Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Disaster news for the NCC as panelbase's twitter account states that the client (Yes Scotland) are requesting the poll not to be released. It seems the 51% Yes was well wide of the mark. TNS to report "middle of next week" with what will surely be their final poll and the one that they will be judged on. Yougov will report in the Sunday times this week, apparently the survey was very detailed with many aspects of the referendum campaign covered. I won't be shocked if Yes dramatically seizes the lead on Sunday. I'd imagine Yougov will have at least one more poll, though. No news on ipsos mori Survation/Daily record/Better Nation poll on Thursday, a week before the referendum. Their polls look at both the referendum and Holyrood voting intentions. ICM's client is Scotland on Sunday so I'd imagine their final poll will be on the 14th rather than this coming Sunday. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 And yet you're still only being offered 1/2 on a No lead? So No has a 66.7% chance of being in the lead and there's also a 16.7% chance of a dead heat? Yes is suspended due to a suspicious betting pattern, if the book was to hold true then the actual odds on Yes would be more than 2/1 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pandarilla Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 And yet you're still only being offered 1/2 on a No lead? So No has a 66.7% chance of being in the lead and there's also a 16.7% chance of a dead heat? Yes is suspended due to a suspicious betting pattern, if the book was to hold true then the actual odds on Yes would be more than 2/1 More than 2/1? Do bookies not want to make a decent profit? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamaldo Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Disaster news for the NCC as panelbase's twitter account states that the client (Yes Scotland) are requesting the poll not to be released. It seems the 51% Yes was well wide of the mark. TNS to report "middle of next week" with what will surely be their final poll and the one that they will be judged on. Yougov will report in the Sunday times this week, apparently the survey was very detailed with many aspects of the referendum campaign covered. I won't be shocked if Yes dramatically seizes the lead on Sunday. I'd imagine Yougov will have at least one more poll, though. No news on ipsos mori Survation/Daily record/Better Nation poll on Thursday, a week before the referendum. Their polls look at both the referendum and Holyrood voting intentions. ICM's client is Scotland on Sunday so I'd imagine their final poll will be on the 14th rather than this coming Sunday. There is absolutely nothing on their twitter feed stating that. Their last tweet was yesterday, and was in relation to a fracking poll. Unless they have another account that I'm unaware of. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Is it me or does it feel like there's been quite a gap since we got a lot of polls? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Disaster news for the NCC as panelbase's twitter account states that the client (Yes Scotland) are requesting the poll not to be released. . That's one way of looking at it. What if they didn't want it released because it showed a large lead? Maybe not wanting activists to become complacent? Still think there is going to be a last bit of manipulation with the polls. YouGov showing fall in support for Yes this Sunday perhaps? Every dirty trick in the book with be played now. We know what's happening on the ground so just need to stay focussed regardless of what they throw at us. We are in a propaganda war right now and they will do al they can to demoralise the troops 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 There is absolutely nothing on their twitter feed stating that. Their last tweet was yesterday, and was in relation to a fracking poll. Unless they have another account that I'm unaware of. https://twitter.com/PanelbaseMD/with_replies 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antiochas III Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Page doesn't exist 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SweeperDee Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 https://twitter.com/PanelbaseMD/with_replies That can't be a genuine account? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Page doesn't exist Oh I think it does. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 That can't be a genuine account? @panelbasemd on twitter Most of their tweets are direct replies to people. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 I promise I will post on this thread in a fortnight regardless of result, do you? Absolutely. I will vent seethe like you wouldn't believe. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SweeperDee Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 @panelbasemd on twitter Most of their tweets are direct replies to people. The official one and that one are completely separate accounts; the reason given on the shoddy account you've provided is that they are the "MD" of panelbase. Not verified, nor are there any signs of any recognition from the official panelbase account. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antiochas III Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 @panelbasemd on twitter Most of their tweets are direct replies to people. So, the link is https://mobile.twitter.com/PanelbaseMD , not what you posted. Also can't see what you state. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 So, the link is https://mobile.twitter.com/PanelbaseMD , not what you posted. Also can't see what you state. You have to look in the "tweets and replies" tab. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 You have to look in the "tweets and replies" tab. So the MD of Panelbase, one of the leading pollsters, and heavily involved in the biggest political movement this country has ever seen, has 55 followers? Wind it in, Scrapster. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antiochas III Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Didn't even notice that. Not to mention the amount of tweets from that account from 2 May to 1 September..... 0 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 Didn't even notice that. Not to mention the amount of tweets from that account from 2 May to 1 September..... 0 Don't tell me you've never heard of the Panelbase summer hibernation? Oh, Mr Bairn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 (edited) If somebody was on Twitter impersonating the MD of Panelbase, wouldn't the company have something to say about it? Anyway, if the SNP or Yes Scotland have commissioned a private poll then it could be about specific aspects of the campaign or to help target campaigning for the final week. All parties will have conducted lots of polls that haven't been published throughout the campaign. ETA - You can now bet on the outcome of the next Panelbase / YouGov etc poll apparently. Seems a strange thing to bet on. Edited September 5, 2014 by ICTChris 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casual Bystander Posted September 5, 2014 Share Posted September 5, 2014 I think Mr Bairn should just post the twitter link to a London local radio DJ and just be done with it. After all that was his last "fact checking" source. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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