HTG Posted July 3, 2015 Share Posted July 3, 2015 Showing up a strike near Denny. . "Near" is not good enough! That won't sort anything. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 3, 2015 Author Share Posted July 3, 2015 (edited) Have heard throughout the day differing predictions on where tonight's/early morning thunderstorms. The general opinion is that they will start as the sun goes down in the South of England and work their way north during the night, how far north I don't know. Met Office going for about 10pm in the west country for the first thunderstorms. So good for some for night time storms. Currently we are seeing a small amount of lightning strikes shown on the detectors around Southern Ireland and in the Irish Sea north of Devon and Cornwall. Some small isolated rain showers showing up on the radar down the east coast from Fife down to Suffolk. Larger showers now showing up in Wales and in Devon. Edit: Aberystwyth has the first UK land lightning strikes of the evening. Edited July 3, 2015 by CityDave 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 3, 2015 Author Share Posted July 3, 2015 Latest warning from TORRO. TORRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2015/004 and TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION 2015/007 A TORRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH and CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION have been issued at 21:35GMT on Friday July 3rd 2015 Valid from/until: 21:35-06:00 (SVR WATCH) and 21:25-12:00 (CONV DISCUSSION) on Friday July 3rd/Saturday July 4th 2015 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire: Much of England along with SE Wales (SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH) Much of western England/Wales into Scotland, and eastern Ireland, and Northern Ireland (CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION) THREATS SVR WATCH (blue box): Hail to 20-50mm diameter; wind gusts to 60mph; frequent CG lightning; locally heavy rainfall. CONV DISCUSION (yellow box): Hail to 15mm diamter; wind gusts to 50mph; CG lightning; locally heavy rainfall. SYNOPSIS A plume of moisture and instability is moving quickly northwards across the British Isles this evening. Scattered thunderstorms have formed along the warm front in N Wales/N Midlands, and within the moisture plume close to Dorset. Other thunderstorms have formed close to southern Ireland. As a strong upper trough moves in overnight, thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage across much of the British Isles, but the higher instability/shear combination will be reserved for the severe thunderstorm watch area. However, within this area, there is a stronger capping inversion, especially with south-eastward extent. Thus, storms may be more isolated towards SE England, and indeed may not develop here at all. The mixture of ~1000J/Kg of elevated CAPE and shear values of 30-40 knots across the severe thunderstorm watch area suggests that elevated supercells and well-organised multicells may develop, bringing the risk of large hail and locally strong winds. If storms tend to congeal into one or more clusters, or even an MCS, a more widespread wind threat could emerge. The tornado risk is considered low due to the slightly elevated nature of the storms. However, there may be a brief window of oppurtunity in the higher instability area in the south-east of the watch. For the convective discussion area, CAPE is somewhat more meagre, although forcing for ascent from the approaching upper trough will be stronger, and so thunderstorms are still likely. A few may become strong with moderately large hail and a few strong wind gusts. The activity will continue to shift northwards overnight with the risk decreasing quickly in the wake of it across southern and central areas later in the night. Forecaster: RPK. Attached Thumbnails 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unleash The Nade Posted July 3, 2015 Share Posted July 3, 2015 Latest warning from TORRO. TORRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2015/004 and TORRO CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION 2015/007 A TORRO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH and CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION have been issued at 21:35GMT on Friday July 3rd 2015 Valid from/until: 21:35-06:00 (SVR WATCH) and 21:25-12:00 (CONV DISCUSSION) on Friday July 3rd/Saturday July 4th 2015 for the following regions of the United Kingdom & Eire: Much of England along with SE Wales (SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH) Much of western England/Wales into Scotland, and eastern Ireland, and Northern Ireland (CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION) THREATS SVR WATCH (blue box): Hail to 20-50mm diameter; wind gusts to 60mph; frequent CG lightning; locally heavy rainfall. CONV DISCUSION (yellow box): Hail to 15mm diamter; wind gusts to 50mph; CG lightning; locally heavy rainfall. SYNOPSIS A plume of moisture and instability is moving quickly northwards across the British Isles this evening. Scattered thunderstorms have formed along the warm front in N Wales/N Midlands, and within the moisture plume close to Dorset. Other thunderstorms have formed close to southern Ireland. As a strong upper trough moves in overnight, thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage across much of the British Isles, but the higher instability/shear combination will be reserved for the severe thunderstorm watch area. However, within this area, there is a stronger capping inversion, especially with south-eastward