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Latest Polls and Latest Odds


Lex

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The same reasons they've all got it wrong in previous elections at Holyrood and Westminster.

The pollsters got the 2011 vote almost exactly right, prior to the election day.

Likewise the last General Election. In fact with the GE, polling was scarily accurate.

Edited by H_B
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There is no limit. You can place as many bets as you want on NO winning.

Obviously more money has been lashed onto NO to win.

Just telling like!

More individual bets on a yes win though. So more yes votes? Pleasing

post-5900-0-95772600-1408369341_thumb.jp

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Noticed a fair change in some people's attitudes recently.

Almost everyone in my office were No's and now they're all calling themselves undecided with the most militant, mouthy No of all incredibly moving to Yes.

I'm not saying they'll all move to Yes but I don't think it can be underestimated how disengaged a fair chunk of the public have been from this whole referendum.

It's only appearing on some folks' radars now.

Hoping for a late swing to Yes and some proper Unionist seethe on September 19th.

Edited by Guest
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The pollsters got the 2011 vote almost exactly right, prior to the election day.

Likewise the last General Election. In fact with the GE, polling was scarily accurate.

No they didn't get the 2011 vote almost exactly right, they got close on occasions near voting day.

As for Westminster, one swallow doesn't make a summer.

How many independence referendums have we had for the pollsters to learn from?

Do they weight their current polls for the huge number of new voters?

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Noticed a fair change in some people's attitudes recently.

Almost everyone in my office were No's and now they're all calling themselves undecided with the most militant, mouthy No of all incredibly moving to Yes.

I'm not saying they'll all move to Yes but I don't think it can be underestimated how disengaged a fair chunk of the public have been from this whole referendum.

It's only appearing on some folks' radars now.

Hoping for a late swing to Yes and some proper Unionist seethe on September 19th.

That was always going to be the case, we've had to listen to NO wetting their pants about polls conducted for the most part on engaged voters for ages now.

Edited by ayrmad
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An independence referendum has never been had before. It's like a game between 2 football teams who nobody has saw play before, everyone has been told one side has the better players so should comfortably win.

The truth is nobody will know what the actual support or feeling about Scotland being independent until the 3.5 million Scots or whatever it will be head in on the day.

I'll be honest and say I'm not confident but you never know and it'll be an interesting result on the 19th either way.

Independence is quite an exciting prospect and I do not understand why no voters don't see this, what an opportunity. Shame (it seems anyway) that we are going to turn this down.

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Yep, I predicted the same thing.

No are going to win by around 6-10%. Any poll showing a great deal more than that needs to align itself.

We'll go into referendum day with the polls, exluding DKs showing around 53-47.

Lets see what the polling companies are saying in the last 2 weeks before the vote.

The fact the Yougov are showing a rise of 4% in one week must send a shiver up your spine :lol:

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The fact the Yougov are showing a rise of 4% in one week must send a shiver up your spine :lol:

You are kidding right?

The polls are astonishingly impressive for No. At this stage, to be so far ahead, is way above their wildest dreams.

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You are kidding right?

The polls are astonishingly impressive for No. At this stage, to be so far ahead, is way above their wildest dreams.

If only U KOK weren't shitting themselves so much you might have been right.

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Yes are engaging with people on the streets and town halls to a level No can only dream of.

Going down to Brechin from Aberdeen on Saturday, I saw...

Yes campaign: cars covered with yes signage and posters up and down Union St, two giant Yes billboards and a private one on the way down there, Yes signs in Stonehaven, Yes campaigners handing out leaflets in both Inverbervie / Montrose and Yes signs all around the place in Brechin, not to mention the SNP sponsor boards inside the Glebe itself.

Better Together: Nothing. I mean, absolutely nothing.

You'd think that Yes was going to win by a landslide if you based it on that alone. No doubt that'll play on the minds of some of the undecided voters who follow the 'most popular view must be the best one' mentality.

Edited by Hedgecutter
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You are kidding right?

The polls are astonishingly impressive for No. At this stage, to be so far ahead, is way above their wildest dreams.

What the Yougov poll you mean? They appear to be out of kilter with the others and have tried to save it's reputation by giving the Yes a 4% rise in one week.

Wonder what made so many people decide to vote yes? Was it the currency union debacle? Was it the great Darling on the STV debate?

The No camp were giving each other reach-rounds after the STV debate only to find that today the Yes vote has risen 4% in a week.

That's right, in a so called bad couple of weeks for the Yes camp the vote has risen sharply in ONE WEEK.

No matter what way you look at it that's very bad news for the No camp. What do they have left to scare the voters with in the crucial 4 week campaign period?

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What the Yougov poll you mean? They appear to be out of kilter with the others and have tried to save it's reputation by giving the Yes a 4% rise in one week.

Wonder what made so many people decide to vote yes? Was it the currency union debacle? Was it the great Darling on the STV debate?

The No camp were giving each other reach-rounds after the STV debate only to find that today the Yes vote has risen 4% in a week.

That's right, in a so called bad couple of weeks for the Yes camp the vote has risen sharply in ONE WEEK.

No matter what way you look at it that's very bad news for the No camp. What do they have left to scare the voters with in the crucial 4 week campaign period?

Yep. It doesn't quite make sense does it?

It could be that they are completely making it up as they go along, but they are professionals, so surely that's not the case. Right?

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Yep. It doesn't quite make sense does it?

It could be that they are completely making it up as they go along, but they are professionals, so surely that's not the case. Right?

Would say it more of a Tory owned company trying to manipulate the polls... with HB being totally taken in by them too!

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H_B is doing a very very poor job of concealing the fact that his bum is squeaking like a rusty hinge.

Nah, didn't you hear? He wouldn't be overly bothered in the event of a Yes vote. Not bothered at all.

Despite the fact he spends half his life on here defending the Union with every fibre of his being.

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Going down to Brechin from Aberdeen on Saturday, I saw...

Yes campaign: cars covered with yes signage and posters up and down Union St, two giant Yes billboards and a private one on the way down there, Yes signs in Stonehaven, Yes campaigners handing out leaflets in both Inverbervie / Montrose and Yes signs all around the place in Brechin, not to mention the SNP sponsor boards inside the Glebe itself.

Better Together: Nothing. I mean, absolutely nothing.

You'd think that Yes was going to win by a landslide if you based it on that alone. No doubt that'll play on the minds of some of the undecided voters who follow the 'most popular view must be the best one' mentality.

^^^^ music to HBs lugs.

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You are kidding right?

The polls are astonishingly impressive for No. At this stage, to be so far ahead, is way above their wildest dreams.

The Separatists are throwing everything but the kitchen sink at this now, polls that have been ridiculed as inaccurate for months are now seized upon with a feeding frenzy as one measure has shown a recent upturn in the Yes support.

They are still miles off the momentum they would have anticipated at this stage, with Salmond and Sturgeon et al still scratching their heads as to why?

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