Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[Todd_is_God]

Hospital cases now a full month ahead of the "best case" scenario.

[Detournement]

3 minutes ago, Bob Mahelp said:

And this is where the government has to stick or twist. Opening retail and allowing people to mingle, will inevitably lead to an increase in cases. 

How will the SG react to that ? 

I don't think it is inevitable. If anything opening more retail would make supermarkets less mobbed.

[TheScarf]

17 minutes ago, Bob Mahelp said:

And this is where the government has to stick or twist. Opening retail and allowing people to mingle, will inevitably lead to an increase in cases. 

How will the SG react to that ? 

They should react the only logical way by ignoring actual positive cases and make their decisions based solely on the hospital admissions, ICU admissions and deaths.

[Jan Vojáček]

Forgive my laziness, but when are we due to the see the availability of the vaccine rise again? Can't wait to get back to the exciting days of hearing about 60,000 jabs being fired into arms.  Combined with the drop in cases, hospital numbers and deaths it'll all be very exciting.

[NotThePars]

1 hour ago, lithgierose said:

Should have changed sport/music to gay pride and BLM marches. 

Plenty of good music at Pride mate fire yourself along and have a good time.

[Moomintroll]

And they wonder why they get called Junior thickos?

[cameron2000]

Forgive my laziness, but when are we due to the see the availability of the vaccine rise again? Can't wait to get back to the exciting days of hearing about 60,000 jabs being fired into arms.  Combined with the drop in cases, hospital numbers and deaths it'll all be very exciting.

I agree, waiting to hear the daily figures is likely watching the football scores roll in on a Saturday[emoji23] hopefully once supply ramps up again it can even exceed previously.

Edit: I’ve heard second week of March mentioned a few times

[Elixir]

34 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

Hospital cases now a full month ahead of the "best case" scenario.

So more donkey modelling, then.

[HibsFan]

"Ah well, as long as it’s being done under the name of public health...wait, what’s that?"

 

[Jan Vojáček]

4 minutes ago, cameron2000 said:

I agree, waiting to hear the daily figures is likely watching the football scores roll in on a Saturday hopefully once supply ramps up again it can even exceed previously.

Edit: I’ve heard second week of March mentioned a few times

It is like that. I get a wee buzz leading up to 2pm/12:15 for the latest stats. Can totally improve/ruin my mood for a few hours!

[Benjamin_Nevis]

Should have changed sport/music to gay pride and BLM marches. 

OK boomer.

[parsforlife]

1 hour ago, lithgierose said:

Should have changed sport/music to gay pride and BLM marches. 

[LongTimeLurker]

45 minutes ago, Bob Mahelp said:

And this is where the government has to stick or twist. Opening retail and allowing people to mingle, will inevitably lead to an increase in cases. 

How will the SG react to that ? 

Rationally hopefully.

[Elixir]

Really sensible, logical, and uplifting thread:

 

[BucksburnDandy]

Daily Infections per 100K in 7 days Update:   Another hugely Significant 24 Hours for the whole of the UK. Cases plunge everywhere. Up here we have our 3rd excellent day in a row and total cases drop below the magic 5,000 total cases.  Also the positivity drops again from 4.5% to 4.4%.  Overall down to 91.0 cases per 100K.

Cigars for many but our focus of shame now turns onto Stirling. The place is Rife and may well take a turn at the top of the table above Falkirk within days.

Some Westerly councils joining the sub100 club. The real movement is lower down the table. The Highlands, Moray, Borders & D&G are astonishing numbers and fair play to them.

Scotland peaked at 301.9 for figures 29th Dec to 4th Jan,    Cases that day were 16,496 and test rate was 11.9%

Total cases latest 7 days are down from  5223 to 4971. The positive test rate goes from 4.5% to 4.4%.  Cases per 100k goes from 95.6 to 91.0 down 4.81%

England 117.0 to 112.6 down 3.94% in last 24 hours.  Wales  78.0 to 74.1 down  5.00%  in last 24 hours , Northern Ireland 109.6 to 103.1 down 5.93% in last 24 hours.   UK Average is now 114.0 to 109.6  down 3.95%  in last 24 hours.