extent. Thus, storms may be more isolated towards SE England, and indeed may not develop here at all. The mixture of ~1000J/Kg of elevated CAPE and shear values of 30-40 knots across the severe thunderstorm watch area suggests that elevated supercells and well-organised multicells may develop, bringing the risk of large hail and locally strong winds. If storms tend to congeal into one or more clusters, or even an MCS, a more widespread wind threat could emerge. The tornado risk is considered low due to the slightly elevated nature of the storms. However, there may be a brief window of oppurtunity in the higher instability area in the south-east of the watch. For the convective discussion area, CAPE is somewhat more meagre, although forcing for ascent from the approaching upper trough will be stronger, and so thunderstorms are still likely. A few may become strong with moderately large hail and a few strong wind gusts. The activity will continue to shift northwards overnight with the risk decreasing quickly in the wake of it across southern and central areas later in the night. Forecaster: RPK. Attached Thumbnails So in summary A shit day tomorrow ! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 3, 2015 Author Share Posted July 3, 2015 (edited) All kicking of over the last hour being led by a warm front with smaller storms in a line from Lancaster to the Humber, now approaching Cumbria and Yorkshire. Should be in Scotland within the next two hours maybe sooner, didn't expect this to form so far north as it did. Behind this storms are popping up almost anywhere, but the real monsters are close to the cold front in the south of England, in the south and along the coast. Webcam for the coast at Bournemouth http://www.bournemouth.gov.uk/AttractionsLeisure/BeachesandWaterfront/PierApproachWebcam2.aspx lightning almost every couple of seconds. Edited July 3, 2015 by CityDave 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 3, 2015 Author Share Posted July 3, 2015 London being lit up just now http://www.visitlondon.com/discover-london/tower-bridge-webcam That storm that moved onto land at Bournemouth is being regarded as a supercell and has now a developed core, this doesn't sound good if you are in its path. The Storms in the north look to be running out of puff. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 4, 2015 Author Share Posted July 4, 2015 Line of storms bothering Ayrshire, Dumfries & Galloway and Cumbria just now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jagfox Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Thunder and lightning over Glasgow' s leafy West End right now 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eoin Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Heading for Dundee from the looks of it, oh joy 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlyerTon Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Here's where the lightning is: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/rainfall-radar#?map=Lightning&fcTime=1435947300&zoom=7&lon=-3.47&lat=55.92 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1320Lichtie Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Just woke up to some pretty mental rain. If only we had Summer football in this country eh... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernLights Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Pissing down in Aberdeen right now and there is the odd rumble of thunder. Just seen a visible flash of lightning now as well. This is quite a good website for live lightning information - http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zen Archer (Raconteur) Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 (edited) Aye it's braw. My wee lass loves coming up here to stay in a big wooden triangle! Does it still get called Campbells Kingdom. The auld man was a right c**t and liked to threaten folk with a shotgun. Edited July 4, 2015 by Zen Archer 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sergeant Wilson Posted July 4, 2015 Share Posted July 4, 2015 Lochgoilhead is a nice wee place . Was there many years ago in my teens. Remember we shop on its tod thereI never go shopping with you. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SweeperDee Posted July 5, 2015 Share Posted July 5, 2015 Heavy rain and thunder in Dundee now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 5, 2015 Author Share Posted July 5, 2015 A couple of thunder storms kicking about in Scotland just now, one on Speyside near Grantown and another in the Borders in the Duns area. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sergeant Wilson Posted July 5, 2015 Share Posted July 5, 2015 Heavy rain and thunder in Dundee now.Cuddle in to your Gran. It'll be away in a minute. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SweeperDee Posted July 5, 2015 Share Posted July 5, 2015 Cuddle in to your Gran. It'll be away in a minute. Right... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dee Dee Posted July 5, 2015 Share Posted July 5, 2015 ETA: Just asked the faither-in-law. Apparently yes, it was known as Campbell's Kingdom and yes, apparently Auld Man Campbell was a c**t. You could, almost, refer to him as a scunner. Yeah? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CityDave Posted July 5, 2015 Author Share Posted July 5, 2015 Post box hit by lightning in North London, just as well no one posts letters anymore or lived in there (knowing how difficult it is to find decent size property). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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