cyderspaceman Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Ha! I've sussed the reason why the big NO vote has disappeared recently. When the early polls were done, this happened:- Southern pollster "And how will you be voting, my good man?" Scottish person "Ah'm no' votin' " With the latest polls, all the would-be non-voters are properly identified and voila, a decline in the NO vote. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I absolutely guarantee that I would say the same if the situation was reversed but it's quite obviously a publicity stunt ffs. It would cost about 40k to get a decent bit of space of advertising in The Telegraph chip wrapper edition. Dropping 100k to get a companies name all over the news, social media etc during a hugely press intensive story is a great bit of business. Why would it be "Interesting" Lex? Betfair know something do they? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shuggie_Murray7 Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 88% OF SCOTTISH ONLINE BETS ARE FOR 'YES' WILLIAM HILL have revealed that 88% of all bets they have taken online from clients with Scottish addresses have been for YES; compared with 70% from clients throughout England,Scotland, Wales and N Ireland. DUNDEE has been installed as odds-on favourite to be the region producing the highest percentage of Yes votes in the Scottish Referendum. Hills make Dundee their 8/15 favourite, with Clackmannanshire 5/1 second favourite, ahead of 8/1 Glasgow and Na h-Eileranan Slair; 12/1 Angus; 16/1 Moray. The 100/1 outsiders are Dumfries And Galloway; E. Dunbartonshire; Scottish Borders and South Ayrshire. Meanwhile, Britain’s biggest bookmakers, who have now taken over £2million in bets on the outcome of the Referendum, and who predict an idsutry-wide turnover of some £10m, make NO their 1/ 4 favourite, with YES offered at 11/4. ‘NO has been odds-on favourite throughout the campaign, but with YES reportedly closing up, according to various opinion polls, we would expect to see late backing for that option’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe, adding ‘We will continue to take bets for as long as possible on polling day.’ Hills say they currently face a five figure loss should the result be NO, but will make a six figure profit should it be YES. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
topcat(The most tip top) Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 (edited) Well I just put £30 on "Yes" to return £120 with bet365. It looked like good value to me Edited September 16, 2014 by topcat(The most tip top) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 88% OF SCOTTISH ONLINE BETS ARE FOR 'YES' WILLIAM HILL have revealed that 88% of all bets they have taken online from clients with Scottish addresses have been for YES; compared with 70% from clients throughout England,Scotland, Wales and N Ireland. Hills say they currently face a five figure loss should the result be NO, but will make a six figure profit should it be YES. Which explains why the odds are the way they are. Some very large bets must have been placed on No by people who thought they were onto a sure thing. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I'm reading that the TNS one is an attitudes survey rather than a voting poll. Interesting to see what info it produces. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Seems they've just released a poll with English and Welsh respondents about Scotland. Meh, who cares. Bit of an anticlimax there. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thepundit Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Poll set to be released at 10:30pm. And then there's a YouGov one tomorrow I think. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 ICM one in scotsman 9pm tonight 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 re Betfair's offer to pay out on No bets now: For a single novelty sportsbook market, the cost to the company of paying out early will be somewhere between negligible and nil. It is, in short, a publicity stunt. http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2014/09/16/1971862/no-betfair-has-not-just-called-the-scottish-referendum/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I reckon ICM poll will hit 60% yes tonight 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sergie's no1 fan Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 re Betfair's offer to pay out on No bets now: http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2014/09/16/1971862/no-betfair-has-not-just-called-the-scottish-referendum/ User Actions Following McBookie@McBookie Seriously can't believe anyone thinks Betfair paying out is anything other than a PR stunt. A very good one I hasten to add 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 I reckon ICM poll will hit 60% yes tonight It's in the Scotsman, so it will probably be slanted towards a raised Yes poll to bring the panicky No voters out on Thursday. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowmore Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 63% of the UK (not Scots) feel that Scotland should not become independent. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anonapersona Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 63% of the UK (not Scots) feel that Scotland should not become independent. Misery loves company. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dorlomin Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/8987 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 It's in the Scotsman, so it will probably be slanted towards a raised Yes poll to bring the panicky No voters out on Thursday. Maybe... but some no voters just wont vote, all yes voters will.... not sure any politician can stop momentum. .. We are all a door lot on here, pessimism to the full... no country has ever voted against its own indy due to fear and we would be a laughing stock worldwide if we did. I do appreciate that some people just dont want it, and I respect that 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowmore Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 If you wait there for a while you may encounter someone who gives the flyingest if fcuks. How sad 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 (edited) http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/8987 From the comments: Survation – 10.30pm Tues night, Daily Mail Opinium – Tues night, Telegraph ICM (online) – Tues/Wed?, Scotsman Panelbase – ?? unconfirmed but expected YouGov – Wed night, Times/Sun MORI – Wed night, STV MORI – Thurs morning, Evening Standard P.S. Is there not usually a polling ban this close to a vote? Edited September 16, 2014 by welshbairn 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.Bojangles Posted September 16, 2014 Share Posted September 16, 2014 Thursday morning is especially crazy. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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