John Lambies Doos Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 Despite the roaring success of the polls in recent years; it may be worth starting a thread specific to upcoming elections. All UK, Scottish subsamples, specific Scottish polls and leader popularity welcome; not to mention the independence question. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 Very latest UK Westminster poll by YouGov CON: 48% (+4) LAB: 24% (+1) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 In fairness, the pollsters have gotten the percentages in Scotland spot on, even if the seat distribution on the predictor sites has been shite. It's completely depressing how easily the Tories, who have been all over the place during this most recent term in government, will absolutely waltz this election. They'll likely gain a few seats in Scotland too. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 19, 2017 Share Posted April 19, 2017 1 hour ago, John Lambies Doos said: Despite the roaring success of the polls in recent years; it may be worth starting a thread specific to upcoming elections. All UK, Scottish subsamples, specific Scottish polls and leader popularity welcome; not to mention the independence question. You're fucking obsessed with polls man. Have the recent inaccuracies not persuaded you to go cold turkey? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fide Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 5 hours ago, Kyle said: In fairness, the pollsters have gotten the percentages in Scotland spot on, even if the seat distribution on the predictor sites has been shite. It's completely depressing how easily the Tories, who have been all over the place during this most recent term in government, will absolutely waltz this election. They'll likely gain a few seats in Scotland too. I genuinely believe the Tories won't do any better in Scotland than one seat in June. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ira Gaines Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 I genuinely believe the Tories won't do any better in Scotland than one seat in June. Brave call. Won't be MUCH more than that but I can see them take a couple. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Glenconner Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 I can see the Tories getting up to 10 seats in the wealthier parts of Scotland. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fide Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 1 minute ago, Sooky said: Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 20, 2017 Author Share Posted April 20, 2017 Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. No way Stirling will go Tory 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 SNP to win 51+ seats is 5/6 Buying money imo 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 20, 2017 Author Share Posted April 20, 2017 You're fucking obsessed with polls man. Have the recent inaccuracies not persuaded you to go cold turkey? And are you going to fuk off to the Canaries again???? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 8 hours ago, Sooky said: Not sure where this is from, but I can see Tories winning the first 3 on the list. Robertson has a 10k majority in Moray, but the one thing going against him is that it was the highest Leave vote in Scotland (49.9%, I'm sure) so I think the gap will tighten a fair bit, but it'll be too much ground to make up. Unfortunately. Agree with this. The Tories will almost certainly pick up Berwickshire. Dumfries and Galloway and West Aberdeenshire will be closer and I think the Tories will have a chance in some Edinburgh seats too. I'd say the two Perth/Perthshire seats could go blue as well. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamaldo Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 I'm not trying to be a dick but how the f**k can Pete Wishart possibly lose a 10,000 majority in a snap election? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 43 minutes ago, Jamaldo said: I'm not trying to be a dick but how the f**k can Pete Wishart possibly lose a 10,000 majority in a snap election? The man is a bit of a fud to be fair. If this election is going to be based on indyref2, which it appears to be, the no voters in Perth could easily smash that majority. Swinney, who's much more popular than Wishart, saw a hugely reduced majority last year. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
invergowrie arab Posted April 20, 2017 Share Posted April 20, 2017 Pete's seat covers whole city of Perth so much more SNP voters than Holyrood. Absolute fantasy to suggest Tories will win it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee Willie Posted April 21, 2017 Share Posted April 21, 2017 9 hours ago, invergowrie arab said: Pete's seat covers whole city of Perth so much more SNP voters than Holyrood. Absolute fantasy to suggest Tories will win it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stephen Malkmus Posted April 23, 2017 Share Posted April 23, 2017 Scottish independence voting intention: Yes: 43% (+2) No: 45% (+1) (via BMG) Chgs. w/ Feb 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
git-intae-thum Posted April 24, 2017 Share Posted April 24, 2017 What is really quite worrying is how our media is going to spin the tories getting 2 or 3 seats and the SNP getting only around 50 this time, as a major blow to the independence cause and a reason to put the referendum on the back burner. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 24, 2017 Author Share Posted April 24, 2017 What is really quite worrying is how our media is going to spin the tories getting 2 or 3 seats and the SNP getting only around 50 this time, as a major blow to the independence cause and a reason to put the referendum on the back burner. There was a guy on press release tory... on sky news last night peddling this shite. He was basically saying that based on polls tories could win up to 12 seats in Scotland. He then went on to say that if so it would be a massive blow to the independence mandate...Forgot of course to mention that the SNP would still have 80 fukin % of seats. This is what will be peddled. We will be belittled 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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