HomelandsOur Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 The programs don't start til 10:30 so I assume no exit poll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colkitto Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 The programs don't start til 10:30 so I assume no exit poll? No exit poll.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Master Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 There wouldn't be much point to an exit poll. It couldn't take the list into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HomelandsOur Posted May 5, 2016 Author Share Posted May 5, 2016 There wouldn't be much point to an exit poll. It couldn't take the list into account. But we get lost polls? Surely they could ask 2 questions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Rational Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Low turn out in Leith. Wouldn't surprise me if it's the same countrywide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmadaleKillie Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I wonder how long I can stay up for tonight.. my wife only just got home... out since 8am.. she is nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 First rumour of the night is that it's looking good for Jackson Carlaw and the Tories in Eastwood. Sounds like a lot of the Jewish population voted for him after recent events in Labour. Ken McIntosh is 4th on the Labour list so it sounds like he's out of a job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Master Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 But we get lost polls? Surely they could ask 2 questions? An exit poll is much more sophisticated than simply asking the question as people leave. It folds in data from past exit polls and actual elections, which is then weighted according to likelihood of each party winning the particular seat. This is then extrapolated into a statistical model that can make predictions about individual seats. So it's not possible to bring in the list vote because it's not based on individual seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 An exit poll is much more sophisticated than simply asking the question as people leave. It folds in data from past exit polls and actual elections, which is then weighted according to likelihood of each party winning the particular seat. This is then extrapolated into a statistical model that can make predictions about individual seats. So it's not possible to bring in the list vote because it's not based on individual seats. Agree. But they could have done constituency one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Rational Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I don't think it's going to be a majority again, we may be heading into another coalition or minority government. Just a feeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
renton Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I don't think it's going to be a majority again, we may be heading into another coalition or minority government. Just a feeling. Would be a big blow if true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I don't think it's going to be a majority again, we may be heading into another coalition or minority government. Just a feeling. It would need to be a horrible night for that to happen. Even if you ignore the list, they need 65 of the 73 constituencies. I can't find 9 seats where the SNP aren't going to win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BerwickMad Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Labour confident in Edinburgh Southern according to Sky News. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Labour confident in Edinburgh Southern according to Sky News. I want Labour to come third but scenes if Eadie's pie is kicked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sooky Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Courier journo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I don't think it's going to be a majority again, we may be heading into another coalition or minority government. Just a feeling. Bollocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ad Lib Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 SNP won't bother with a coalition even if they're a minority. They'd be happier to work on confidence and supply. I think it's a solid majority though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H Wragg Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 Lamont and Wee Eck first up on BBC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAD Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 I may be wrong, but was the whole electoral system in Scotland not set up in order to make it difficult to get a majority? Are the SNP the only party in Scotland so far to ever hold a majority in hollyrood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Naitch Posted May 5, 2016 Share Posted May 5, 2016 The election café? Oh dear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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