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Latest Polls and Latest Odds


Lex

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So we could call her Queen Elizabeth the II of Scotland?

Yes, but you'd be wrong. There's no such thing as the position of King or Queen of Scotland, nor does any legitimate monarch style themselves as such.

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Someone on my Twitter feed has said that Betfair has Yes at 14.2% likelihood to win. I have no idea what this means.

Pretty much if you take the odds and invert them it gives probability to win. For example, something at evens (1/1 in fractional odds) implies that the chance of success (CoS) is 1 in 2. Therefore it's likelihood to win is 50%.

Yes is currently trading at around 6/1 on Betfair. It's CoS is therefore 1 in 7 - likelihood to win c. 14%.

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Pretty much if you take the odds and invert them it gives probability to win. For example, something at evens (1/1 in fractional odds) implies that the chance of success (CoS) is 1 in 2. Therefore it's likelihood to win is 50%.

Yes is currently trading at around 6/1 on Betfair. It's CoS is therefore 1 in 7 - likelihood to win c. 14%.

That's a lot simpler than I thought it would be.

Say what you like about joozy (for example, he fled the forum when his central role in the laundering of Nazi gold through the Swiss financial system was revealed) but he can explain gambling to someone who knows nothing about it like a pro.

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That's a lot simpler than I thought it would be.

Say what you like about joozy (for example, he fled the forum when his central role in the laundering of Nazi gold through the Swiss financial system was revealed) but he can explain gambling to someone who knows nothing about it like a pro.

The money was merely resting in my account.

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Less than 50 days to go to the big vote. Polls still the same? Who's right & who's wrong? Nearly time to find out........ :rolleyes:

I'm just kinda looking forward to it all being over now. One way or the other I just hope whichever side wins ends up being the best for Scotland in the long run.

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Nobody here cares enough about the UK to take any notice.

I'd imagine it's about as newsworthy in the yoo ess eh as the Commonwealth Games.

Apart from Obama, who leaned back in his chair, flashed a knowing smile at wee Dougie Alexander and said "If it ain't broke, don't fix it".

Probably.

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I'm just kinda looking forward to it all being over now. One way or the other I just hope whichever side wins ends up being the best for Scotland in the long run.

Why do you wish it was all over? It's been a fantastic debate that has awaken an apathetic public who are now engaging in politics in their thousands.

Just look at last nights meeting in Inverurie with Nicola Sturgeon - they actually ran out of chairs and was literally standing room only!

Bt0_V5LCUAIfcCF.jpg

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Why do you wish it was all over? It's been a fantastic debate that has awaken an apathetic public who are now engaging in politics in their thousands.

Just look at last nights meeting in Inverurie with Nicola Sturgeon - they actually ran out of chairs and was literally standing room only!

Bt0_V5LCUAIfcCF.jpg

I can't speak for Mr Bairn but I can wait for it to be over. It hasn't been a fantastic debate, it's been a nasty debate with people worried to bring it up in conversation and any tweet or comment on social media met with a barrage of abuse from people who find it and disagree. Further, we've spent years having this at the top of our political agenda at a time when the economy has been in the shitter, international politics has been at its most significant since Iraq, inequality is increasing, underemployment, food banks, zero hour contracts etc have become more and more problematic but all the political focus has essentially been on whether we will have a British or a Scottish passport in five years time.

I hope No wins, but really I just want it over so we can stop caring about something relatively insignificant (despite the constant reminders that this is 'much more important than anything else' etc, to me it is insignificant in comparison with the social problems the UK is facing) and we can try to sort out what actually matters and return to the debate about how to help those who need it and how to solve problems that actually matter.

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