AUFC90 Posted May 17, 2017 Share Posted May 17, 2017 On 5/14/2017 at 22:24, MarkoRaj said: Pretty sure that's him. His twitter was here a wee while ago It is, or at least that's the pic everyone was tying him to a while back. He looks just as much of a fanny as I expected tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieThomas Posted May 17, 2017 Share Posted May 17, 2017 Jack Nance is looking well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reluctant Hero Posted May 31, 2017 Author Share Posted May 31, 2017 I was a bit bored this morning so I’ve created a visual that shows the majorities in each Scottish Seat from smallest majority to largest. If you hover over each bar, it gives you more information on the constituency. The graph below the first one has the same constituency order, but this time the size of the bar shows the majority on the basis of percentage. Link to visual 1 The next visual shows the constituencies in order of majority again, but this time the top graph is coloured by the party that came second. The bottom graph shows the turnout in each constituency. Link to visual 2 And this visual has a raft of election info from past elections plus a list of the candidates in each constituency for next Thursday. Link to election info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bring Your Own Socks Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Reluctant Hero said: I was a bit bored this morning so I’ve created a visual that shows the majorities in each Scottish Seat from smallest majority to largest. If you hover over each bar, it gives you more information on the constituency. The graph below the first one has the same constituency order, but this time the size of the bar shows the majority on the basis of percentage. Link to visual 1 The next visual shows the constituencies in order of majority again, but this time the top graph is coloured by the party that came second. The bottom graph shows the turnout in each constituency. Link to visual 2 And this visual has a raft of election info from past elections plus a list of the candidates in each constituency for next Thursday. Link to election info Excellent work! The first one is a stark reminder of how far the Tory vote has to come to get second place. I'm hopeful that Corbyn's resurgence will sway a few reds to hang around for a bit thus diluting the Tory effort. The only party likely to maintain performance is the SNP. If all that works out, I wouldn't be surprised if the SNP gain on the night and the Tories lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee Willie Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 19 minutes ago, Reluctant Hero said: I was a bit bored this morning so I’ve created a visual that shows the majorities in each Scottish Seat from smallest majority to largest. If you hover over each bar, it gives you more information on the constituency. The graph below the first one has the same constituency order, but this time the size of the bar shows the majority on the basis of percentage. Link to visual 1 The next visual shows the constituencies in order of majority again, but this time the top graph is coloured by the party that came second. The bottom graph shows the turnout in each constituency. Link to visual 2 And this visual has a raft of election info from past elections plus a list of the candidates in each constituency for next Thursday. Link to election info That's cool - well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dogmc Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Christ when I'm a bit bored I normally have a w**k or play call of duty. Good to see there are people out there more productive than me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Master Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 I'm in the safest seat in Scotland by % majority. That's fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MEADOWXI Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Excellent work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crossbill Posted May 31, 2017 Share Posted May 31, 2017 Excellent data presentation RH, thanks If you get bored again, one possible additional presentation would be to include a stacked bar showing all parties (either votes or vote share). That would make it fairly easy to see which constituencies could change as a result of tactical voting, and which are effectively safe despite having small majorities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jambomo Posted June 3, 2017 Share Posted June 3, 2017 I was a bit bored this morning so I’ve created a visual that shows the majorities in each Scottish Seat from smallest majority to largest. If you hover over each bar, it gives you more information on the constituency. The graph below the first one has the same constituency order, but this time the size of the bar shows the majority on the basis of percentage. Link to visual 1 The next visual shows the constituencies in order of majority again, but this time the top graph is coloured by the party that came second. The bottom graph shows the turnout in each constituency. Link to visual 2 And this visual has a raft of election info from past elections plus a list of the candidates in each constituency for next Thursday. Link to election info Excellent, thank you. I actually hadn't known the SNP had been second here. Hopefully unseat Ian Murray this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reluctant Hero Posted