The Other Foot Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 40 minutes ago, carpetmonster said: Which Shapiro? Josh? Ben? Helen? I only know Josh, but I’m going to say….. any of them, as long as they beat Trump 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Theroadlesstravelled Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Biden is done. There's no one else. I, for one, welcome our new insect MAGA overlords. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 17 hours ago, Theroadlesstravelled said: Biden is done. There's no one else. I, for one, welcome our new insect MAGA overlords. Calm doon, Airstrip One. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Lichtman’s Keys to the White House final forecast due out in August… This has correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 results, and the outlier involved the Supreme Court stopping the Florida count, effectively tossing the win to Bush Jr over Gore. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House Currently Biden has 7 of the 13, with 2 more keys leaning his way. 8 or more means a win. Biden stepping down would certainly remove at least 1, and as many as 4 keys, suggesting the best hope is Biden remaining in the race. https://politicalpulse.net/us-politics/alan-lichtmans-prediction-for-2024/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFTD Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 41 minutes ago, TxRover said: Lichtman’s Keys to the White House final forecast due out in August… This has correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 results, and the outlier involved the Supreme Court stopping the Florida count, effectively tossing the win to Bush Jr over Gore. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House Currently Biden has 7 of the 13, with 2 more keys leaning his way. 8 or more means a win. Biden stepping down would certainly remove at least 1, and as many as 4 keys, suggesting the best hope is Biden remaining in the race. https://politicalpulse.net/us-politics/alan-lichtmans-prediction-for-2024/ I'm not sure I agree with how they've called several of these TBH - would the American people really say that Biden was untainted by major scandal, or that Trump is uncharismatic, for example? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Salvo Montalbano Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 25 minutes ago, BFTD said: I'm not sure I agree with how they've called several of these TBH - would the American people really say that Biden was untainted by major scandal, or that Trump is uncharismatic, for example? As much as the numbers say that the economy is doing well, I guess if you asked the average American they'd say otherwise... how does that sit with the keys? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Theroadlesstravelled Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 6 hours ago, BFTD said: I'm not sure I agree with how they've called several of these TBH - would the American people really say that Biden was untainted by major scandal, or that Trump is uncharismatic, for example? They seems to be kind to Biden. Biden loses the "Incumbent Charisma" Key to Trump but wins the "Challenger Charisma" Key? He is simultaneously both less and more charismatic than Trump? It'll be interesting to see what Lichtman comes up with in August. Biden's mental decline needs to be taken heavily into account. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheese Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Schrodinger's charisma. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BFTD Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Charisma's a weird thing anyway. There are people who'll claim that Biden, Trump, Farage, Blair, and Hitler are/were mesmerising public speakers who hypnotised their audiences with their magnetic personalities. Personally, they all seem like creepy weirdos to me, and leaving them alone with your children ought to have been grounds for social services to step in. And if anyone knows a thing or two about being a creepy weirdo... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Freedom Farter Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Biden says he's the first Black woman to serve with a Black president. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/video/2024/jul/05/joe-biden-accidentally-says-he-is-the-first-black-woman-to-serve-in-white-house-audio 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Theroadlesstravelled Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 The Biden administration said it opposes gender-affirming surgery for transgender minors, deviating from past statements that broadly support gender-affirming health care for youth and angering LGBTQ groups that have backed President Biden in the race against former President Trump. A few years ago people would have been losing their minds over this. It hardly makes the news now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Other Foot Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 (edited) 18 hours ago, TxRover said: Lichtman’s Keys to the White House final forecast due out in August… This has correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 results, and the outlier involved the Supreme Court stopping the Florida count, effectively tossing the win to Bush Jr over Gore. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House Currently Biden has 7 of the 13, with 2 more keys leaning his way. 8 or more means a win. Biden stepping down would certainly remove at least 1, and as many as 4 keys, suggesting the best hope is Biden remaining in the race. https://politicalpulse.net/us-politics/alan-lichtmans-prediction-for-2024/ These things are always nonsense. Wouldn’t be putting much faith in past success. Lichtman and his pal, the World Cup octopus, have rode upon a wave of good luck. Edited July 6 by The Other Foot 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Looking forward to Biden getting re-elected and the USA having their first black female President. Spoiler Step down you doddery old c**t. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zetterlund Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 While he may mean this 'Truth', apparently much of what the Project 2025 authors (Heritage Foundation) proposed in 2016 ended up happening whether he knew anything about it or not. Maybe not a surprise with loonies like Pence around. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 Quote The Washington Post on Saturday reported a White House aide saying that O’Connor, who has been Biden’s doctor since 2009, has never recommended that Biden take a cognitive test. O’Connor has said that his most important job is to offer Biden an affirmative “Good morning, Mr President” – to get Biden off on the right track each day. Fun fact: the USA used to mock its Cold War nemesis for having barely living relics clinging onto the leadership and access to nuclear codes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vikingTON Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 On 05/07/2024 at 15:32, TxRover said: Lichtman’s Keys to the White House final forecast due out in August… This has correctly predicted 9 of the last 10 results, and the outlier involved the Supreme Court stopping the Florida count, effectively tossing the win to Bush Jr over Gore. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House Currently Biden has 7 of the 13, with 2 more keys leaning his way. 8 or more means a win. Biden stepping down would certainly remove at least 1, and as many as 4 keys, suggesting the best hope is Biden remaining in the race. https://politicalpulse.net/us-politics/alan-lichtmans-prediction-for-2024/ Did you consult this all-seeing oracle before hitching your wagon to the Nikki Haley 2024 cause? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted July 6 Share Posted July 6 17 minutes ago, virginton said: Did you consult this all-seeing oracle before hitching your wagon to the Nikki Haley 2024 cause? Nikki who? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Theroadlesstravelled Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 The Economist predicts it won't even be close. T R U M P Trump! Trump! Trump! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inanimate Carbon Rod Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 29 minutes ago, Theroadlesstravelled said: The Economist predicts it won't even be close. T R U M P Trump! Trump! Trump! I appreciate Florida is Florida, but honestly the vibes im getting here and the media etc i genuinely think Trump beats biden the way all this stuff is going. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 4 hours ago, Theroadlesstravelled said: The Economist predicts it won't even be close. T R U M P Trump! Trump! Trump! And 538 calls it a near tie…it’s all irrelevant until within a month or so. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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