Christophe Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 There's no value in putting a pound on at ten million to one on a football match? Ok then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 There's no value in putting a pound on at ten million to one on a football match? Ok then. Not if it is never going to come in, no. You'd be as well firing n the Lotto than that, better odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christophe Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Not if it is never going to come in, no. You'd be as well firing n the Lotto than that, better odds. Better odds than the price maybe, not better odds than 11 blokes beating another 11, which is very much the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Better odds than the price maybe, not better odds than 11 blokes beating another 11, which is very much the point. Aye a suppose you're right, I'm sure Messi et al would be up all night trying to figure out a game plan to get by Stenny's defence while Pique and Mascherano are getting the sweats at the thought of Stennys attacking force of Tony Marenghi and Colin McMenamin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christophe Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Going to assume you've deliberately missed the point of a hypothetical scenario there to justify your claim that it'd be more value to try winning ten mill on the lottery than in a one off 90 minute football game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Going to assume you've deliberately missed the point of a hypothetical scenario there to justify your claim that it'd be more value to try winning ten mill on the lottery than in a one off 90 minute football game If a football team is ten million to one in a match, there is a reason for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren1872 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 £10 on Dumbarton -1 @ 5-1 £5 on QOS, St Mirren, Stenhousemuir & Dunfermline @ 6.14/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 In fact Christophe, there's only one way to sort this.... You go find a accumulator that will get you 10 million pounds back from a single pound, I'll go fire a pound on the lottery and we'll see who comes out on top? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christophe Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 If a football team is ten million to one in a match, there is a reason for that. So you're saying there's no such thing as value then, all games are always perfectly priced and betting is a science? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 £10 on Dumbarton @ 5-1 £5 on QOS, St Mirren, Stenhousemuir & Dunfermline @ 6.14/1 Where the hell did you get 5/1 from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christophe Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 In fact Christophe, there's only one way to sort this.... You go find a accumulator that will get you 10 million pounds back from a single pound, I'll go fire a pound on the lottery and we'll see who comes out on top? Probably the best end game here, we'll give these guys their thread back and we can start a new one when one of us comes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 So you're saying there's no such thing as value then, all games are always perfectly priced and betting is a science? There is value in a price where the team that is priced well has a chance of winning. For example today, Dumbarton are overpriced for their visit to Morton who have only have 1 available centre half and have lost their top scorer from last season. Their is value in teams who are capable of winning, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simplistic Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Gone for both teams to score in every game except Hibs Rangers and St Mirren Berwick. 850/1 ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darren1872 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Where the hell did you get 5/1 from? Opps for was -1. Edited my OP. Still cracking odds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callum-ayr Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Opps for was -1. Edited my OP. Still cracking odds. Aw haha, thought my 2/1 was laughing at me there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Killiesquirrel Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Dumbarton Ayr Stenny Queens Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loki Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 There is value in a price where the team that is priced well has a chance of winning. For example today, Dumbarton are overpriced for their visit to Morton who have only have 1 available centre half and have lost their top scorer from last season. Their is value in teams who are capable of winning, yes. You do not understand what value is. You are spouting utter nonsense. If the odds given by a bookmaker represent a smaller chance of the probability occurring, then we have value. You could have an outcome being 10% chance of it occurring, and the bookmaker is giving you 12/1. It does not matter if your bet wins or loses. It is great value. As long as you find value in your betting you will make a profit long term. Value is found everywhere. The lottery is a bad value bet as you do not get anywhere near the 14m/1 odds required. So Christophe is quite correct in saying that you can find value in a bet you don't think is going to win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loki Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Christophe said Stenny would never win. There can never be value in something that will never win. Any team with McMenamin has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lyle Lanley Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 £5 on Forfar -2, Falkirk -1, Dumbarton, St.Mirren, QOTS, Dunfermline, Stenhousemuir Returns £877 f**k off Forfar . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerrdavidson95 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Other result was Alloa. When will I learn not to bet on my own team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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