RedRob72 Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 I see the odds for Yes have gone up again from the couple of bookies that I checked. It was 7/4 yesterday for Yes. Paddy Power now 9/4. SkyBet are 2/1. A couple of big bets on No from down south again? Or a reaction to the desperate pleas from WM of "Please stay...pwetty pwease" and a No Vote still 4/11 with Billy Hills, despite all the noise over the weekend! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 and a No Vote still 4/11 with Billy Hills, despite all the noise over the weekend! Aye, nae bother, Comical Ali. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 The next poll to be published is the TRS poll - it's done through face-to-face and phone interviewing rather than online panels. Apparently it's coming out tonight. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 The next poll to be published is the TRS poll - it's done through face-to-face and phone interviewing rather than online panels. Apparently it's coming out tonight. Forgive my ignorance but does anyone know if this is the same one that Ewen MacAskill is saying is good for Yes? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Forgive my ignorance but does anyone know if this is the same one that Ewen MacAskill is saying is good for Yes? It's TNS and yes, though 'good for yes' doesn't necessarily mean 'ahead' it could just be confirming the YouGov trend, not replicating it's result. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICTChris Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Last TNS poll had Yes - 32 No - 45 Don't Know - 23 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Last TNS poll had Yes - 32 No - 45 Don't Know - 23 The face to face methodology does push the DKs higher than in the other pollsters, though at this stage, you'd expect them to be melting into Yes/No. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AberdeenBud Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Due out at midnight seemingly. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedRob72 Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Aye, nae bother, Comical Ali. I don't set the odds mate, it's you who's denying they're still stacked against a Yes vote. 2/1 Yes 4/11 No 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
speckled tangerine Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 http://www.theguardian.com/politics/scottish-independence-blog/live/2014/sep/08/scottish-independence-12-days-to-referendum-live#block-540dc236e4b0678f1b1106d6 #scenes Seems Legit! https://twitter.com/ewenmacaskill/status/509008349669888000 Bad news for no campaign in Scottish referendum. YouGov poll not a blip. Next batch of polling expected to confirm shift to independence. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 It's TNS and yes, though 'good for yes' doesn't necessarily mean 'ahead' it could just be confirming the YouGov trend, not replicating it's result. Last TNS poll had Yes - 32 No - 45 Don't Know - 23 Ta. Yeah wasn't taking the thing about good news for Yes to mean it would be ahead in this one. If its pretty close from 43, I'll be pleased - even if No is ahead. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Blair McDougall has spent the last 2 years deriding Panelbase polls as an SNP front. Now all of a sudden he can't stop talking about them.... And Blair Jenkins has spent the last 2 years deriding YouGov polls as a Labour front. Now all of a sudden he can't stop talking about them.... Politicians always go for the poll that's most favourable and deride those that are not. I think once we get all the polls in we might have a truer picture. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Seems Legit! https://twitter.com/ewenmacaskill/status/509008349669888000 That language to me suggests they're saying yes is actually ahead. Talking about a "shift to independence" when you're referring to a poll that has yes behind, straight after another poll puts it ahead, sounds quite unlikely I would've thought? I know the shift might mean more people saying yes than before but still less than half, but at this rate I would've thought a poll that gives no any kind of lead at all won't be seen as bad news for the no campaign. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 43.5 to over 50 would be some jump. I know Yougov had similar jumps but a) that kind of spike is incredible and b) YG were chasing their arse after their initial weighting began to look dodgy. If it's up to 47/48ish I don't think BT will be too pleased (although they'll say they are). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leggy Blonde Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 43.5 to over 50 would be some jump. I know Yougov had similar jumps but a) that kind of spike is incredible and b) YG were chasing their arse after their initial weighting began to look dodgy. If it's up to 47/48ish I don't think BT will be too pleased (although they'll say they are) Apparently MSP Alasdair Allan has posted on his Facebook that TNS has Yes at 50% for tonight's poll. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorlomin Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Wow. I bet old shiny face really really wishes devomax had remained on the ballot paper now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamaldo Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Wow. I bet old shiny face really really wishes devomax had remained on the ballot paper now. But he got everything he wanted out of the agreement. He owned Salmond in the capital I heard. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leggy Blonde Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 Wow. I bet old shiny face really really wishes devomax had remained on the ballot paper now. Who knows if he's bullshitting or not, but happy to keep the rumour mill ticking over for another couple hours. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/scotland-poll#jo1dtr Don't don't if this has been posted. In truth I've no idea what Buzzfeed is. (I probably knew once but someone from MI5 brainwashed me). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 8, 2014 Share Posted September 8, 2014 It was actually handing Salmond his arse on a plate that Cameron did in Edinburgh. I've never gone with the polls in telling Yes voters they were utterly deluded if they thought they could win this referendum. Yes lost the referendum when Cameron handed Salmond his arse on a plate in Edinburgh. As I said at the time. As he said at the time. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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