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Loki

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Posts posted by Loki

  1. I feel the GOAT argument is a bit daft mainly as each of the big three have talents that are specifically suited to a surface.  We have 65% hard court, 25% clay and 10% grass.  If we were to switch those about to reflect each players best surface it would be a different result.

    Novak’s low error game is suited to hard courts more than the others, however he can be exposed on faster courts.  Hence his record at the Australian Open and US Open differs significantly.  Think if one of the hard courts was changed to grass or clay, he’d still do okay as his low error games suits any surface that is medium or slow paced.

    On Grass Federer is the best however he’s lost finals to both Nadal and Djokovic there.  Djokovic only has five due to the injuries to Murray.  If Murray never had the back or hip injuries Murray would have five.  Although changing two of the slams to grass wouldn’t really have that much affect as the years he was dominant he was also winning the hard court slams.

    Clay is Nadal.  65% clay tournaments with two being clay, Nadal would have over 30 slams and none of them would be close.  In slams Nadals record against both is superior, although helped be his ability on clay.

    Without Federer’s brilliance to drive Nadal, we wouldn’t have been at the level to get here.  The emergence of both Murray and Djokovic pushed that level even higher.  Without each other Nadal, Federer and Djokovic wouldn’t be as great.

    Collectively they’re the greatest ever to play the sport.  No one can touch them.

  2. Rafa figured out Medvedev from the middle of the second set, and only his own nervousness fucked that second set.

    It shows the difference in ability from Rafa’s generation to the latest, that the three top guys in this generation have lost slam finals from being two sets up.  All of them.

    I can’t see Medvedev having any chances on the natural surfaces.  But if it’s any consolation this might be the last time we see anyone from This golden era win a slam on a hard court.

  3. 13 minutes ago, Mark Connolly said:

    Is there some sort of shite goalkeeping vortex at that end of the pitch?

    It opened up when Scott Fox forgot about Morelos and has been possessing keepers ever since.

    1 minute ago, Scotty Tunbridge said:

    Serious question who was the last proper good goalkeeper County have had? They’ve just had meh keepers for as long as I remember.

    Mick McGovern is the last keeper County had that I thought there was a safe pair of hands.  

  4. In the womens side Barty is just playing so solidly, that even a rejuvenated Madison Keys probably doesn’t have a chance.

    Swiatek against Collins a bit more even, Swiatek can generate easier power, so you’d expect her to win.  Collins can get the ball back in court long enough to extract errors, so should be interesting semi.

    Barty will be the first Australian champion since Chris O’Neil in 1978.  Up until that point only 10 non Australians had won it on the womens side.

  5. As well as Felix played, he bottles every big match he’s ever played.  There will be plenty of opportunities for him though, to get over that hurdle.  

    I’m not even going to bother watching the Tsitsipas Medvedev semi.  Both players 10 feet behind the baseline playing pong until someone makes an error. Tsitsipas will have to play exceptionally well to win.  Can see it going exactly the same way as last years semi.  But if he moves forward a bit more he’ll be able to cut Medvedev out with the angles from his backhand

    Berretini has the best chance of an upset, just plays solidly throughout.  Over the last couple of years just beats everyone ranked below him at the Slams.  Just feel Nadal will just bring it and go through.
     

     

  6. On 25/01/2022 at 10:36, Trogdor said:

    I should add as well. If you are chronically slow your fixtures will pile up and you end up playing multiple games at once which is not conducive to good chess. Unless you are @Ziggy who can juggle 20+ games at once.

    It's in everyone's interest to progress their games. Are there actually people playing slowly for nefarious reasons? Who are they? What advantage are they gaining?

    To @SweeperDee's point - I'm pretty sure the flexibility exists to agree a seperate time control between both players and report the result. 

    Yeah that is true, but you also have to factor that slow players will also cause other players to have a fixture pile up.  They then have to play multiple games at the same time impacting on their playing time in a day.  Less thinking time per move impacting on their quality of move.

    A point penalty for games over the 14 days would probably be the only solution,  something to think about for next season.

    I had to laugh at the use of “nefarious reasons” though 😂.  

     

  7. 3 hours ago, Trogdor said:

    That may well be the rule but I'd wager its not being applied and rightly so imo.

    In theory you could get to 14 days with only 7 completed moves. I'm not convinced screenshoting the position after 7 moves for the forum to decide would lead to a conclusive result. Then there's the double default option. However, there is a problem there as well.

    Say I'm playing you and you are challenging for the title and I'm in midtable obscurity. I just opt to run the clock down so it's a double default after 14 days, you don't get a point, neither do I, but my mate who is challenging you at the top end wins their game. It seems open to abuse to me.

    It's far more sensible to allow players to play it out imo. When considering a time control over the board it's usually based on 60 moves (which is considered the mean game length). I would suggest the 14 days is scrapped for 30 days tbh. I think giving players a month to finish their game when it's 1 move per day is perfectly reasonable. 14 days is not.

