Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 By the way Canada winning probably isn’t a bad thing for us. We lost to them which will affect our H2H ranking in the tiebreaker. Probably easier to get through a straight TB with Japan or Sweden for one place rather than a tricky one involving Canada for two places. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arch Stanton Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Slovakia beating USA at ice hockey...pleasing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caledonian1 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Nah Canada losing to China is definitely a good thing - China are not in the running - currently 8-8 after youve guessed it 8 ends. Japan lead USA 9-7, Sweden now ahead and Korea tied with Denmark 6-6 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, Caledonian1 said: Nah Canada losing to China is definitely a good thing - China are not in the running - currently 8-8 after youve guessed it 8 ends. Japan lead USA 9-7, Sweden now ahead and Korea tied with Denmark 6-6 Canada losing is bad news I think. 2 way tiebreaker for one spot at 5-4 GB and Japan - GB wins 3 way tiebreaker for two spots at 5-4 GB, Japan and Canada - I think we miss out Japan beat USA, which is really bad news. Them losing to Switzerland is a must. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 f**k. Korea beat Denmark with a 2 in the last end. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 South Korea beat Denmark. That Britain out? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said: South Korea beat Denmark. That Britain out? Not quite but it’s a tall order. Full permutations after the Canada game finishes. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ignoramus Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 5 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said: South Korea beat Denmark. That Britain out? Not yet I don’t think. If they both lose - playing the two top teams - and GB win then I reckon we’re fourth? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 32 minutes ago, Caledonian1 said: Nah Canada losing to China is definitely a good thing - China are not in the running - currently 8-8 after youve guessed it 8 ends. Japan lead USA 9-7, Sweden now ahead and Korea tied with Denmark 6-6 Sorry I stand corrected. Canada is 4-3 not 5-2, so we could actually beat them by a game if they somehow get stolen by China in the EE and lose to lowly Denmark. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Canada have fucked it 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 I think we need a win and any 2 of Canada lose to Denmark, Japan lose to Switzerland and Korea lose to Sweden. The last two are solid possibilities as Switzerland and Sweden are competing to top the RR. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bishop Briggs Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 (edited) Valieva's grandpa must have a very dodgy ticker - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/winter-olympics/60399339 "Kamila Valieva's anti-doping sample showed traces of three drugs that can be used to treat heart conditions, according to a New York Times report. The 15-year-old Russian figure skater is being allowed to compete at Beijing 2022 despite testing positive for banned angina drug trimetazidine. The report said it also showed hyproxen and L-Carnitine, which are not banned. The combination of substances prompted "a lot of red flags", United States anti-doping chief Travis Tygart said. "Those are three substances that are all used for increasing performance," he told BBC sports editor Dan Roan on the Sports Desk Podcast, explaining they can increase endurance and reduce fatigue." Or she could be yet another Russian athlete who has been caught abusing heart drugs.... Edited February 16, 2022 by Bishop Briggs 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ignoramus Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 18 minutes ago, Donathan said: I think we need a win and any 2 of Canada lose to Denmark, Japan lose to Switzerland and Korea lose to Sweden. The last two are solid possibilities as Switzerland and Sweden are competing to top the RR. This is the table for all of the permutations, still looks like a tall order with the lack of available options for GB. Canada are the worst in DSC apparently so those scenarios are in our favour. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ignoramus Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Looking at that, the last scenario listed is by far the most likely route IMO for GB to progress. They’re second last in DSC but only a wee bit behind Japan so they need to have a good draw shot tomorrow and give themselves a chance to finish above both in that table. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ignoramus said: This is the table for all of the permutations, still looks like a tall order with the lack of available options for GB. Canada are the worst in DSC apparently so those scenarios are in our favour. b*****d IOC. I just spend about 25 minutes making an excel sheet to do exactly this and they've pre-empted me. Assuming Canada stay bottom of the draw shot challenge: 1. Japan through with a win or either Korea/GB lose. 2. Canada through with a win AND either Japan win, or BOTH Korea/GB lose, or BOTH Korea/GB win. They're likely out if Japan lose and only one of KOR/GB wins. 3. Korea through with a win and either Canada or Japan lose. 4. GB through with a win and any two of Canada/Korea/Japan lose. 5. China through if all three of Canada/Korea/GB lose (China have already finished 4-5) These probabilities are based on every game being 50-50 but I'll run a proper simulation model shortly 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flyingscot Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 It's not as long a shot as I thought. I think we have a reasonable shot, as I fancy both Swiss and Swedes to win. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Based on: Japan have a 45% chance to beat Switzerland and Korea have a 45% chance to beat Sweden Canada have an 80% chance to beat Denmark GB have a 60% chance to beat Russia 100,000 simulations gives 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 And if you ever find yourself losing hope, Saturday will be twenty years to the day since Rhona Martin’s rink were in a right mess after losing their last two round robin games, fell to 5-4 and then had to win two tiebreaker games to even make the SF. They went ahead and won both, then beat top seeded Canada in the semi final and Switzerland in the final. Three of the four teams they beat in the knockout round had beaten us in the RR. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torpar Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Arch Stanton said: Slovakia beating USA at ice hockey...pleasing. Sweden beating Canada is just as pleasing! Now happy for anyone but Russia to win. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bully Wee Villa Posted February 16, 2022 Author Share Posted February 16, 2022 So quick summary: GB lose = GB out Denmark lose = GB probably out GB and Denmark win = GB probably through 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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