ICTChris Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 I don't think you are allowed to do that. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crossbill Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 The Yougov predictions could just be push polling to make sure the conservative vote gets out. They would be burning their reputation down in doing this, but not beyond the bounds of possibility, especially when there seems to be such discrepancy between the polling agencies. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bring Your Own Socks Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 1 hour ago, ICTChris said: Here's an article about targeted Facebook campaigning and why this author thinks the Conservatives are going to win a majority.https://www.marketingweek.com/2017/06/05/mark-ritson-%E2%80%8Bhow-win-election/?cmpid=em~newsletter~breaking_news~n~n&utm_medium=em&utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=breaking_news&eid=3507130&sid=MW0001 There's an even more sinister level from this piece a while back in the Guardian... https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/07/the-great-british-brexit-robbery-hijacked-democracy 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry94 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Regarding Ipsos, are you allowed to publish polls on election day itself? I don't think you are allowed to do that. I think you can release them whenever you want, as long as it's not information obtained from people who have already voted and the polls are still open. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bring Your Own Socks Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 52 minutes ago, TartanWarrior said: An age or a generation? The timescale is irrelevant. It's about the change. A progressive society can adapt to change and benefit from it. Naysayers fear change and are imprisoned by it. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 I think you can release them whenever you want, as long as it's not information obtained from people who have already voted and the polls are still open. You're right, I've just asked someone far more knowledgeable than I on these matters! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted June 7, 2017 Author Share Posted June 7, 2017 You're right, I've just asked someone far more knowledgeable than I on these matters! John Curtice? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monkey Tennis Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 7 hours ago, LongTimeLurker said: I had better things to do with my time than googling to find out what the latest name for that constituency was. I think the meaning was still clear. It's not just a question of a name change though. The constituencies you mixed up are quite different. The Galloway and Upper Nithsdale one contained none of the town of Dumfries, whereas the Dumfries and Galloway seat houses virtually all of it. The meaning is clear enough, but a bit of accuracy with such things doesn't go amiss. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paco Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Just can't see anything other than a Tory majority. Corbyn's just ran out of time, and I don't think the terror attacks helped his case either, opening the doors to the outrageous slurs on the front pages today (god knows what awaits tomorrow) The rats will come out tomorrow. Increased majority. SNP to end up on 53. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lanky_ffc Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 1 hour ago, ICTChris said: Here's an article about targeted Facebook campaigning and why this author thinks the Conservatives are going to win a majority.https://www.marketingweek.com/2017/06/05/mark-ritson-%E2%80%8Bhow-win-election/?cmpid=em~newsletter~breaking_news~n~n&utm_medium=em&utm_source=newsletter&utm_campaign=breaking_news&eid=3507130&sid=MW0001 46 minutes ago, Bring Your Own Socks said: There's an even more sinister level from this piece a while back in the Guardian... https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/may/07/the-great-british-brexit-robbery-hijacked-democracy These are both excellent, albeit incredibly disturbing, articles. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1320Lichtie Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Tory banners have been in farmers fields for years. What's new. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badgertheeuro24witness Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 One of my Facebook friends appeared on my timeline, this morning, as 'liking' Tommy Robinson. I posted a "?" In response then went back, this afternoon, to see if anyone else had slagged him off for it. It turns out the page he had liked was Visit Australia. This isn't the first time I've seen this & I put it down to some friends becoming c*nts, is this some kind of hack? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 10 minutes ago, badgerthewitness said: One of my Facebook friends appeared on my timeline, this morning, as 'liking' Tommy Robinson. I posted a "?" In response then went back, this afternoon, to see if anyone else had slagged him off for it. It turns out the page he had liked was Visit Australia. This isn't the first time I've seen this & I put it down to some friends becoming c*nts, is this some kind of hack? Facebook friends 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
badgertheeuro24witness Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Just now, strichener said: Facebook friends I'm over a thousand miles from home & it represents the best medium for keeping track of people/events. What's your f*cking point? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Willie adie Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 I heard john curtice on Jeremy vine today and they were mentioning his exit poll in 2015. Does anyone know how accurate it was 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 John Curtice? Not quite that knowledgeable...My mate runs the Britain Elects twitter. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 Westminster voting intention:CON: 46% (+1)LAB: 34% (-)LDEM: 7% (-1)UKIP: 5% (-)GRN: 2% (-1)(via @ICMResearch / 06 - 07 Jun) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted June 7, 2017 Author Share Posted June 7, 2017 Not quite that knowledgeable...My mate runs the Britain Elects twitter. Can you ask if he knows of any Scottish only final polls? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry94 Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 37 minutes ago, Willie adie said: I heard john curtice on Jeremy vine today and they were mentioning his exit poll in 2015. Does anyone know how accurate it was They never predicted an outright Conservative majority but they were far ahead on 316 seats to Labour on 239. Actual result was 330-232 with seats predicted for Labour, Lib Dems, UKIP and independents going Conservative. It was considered pretty controversial at the time but you could tell by the very first polls that come in (about an hour after) that were from strong Labour holds that UKIP were haemorrhaging quite a bit of their expected vote share and that continued to be a trend throughout the night. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dogmc Posted June 7, 2017 Share Posted June 7, 2017 They never predicted an outright Conservative majority but they were far ahead on 316 seats to Labour on 239. Actual result was 330-232 with seats predicted for Labour, Lib Dems, UKIP and independents going Conservative. It was considered pretty controversial at the time but you could tell by the very first polls that come in (about an hour after) that were from strong Labour holds that UKIP were haemorrhaging quite a bit of their expected vote share and that continued to be a trend throughout the night. Was he not pretty much bang on in Scotland (with the first reactions being utter derision from Yoon politicians)? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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