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Exit Polls- Why they are important.


MarePeople

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1. Exit polls are not prohibited.

2. Exit polls do not verify actual votes.

3. None of the broadcasters or other media outlets decided it prudent or sufficiently useful to commission an exit poll. That is why there isn't one.

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Prohibition on publication of exit polls

8(1)No person may publish before the close of the poll-

(a)any statement relating to the way in which voters have voted in the referendum where that statement is (or might reasonably be taken to be) based on information given by voters after they have voted, or

(b)any forecast as to the result of the referendum which is (or might reasonably be taken to be) based on information so given.

(2)If a person acts in contravention of this paragraph the person commits an offence.

(3)A person who commits an offence under sub-paragraph (2) is liable on summary conviction to imprisonment for a term not exceeding 12 months or to a fine not exceeding level 5 on the standard scale (or both).

(4)In this paragraph-

"forecast" includes estimate,

"publish" means make available to the public at large (or any section of the public), in whatever form and by whatever means,

"voters" includes proxies for voters,

any reference to the result of the referendum is a reference to the result for the whole of Scotland or the result in one or more local government areas.

there you go, written into the act

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Pretty sure the exit polls in 1992 predicted a Labour win.

They did. It resulted in a complete rethink of the methodology and in the four elections since they've been pretty much spot on. Of course, that wasn't hard in 1997 and 2001, but 2005 predicted the exact Labour majority of 66. 2010 wasn't far off either.

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