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Latest Polls and Latest Odds


Lex

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More surprised the Daily Record was printing that. And its written incorrectly, but you get the jist of it.

I think if The Record hang on to their stance too long they'll be consigned to the history books.

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Yup Reynard, Lex and HB will be lumping everything they own on no union at thoses odds.

Certainly looks like Ladbrokes think Salmond holds the aces, I don't know how they can be so confident, even although I believe it will happen I'm not 99% certain it will happen.

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I love the continued CDUist use of the term 'break away' as if we're rebellious, war-torn Chechnya or something. It's called national self-determination, it's been around for 100 years; deal with it.

Edited by vikingTON
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I love the continued CDUist use of the term 'break away' as if we're rebellious, war-torn Chechnya or something. It's called national self-determination, it's been around for 100 years; deal with it.

Yes, we are self determining.

You'll have to deal with the resounding No vote.

Unlucky

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I love the continued CDUist use of the term 'break away' as if we're rebellious, war-torn Chechnya or something. It's called national self-determination, it's been around for 100 years; deal with it.

And after two years of sustained pro unionist media bias.........it's not working. Cages are now rattled. BT will now begin to seriously up the rhetoric. Prepare to hear all manner of scare stories that will make everything thats went so far look like peanuts.

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I can honestly see in-fighting very shortly in the No camp.

I'm surprised they allowed Darling to show himself yesterday, Mr Darling can't really comment on anything to do with banking without people remembering how incompetent he was.

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I'm surprised they allowed Darling to show himself yesterday, Mr Darling can't really comment on anything to do with banking without people remembering how incompetent he was.

Who else do they have? the Lim Dems the Tories put up have been destroyed and the party have no credibility left

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New Survation poll.

Now, imagine you knew the Conservative Party was expected to win a majority at the next UK General Election in 2015 and be in power in the UK for the next 15 years. Would this affect how you would vote, or not, in the Scottish independence referendum this year?

NET: Yes – 38%

NET: No – 47%

NET: Undecided – 16%

- See more at: http://survation.com/2014/02/new-polling-on-scottish-independence-what-if-conservative-fortunes-improved/#sthash.GiK2Y4Pb.dpuf

http://survation.com/2014/02/new-polling-on-scottish-independence-what-if-conservative-fortunes-improved/

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From Professor Curtice;

http://blog.whatscotlandthinks.org/2014/02/survation-enter-the-fray/

"Survation, the regular (internet) pollsters for the London newsdesk of the Mail on Sunday (though not of the desk in Scotland), have entered the referendum polling fray for the first time this weekend.

They put the Yes vote at 32%, No at 52%, with 16% saying Don’t Know (after taking into account people’s reported likelihood of voting). Once the Don’t Knows are excluded, that means Yes are on 38%, No on 62% – almost exactly in line with the average reading of the six polls conducted since the publication of the Scottish Government’s White Paper in November. Of course, as Survation have not previously conducted a poll on referendum vote intentions, we do not know whether or not the poll is further confirmation that there has been a swing to Yes.

However, there is one feature of the way in which this poll has been reported that should be noted. As previous polls that have asked people how they voted in both the 2010 Westminster and the 2011 Holyrood elections have discovered, people’s memories of what they did on the latter occasion seem to be more accurate than their recollection of what they did in 2010. Certainly, when unweighted this poll has a 45% SNP vote in 2011, with Labour on 29% – in other words more or less exactly in line with the actual result. In contrast the unweighted figures for how people said they voted in 2010 are 42% SNP, 32% Labour, which is far from the actual result. It is because of findings such as these that all those pollsters who weight their referendum poll samples by past vote have opted to do so by how people said they voted in 2011 rather than in 2010.

This poll has, however, been weighted according to how people said they voted in 2010. The effect, predictably, has been to increase the estimated No lead considerably. Before the data were weighted at all (including to make sure that the sample matches the demographic profile of Scotland), the Yes tally stood as high as 43% (after the Don’t Knows are excluded). The weighting has knocked as much as five points off that figure. It looks highly likely that if Survation had followed the same practice as most other pollsters, the reported Yes vote in this poll would have been over 40% – just as it was in last weekend’s ICM poll and is in this weekend’s TNS BMRB poll...."

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