June 4, 2017 Author Share Posted June 4, 2017 On 5/31/2017 at 12:38, Crossbill said: Excellent data presentation RH, thanks If you get bored again, one possible additional presentation would be to include a stacked bar showing all parties (either votes or vote share). That would make it fairly easy to see which constituencies could change as a result of tactical voting, and which are effectively safe despite having small majorities. Don't know if this is what you were thinking of! Obviously I couldn't get all constituencies on the one page, but if you look on the menu on the right hand side, you can toggle between Pages which shows different constituencies Link to visual I have included SNP, Greens and SSP in the Nationalist vote - everyone else is assumed to be Unionist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reluctant Hero Posted June 4, 2017 Author Share Posted June 4, 2017 Thanks for all the comments - glad people are finding the info useful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crossbill Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 1 hour ago, Reluctant Hero said: Don't know if this is what you were thinking of! Not quite what I was thinking, but probably even better. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pearbuyerbell Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 2 hours ago, Reluctant Hero said: Thanks for all the comments - glad people are finding the info useful You truly are a Reluctant Hero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chapelhall chap Posted June 4, 2017 Share Posted June 4, 2017 On 5/31/2017 at 10:40, Reluctant Hero said: I was a bit bored this morning so I’ve created a visual that shows the majorities in each Scottish Seat from smallest majority to largest. If you hover over each bar, it gives you more information on the constituency. The graph below the first one has the same constituency order, but this time the size of the bar shows the majority on the basis of percentage. Link to visual 1 The next visual shows the constituencies in order of majority again, but this time the top graph is coloured by the party that came second. The bottom graph shows the turnout in each constituency. Link to visual 2 And this visual has a raft of election info from past elections plus a list of the candidates in each constituency for next Thursday. Link to election info Fascinating for electoral geeks like me . With time on my hands it will be interesting to see what actually happens by June 9th unless Ruth has already sampled the postal votes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reluctant Hero Posted June 6, 2017 Author Share Posted June 6, 2017 Alright guys, I promise I won’t bore you anymore after this post lol, but thought these new graphs were interesting to look at. I have added in the estimated declaration times for each constituency based on the Press Association info, so if you hover over each bar, you will see the times in the box that appears. However, from memory, I am not sure how reliable these times were after you got past one o’clock. The first graph shows the top 40 marginal Tory seats in order of slimmest majority. I thought this was interesting as Labour really need to pick most of these off if Comrade Corbyn is going to seize power! You can see that the earliest ones to look out for are Vale of Clywd, Bury North and Thurrock. These are all expected to declare at around 02.00. If Tories retain all of these, I’m thinking it is all over for Corbyn and Co. Tory Marginals The next graph shows the top 40 marginal Labour seats. If the Tories start picking these off, it’ll be May returning to Downing St (until the Tories kick her out themselves to appoint Boris, in the not too distant future). Labour Marginals Finally, the last graph shows all the seats in the UK and their majorities, coloured by the winning party in 2015. If you hover over each bar, it will give you additional info. Since there are so many, some of the headings for constituency name are missing, but if you hover over the bar, it will give you this info in the box that appears. Since there are so many constituencies, they have been categorized into “Regions” and you can toggle between the different regions by the menu down the right hand side. All Seats Although I am confident all these figures are accurate, this has been thrown together in a small space of time, so if you are using this info for anything other than fun, make sure you verify the info with other sources. Enjoy the election guys, it’ll be at least another year until the next one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reluctant Hero Posted June 10, 2017 Author Share Posted June 10, 2017 If anyone can bring themselves to look, I have updated this model with the 2017 election data. In the model, there was previously a graph for postal votes, but I have got rid of this and replaced it with a graph of number of votes per party over the previous four elections. Link to data The initial screen shows the picture for the whole of Scotland, but you can get the info on individual constituencies by clicking on the relevant constituency on the menu down the right hand side. One thing the model doesn’t show is the many levels of f***ing irony that was contained in this election. The Tories getting into Downing Street as a result of the Scottish vote being top of the list! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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