboz Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 Will be raging if our games are Munich, Leipzig and Berlin. Will be bouncing if they're Cologne, Dusseldorf and Dortmund/Schalke 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
falkirkzombie Posted June 21, 2023 Share Posted June 21, 2023 9 minutes ago, Stellaboz said: Will be raging if our games are Munich, Leipzig and Berlin. Will be bouncing if they're Cologne, Dusseldorf and Dortmund/Schalke even Frankfurt or Hamburg are easily got to for a day out from Dusseldorf - its the place to be 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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