Granny Danger Posted April 6, 2015 Author Share Posted April 6, 2015 The poll conducted by YouGov shows the SNP on 46 per cent, Labour on 29 per cent, the Tories on 16 per cent and the Lib Dems on 3 per cent. http://www.snp.org/media-centre/news/2015/apr/snp-welcome-another-strong-poll-showing Can't find the details on the YouGove site yet but will post it when I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 That's a big sample too. Superb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 You Gov saying if the election were held today SNP would get 56 seats. Labour and SNP together would have 331, more than enough. https://yougov.co.uk/#/centre P.S. Jim Murphy's constituency is too close to call. https://yougov.co.uk/#/constituency/594/nowcast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SodjesSixteenIncher Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 I'll keep it vague as not to be naming people but heard from someone working for a Unionist party in a South of Scotland constituency campaign that the SNP are comfrortably the main contenders. The info from the doorstep is better for the SNP than even the polls indicate. If the SNP are in with a shout in this seat, it really is on everywhere on the mainland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thumper Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 a South of Scotland constituency campaign The only seat south of Glasgow that's even up for grabs at this juncture is Mundell's, surely? The west coast will be a clean sweep for the SNP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 ...only 6% for UKIP and the Greens combined, if the Tories have 16%. Think 3% is catastrophic enough for the Lib Dems that even Alistair Carmichael may be getting a wee bit nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welshbairn Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 The only seat south of Glasgow that's even up for grabs at this juncture is Mundell's, surely? The west coast will be a clean sweep for the SNP. Also too close to call according to YouGov. https://yougov.co.uk/#/constituency/587/nowcast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 ...only 6% for UKIP and the Greens combined, if the Tories have 16%. Think 3% is catastrophic enough for the Lib Dems that even Alistair Carmichael may be getting a wee bit nervous. This is the middle of an election campaign, these things happen. © Carmichael 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HomelandsOur Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 56!!!!!! Renfrewshire East leaning SNP!!!! This is bigger than Ireland 1918! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milton75 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Apologies if this is a re-post. I've just been having a look at this site: http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html They have some interesting layouts and predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milton75 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 The pages for Scotland are particularly interesting (or depressing if you're a SLAB fan) http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Rational Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Seen Gordon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html#Gordon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry94 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 Seen Gordon? Tactical voting will keep Salmond out........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
milton75 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html#Gordon Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html#Gordon Too much red IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongTimeLurker Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 They are applying uniform swings, so think they are underestimating what the SNP are likely to do in some parts of the central belt and overstating it in some areas of existing SNP strength in a Westminster context. The best guide to what's likely to happen on the current numbers is the 2011 Holyrood results, but for some reason they do not appear to be using that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted April 6, 2015 Author Share Posted April 6, 2015 Apologies if this is a re-post. I've just been having a look at this site: http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html So just the 48 seats then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 So just the 48 seats then? A paltry number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spain Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Interesting to see that after Gordon and the existing SNP seats, my constituency of Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross is predicted as the safest SNP gain along with Dundee West on 51.6%. Especially pleasing seeing as we never got a full breakdown of the referendum votes for the Highlands, to see my part of it over the 50% mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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