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ayrmad

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Everything posted by ayrmad

  1. ayrmad
    All there probabilities will add up to ~83.3% as will the No camps probability. Next you'll be telling me they'll definitely finish above Southampton so they've more chance.
  2. ayrmad
    It's you that looks foolish, will a re-inforce my point? Backing Chelsea at 5/1 only has 2 outcomes, they win or they don't.
  3. ayrmad
    I wouldn't argue with that, that's why I think there's a decent chance of a YES victory, it depends how the debate goes, like a challenger in boxing, it's the YES campaign that need to take the fight to it's opponents.
  4. ayrmad
    I just don't see why it won't close and it will take something dramatic to force it out a lot more, 1 of those bets where the downside is favourable. That's why I wouldn't touch 1/5 even if I was a NO voter.
  5. ayrmad
    "5/1 is the biggest they've ever been" Exactly why taking that position is sensible at the moment, a lay later on and it's free money.
  6. ayrmad
    Betfair have increased the YES campaign's probability of success by 1.6% in a day.
  7. ayrmad
    If it lines up in the Derby? The list of horses high up in the following seasons Classics have a terrible record for pulling out. Thanks for trying.
  8. ayrmad
    Which of todays papers will we find a 5/1 shot in next Autumns racing that is more likely to win than YES?
  9. ayrmad
    There won't be a ref to step in and halt proceedings prematurely. 1/5 shots get beaten all the time, in fact they lose approximately 1 in every 6 shots, we aren't even near kick off yet.
  10. ayrmad
    Groves/Froch had identical odds to YES/NO on Betfair, I don't remember watching that fight and thinking at any point that Groves had no chance, we're not even close to the weigh in yet, plenty of time for YES to get under the skin. At the moment YES have the 6 on a dice and NO has the rest, would anyone with significant assets put them all on No in those circumstances?
  11. ayrmad
    I understand exactly what you mean,that's why I posed my question, do you think 1 in 6 chance A is more/less likely than 1 in 6 chance B?
  12. ayrmad
    Are you a bit thick?
  13. ayrmad
    Great, carry on.
  14. ayrmad
    Please don't head down the pedantic route because you're doing a dissertation.
  15. ayrmad
    No,he's just looking out for 1 of his parents, his last post explained where he was with it all, I don't see any mileage in belittling people for choosing to vote no, it's arguing and hurling abuse that has switched most people off from UK politics.
  16. ayrmad
    They didn't allow anyone else to spend their oil cash either, they're now the daddybigbaws of that duo.
  17. ayrmad
    STV were the same, a grilling for Salmond and a wee conversation with Darling. The YES campaign would be well advised to take it easy early on and slowly build up the momentum, I personally think that the don't knows are more likely to vote YES if they decide to move b4 polling day.
  18. ayrmad
    Population, oil, independence and prosperity.
  19. ayrmad
    Fine, so they aren't old enough to be on the scrapheap, have you actually discussed this issue and your leanings with them?
  20. ayrmad
    That very much depends where they live.
  21. ayrmad
    I watched the BBC from 10am to 6pm, I'm now in the yes camp, we're paying for these fcukers to be biased.
  22. ayrmad
    What age bracket is your parent in? Edited before Swampy notices hopefully.
  23. ayrmad
    So your willing to vote no to save a persons job(how do you know) rather than vote YES and fight for the prosperity of all your family members for generations to come? I will only cast a vote for the option that I feel is the best for Scotland as a whole.
  24. ayrmad
    I'm quite confident that if things continue as they are my house will contain 4 YES votes.
  25. ayrmad
    That's why I've changed my vote, not 1 shred of positivity and not 1 explanation for their stand point.
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