In Europe the Czech republic is in freefall at 700, 

NHS FIGURES :  Forth Valley 171.2 to 171.9,  Lanarkshire 137.9 to 128.1, Greater Glasgow & Clyde 127.4 to 123.1,  Lothian 108.8 to 102.2,  Ayrshire & Arran 105.0 to 95.3,  Fife  68.3 to 62.9, Tayside 53.4 to 61.3,  D&G 43.7 to 36.3, Highland 37.3 to 32.6, Western Isles  33.7 to 29.9, Grampian 33.7 to 29.7, Borders 31.2 to 23.4,  Orkney 0.0 to 0.0 & Shetlands 0.0 to 0.0

Council progress in last 24 hours as follows.

Click cases by neighbourhood to see the spread on the geographical map. 
https://public.tableau.com/profile/phs.covid.19#!/vizhome/COVID-19DailyDashboard_15960160643010/Overview
Falkirk  193.3 to 189.6  
West Dunbartonshire  164.2 to 154.1
Stirling 146.5 to 153.9  Todays bad boys again.
Clackmannanshire   147.5 to 145.5
North Lanarkshire  156.1 to 144.4  Very good 7.5% drop for 2nd day in a row.
West Lothian 157.3 to 142.0  Back on the gravy train down 10%
Glasgow City 137.4 to 132.5
Renfrewshire 133.4 to 132.3 
Midlothian   136.3 to 129.8
East Ayrshire 130.3 to 118.0   Prison free and surging back down charts
East Lothian  113.9 to 117.7   On a real bad run.
South Lanarkshire   118.6 to 110.8
North Ayrshire  113.6 to 98.0  A cigar as a 15% drop takes them sub 100   
East Renfrewshire  102.6 to 96.3  Another Cigar for hitting the 100 club
NOW ALL BELOW SCOTTISH AVERAGE of 91.0
East Dunbartonshire 95.7 to 90.2   
City Of Edinburgh  84.8 to 79.1 Going the right way again.
South Ayrshire 66.6 to 66.6
Dundee City 52.2 to 65.0  Bad day for Dundee nothing obvious  
Fife  68.3 to 62.9  
Perth & Kinross   60.5 to 62.5
 Inverclyde 55.3 to 57.8
Angus 45.6 to 53.4  Tayside in general a poor day.  
Moray 54.3 to 42.8   Massive 21,17% drop
Highlands 47.1 to 39.9 Massive 15% drop
Dumfries & Galloway 43.7 to 36.3 Another great 16% drop 
Western Isles  33.7 to 29.9  On way to Zero I suspect 
Aberdeenshire 30.2 to 28.3
Aberdeen City   27.6 to 25.4     
Scottish  Borders  31.2 to 23.4  Amazing 25% drop 
Argyll & Bute   9.3 to 11.6
Orkney Island   0.0 to 0.0
Shetland Islands   0.0 to 0.0

There can't be any justification for keeping things like barbers or outdoor fives parks closed for another 8 weeks in the likes of Aberdeen or the Borders based on those figures

None whatsoever. Pretty clear there is a case for opening up in areas of low prevalence. It will lead to some more cases but so long as it doesn't overwhelm hospitals, there has to be some more liberty granted to people.

[Hillonearth]

22 minutes ago, NotThePars said:

Plenty of good music at Pride mate fire yourself along and have a good time.

Until his arms got sore, obvz...

[madwullie]

56 minutes ago, Todd_is_God said:

Hospital cases now a full month ahead of the "best case" scenario.

Did that model include vaccines? If not, I suppose you could roughly use the difference to see how effective the vaccine has been

[Have some faith in Magic]

Brazilian variant in North East Scotland. 

Cigars stubbed out. 

[Sherrif John Bunnell]

It looks like the Junior thicko's posts have been binned.

[Ad Lib]

Well would you look at that: a new variant that’s more transmissible and that’s more resistant to the vaccines and it’s made its way into the UK despite international travel restrictions. Almost as though we need more and longer lockdowns to get the community cases down to the low teens for all of Scotland so we can track and trace these things.