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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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Just now, GordonS said:

I'm already quite heavily in but if that happens I might risk some more.

Biden 5/6, Trump EVS with Betfair. Have to think that when Florida is confirmed for Trump that'll push Biden to odds against.

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1 minute ago, G51 said:

Biden 5/6, Trump EVS with Betfair. Have to think that when Florida is confirmed for Trump that'll push Biden to odds against.

Fact is, literally the only place in the US where Biden is underperforming is Miami-Dade. One county. The only demographic he's underperforming with is Cubans. In the rest of Florida Biden is ahead of 2016, and by enough to have won it if Miami-Dade had held up.

 

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Fact is, literally the only place in the US where Biden is underperforming is Miami-Dade. One county. The only demographic he's underperforming with is Cubans. In the rest of Florida Biden is ahead of 2016, and by enough to have won it if Miami-Dade had held up.   

 

That's what it looks like.  

 

 

Ohio is looking positive for Biden.

 

Florida was not necessary for a Biden win - it's the likes of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin that will decide this.

 

 

 

 

 

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1 minute ago, GordonS said:

Fact is, literally the only place in the US where Biden is underperforming is Miami-Dade. One county. The only demographic he's underperforming with is Cubans. In the rest of Florida Biden is ahead of 2016, and by enough to have won it if Miami-Dade had held up.

 

I've just bet on Biden on this basis at 5/6. If he does go odds against I'll put more on.

Worth noting that Clinton was -1800 at this point last year though.

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