FlyerTon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Tories 1/5 on for most seats, Labour 4-1. http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlyerTon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 How accurate are exit polls these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 How accurate are exit polls these days? Who are you voting for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlyerTon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Who are you voting for? Who most on here are voting for - I take it with your avatar you're the same?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stephen Malkmus Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 How accurate are exit polls these days? http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-30/u-k-election-exit-pollster-says-his-poll-may-be-vague-or-wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 My final, final, final predictions Conservatives - 1 Berwickshire, Roxborough and Selkirk Lib Dems - 1 Orkney & Shetland Labour - 4 Dumfries & Galloway East Renfrewshire Edinburgh South Glasgow North East SNP - 53 The rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 My final prediction SNP 42 Labour 13 LD 3 Tory 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlyerTon Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Sadly even if the Tories get no seats here and win overall they'll have a free hand to continue shutting things down here like they have done in the last 5 years. Zero mandate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 My final prediction SNP 42 Labour 13 LD 3 Tory 1. If Labour get 13 seats I'm holding you personally responsible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Uk wide final predictions: Conservatives - 270 Labour - 269 SNP - 53 Liberal Democrats - 32 DUP - 9 Sinn Fein - 5 SDLP - 3 Plaid Cymru - 3 UKIP - 2 Greens - 1 Respect - 1 Independent - 1 Speaker - 1 After removing the speaker, his deputies and Sinn Fein you have the Conservatives 52 seats short of an overall majority and Labour 54 seats short. I just have a feeling that if the Conservatives have the most votes and most seats, Miliband might be willing to abstain the Queens speech and let them run as a disastrous minority government for a year or so before voting them out of office, allowing Labour to build up popularity with a view to winning a future overall majority. It's going to be a very, very interesting few days ahead. If the parties are involved in a race to 321 then you have Labour commanding an overall majority of 18 with support from the SNP, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Caroline Lucas, George Galloway and Sylvia Hermon. If they could get the Liberal Democrats on their side as well then it would be a pretty safe government. Thing is though Labour look more willing to work with the Conservatives than the SNP and those other smaller parties and MPs aren't all that relevant in this context. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Heliums Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 I just have a feeling that if the Conservatives have the most votes and most seats, Miliband might be willing to abstain the Queens speech and let them run as a disastrous minority government for a year or so before voting them out of office, allowing Labour to build up popularity with a view to winning a future overall majority. 'Build up popularity' by allowing the Tories into office? Not sure that would work here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glasgow-sheep Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 YouGov Nowcast is interesting Overall prediction is SNP 51 Lab 6 Libdem 1 Con 1 But break it down and you get SNP: Certs: 18 Likely 12 Leaning 7 Too Close To Call 14 Lab: Certs 0 Likely 0 Leaning 2 TCTC 4 Lib Dems Cert 1 Con TCTC 1 So if you say all the certs and likelys go the way predicted but on a good day the others go to you while on a bad day they go to your nearest challenger: SNP on a bad day could get 30, on a good day 57 Lab on a bad day 0, on a good day 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 'Build up popularity' by allowing the Tories into office? Not sure that would work here. The Tories trying to run a minority government with only 268 seats would be an unmitigated disaster, especially with only 41 allies (And that's me generously including the Lib Dems) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anonapersona Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 My final, final, final predictions Conservatives - 1 Berwickshire, Roxborough and Selkirk Lib Dems - 1 Orkney & Shetland Labour - 4 Dumfries & Galloway East Renfrewshire Edinburgh South Glasgow North East SNP - 53 The rest It's not a nice feeling knowing I come from the one place that could go Tory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 YouGov Nowcast is interesting Overall prediction is SNP 51 Lab 6 Libdem 1 Con 1 But break it down and you get SNP: Certs: 18 Likely 12 Leaning 7 Too Close To Call 14 Lab: Certs 0 Likely 0 Leaning 2 TCTC 4 Lib Dems Cert 1 Con TCTC 1 So if you say all the certs and likelys go the way predicted but on a good day the others go to you while on a bad day they go to your nearest challenger: SNP on a bad day could get 30, on a good day 57 Lab on a bad day 0, on a good day 27 Yip. Thats why my SNP prediction of 42 is realistic. 50+ is fantasy imo.. *preparing to be called a pessimistic shitebag* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Yip. Thats why my SNP prediction of 42 is realistic. 50+ is fantasy imo.. *preparing to be called a pessimistic shitebag* You're a pessimistic shitebag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted May 6, 2015 Author Share Posted May 6, 2015 Uk wide final predictions: Conservatives - 270 Labour - 269 SNP - 53 Liberal Democrats - 32 DUP - 9 Sinn Fein - 5 SDLP - 3 Plaid Cymru - 3 UKIP - 2 Greens - 1 Respect - 1 Independent - 1 Speaker - 1 After removing the speaker, his deputies and Sinn Fein you have the Conservatives 52 seats short of an overall majority and Labour 54 seats short. I just have a feeling that if the Conservatives have the most votes and most seats, Miliband might be willing to abstain the Queens speech and let them run as a disastrous minority government for a year or so before voting them out of office, allowing Labour to build up popularity with a view to winning a future overall majority. It's going to be a very, very interesting few days ahead. If the parties are involved in a race to 321 then you have Labour commanding an overall majority of 18 with support from the SNP, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Caroline Lucas, George Galloway and Sylvia Hermon. If they could get the Liberal Democrats on their side as well then it would be a pretty safe government. Thing is though Labour look more willing to work with the Conservatives than the SNP and those other smaller parties and MPs aren't all that relevant in this context. Miliband would be deposed if he suggested that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Uk wide final predictions: Conservatives - 270 Labour - 269 SNP - 53 Liberal Democrats - 32 DUP - 9 Sinn Fein - 5 SDLP - 3 Plaid Cymru - 3 UKIP - 2 Greens - 1 Respect - 1 Independent - 1 Speaker - 1 After removing the speaker, his deputies and Sinn Fein you have the Conservatives 52 seats short of an overall majority and Labour 54 seats short. I just have a feeling that if the Conservatives have the most votes and most seats, Miliband might be willing to abstain the Queens speech and let them run as a disastrous minority government for a year or so before voting them out of office, allowing Labour to build up popularity with a view to winning a future overall majority. It's going to be a very, very interesting few days ahead. If the parties are involved in a race to 321 then you have Labour commanding an overall majority of 18 with support from the SNP, Plaid Cymru, SDLP, Caroline Lucas, George Galloway and Sylvia Hermon. If they could get the Liberal Democrats on their side as well then it would be a pretty safe government. Thing is though Labour look more willing to work with the Conservatives than the SNP and those other smaller parties and MPs aren't all that relevant in this context. Miliband would lose Scotland's 59 seats forever if he did that IMO. That would be bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I'm Brian Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 Looks like YouGov are doing an online exit poll tomorrow. Just had an e-mail alerting me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sloop John B Posted May 6, 2015 Share Posted May 6, 2015 My prediction: SNP 55 Labour 2 Lib dem 1 Conservative 1 Ainsley Harriot Gifs: 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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