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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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36 minutes ago, GiGi said:

Such friendly initials. Be quite happy if Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish media just refer to Biden as  Big JB from now on. Everybody knows a JB, inevitably sound c***s.

JB in the Oval Office, whereas when Bill Clinton was in there...

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3 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said:

Dems gain an Arizona seat in the Senate, could that change the balance of power or was that already widely expected and accounted for?

Kelly took it on opening night and it was expected. What wasn’t is the Ossoff - Perdue senate race in GA going to a runoff, which if it does (and it is currently) could have the Democrats tie the senate 50/50 if both Warnock and Ossoff win their runoffs on Jan 21. When the senate is tied between the two parties then the VP is the casting vote, so for the next 4 years McConnell would be Kamala’s bitch. 

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4 minutes ago, welshbairn said:

Dems lead GOP 48 - 47 in Senate. 2 reruns in Georgia coming up in January could make it 50-50 with Kamala as Queen. 

Doesn't seem very likely. From one of them it appeared the Democrat only got thirty something per cent and is only in a runoff because two Republicans were standing against each other, splitting the vote. Unless I've missed something I don't really see how the Dems get the Senate.

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- Biden leads in Georgia

- Big swing in Pennsylvania well underway, could win by a lot

- Trump advancement halted in Arizona

- Big gains in Nevada for Biden just now, rises to 1.7% lead

Looks like we could hit over 300 votes, lads. Nae worries.

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Just now, carpetmonster said:

Kelly took it on opening night and it was expected. What wasn’t is the Ossoff - Perdue senate race in GA going to a runoff, which if it does (and it is currently) could have the Democrats tie the senate 50/50 if both Warnock and Ossoff win their runoffs on Jan 21. When the senate is tied between the two parties then the VP is the casting vote, so for the next 4 years McConnell would be Kamala’s bitch. 

It will be interesting if right wing Dems, and left wing ones, tow the party line. I reckon Kamala in her stilettos will be happy to enforce a bit of discipline though. I know I'd gladly submit. 

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8 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said:

Doesn't seem very likely. From one of them it appeared the Democrat only got thirty something per cent and is only in a runoff because two Republicans were standing against each other, splitting the vote. Unless I've missed something I don't really see how the Dems get the Senate.

Didn't know about the 3 way tie. Plenty time to build up momentum in a campaign though if Biden impresses and Trump keeps making an arse of himself though.

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