    But likewise extending your games towards the end of the season, so you know exactly what you need to get the position your aiming for is also open to abuse.  A point for both players for finishing within the deadline could be a compromise.  

    Round 2 Div A

    GKNeil defeats GCarlos9 by resignation.

  8. 9 hours ago, TheScarf said:

    Zverev hounded 3 zip by Shapovalov, my word.

    It’s a surprise in terms of ranking, but not a surprise in terms of his performance at slams.   The moment he gets in a bit of trouble in a longer match, he just doesn’t have the tactical nous or fight to get through it unless he starts swinging and red lining.

    He’s never beaten a top 10 player in a slam (0-11),  and if we go to top 20 players he’s 4-15.  Just hasn’t been able to transition his best of three form into slams.

  9. Taro did to Andy Murray what Andy Murray has made a career out of.  Just giving his opponent one more ball to extract the error.

    He made some easy errors coming forward and that really stopped that tactic.  The run last week has probably drained him physically, as he looked like he didn’t have much to give there today.

    He no longer has the Duracell batteries in. I don’t think he would have got past Sinner anyway, but still a disappointing loss.  No doubt will play a few indoor tournaments, he’s got no points to defend until Wimbledon so has plenty of scope to get up the rankings.
     

     

     

  10. If it’s any consolation I also thought Sloane would win.  Raducanu loves a crowd, and just elevates her game.  Fernandez didn’t have such a good time in her first round though.   
     

    Liam Broady is an excellent example of where hard work gets you,  didn’t have a world ranking during the pandemic.  But helped Murray train for the Battle of the Brits meets and has kicked on from there.  I thought he’d have a shot at Kyrgios, but even a man just out of isolation and little training can just turn it on.  
     

    Third prediction (third time lucky) Kyrgios to beat Medvedev.  Cue a 6-2 6-2 6-1 win for the pantomime villain.

  11. 3 hours ago, Mark Connolly said:

    All the Grand Slams are 5th set tie break aren't they?

    Andy with the classic Andy roller coaster here

    Almost, three of the four have a tie break of some sort. In Australia it’s a champions tie break (first to 10) after 6-6 in the fifth.  French Open is still play until your two games clear.  Wimbledon is normal tie breaker after 12-12 in the fifth.  The US Open is tie breaker as normal in the fifth at 6-6.

    Kyrgios looked pretty impressive today and will be absolutely relishing playing Medvedev.  That Aussie crowd cheering Kyrgios and annoying Medvedev should be comedy gold.   That could be extremely interesting.

    Taro Daniel is decent but doesn’t have the weapons that Basilashvili has, not the defensive skill of Murray so it should be a good match up for him.  Daniel will serve well though or at least he has been through qualies.

  12. 33 minutes ago, Bob in Denny said:

    The thing that amazes me is the fact if you previously had covid, you then could get an exemption?

     

    The documentation from ATAGI was that an exemption from vaccination would be available if a COVID infection prevented you from getting vaccinated.

    Tennis Australia absolutely fucked that up.

    Just a shame Andy wasn’t in that quarter, it’s wide open now.  Andy will be playing on Tuesday. Possible Kyrgios Medvedev in Round 2 but I fancy Liam Broady to push him and possibly beat Kyrgios.  Raducanu got a stinking draw against Sloane Stephens.  Sloane is winning that.

  13. 40 minutes ago, AmericanFan said:

    Ok, I think that helps, but no, it's not total goals, it's the spread.  I believe your first line is what's accurate, at least what I interpret it at my book.

    Someone way back said that the UK does fraction bets? Where over here it's + and - where everything basically revolves around 100.  In a - number, such as -150, you're laying 150 to win 100, while a +150 you'd lay 100 to win 150.

     

    Yes here we use either fractional odds or we just use a decimal multiplier.

    Your -150 odds would 4/6 (odds on) or 1.667.   You bet 150 and it returns 250.

    Your +150 odds would be 6/4 (odds against) or 2.5.  You bet 100 and it returns 250.

     

  14. Karatsev has done that to Djokovic and Medvedev.  He’s an exceptional player, very much in the Wawrinka mould where he can over power any opponent at anytime and there is nothing they can do about it.  Just a shame Murray couldn’t serve better to give him more of a chance.  Great week beating the second and fourth seed, and a first round win in Oz Open should see him back inside the top 100.

    If there’s an adjournment in Novak’s trial it could make the draw interesting.  If the order of play comes out and Novak gets deported after that a Lucky Loser will become the #1 seed.  If Novak is deported before the order of play comes out, the seeds will be rejigged.  #3 will move to #1, #5 to #3, #9 to #5, #17 to #9, 33rd in list will be promoted to #17 seed.

     

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