Kejan Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said: 10 minutes ago, Kejan said: New ComRes out as wel CON: 41% (-1) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-2) BREX: 5% (-) GRN: 2% (-) via 25 - 26 Nov fieldwork. Labour closing gap. Pleasing Aye, how sweet would it be if the Tories had the most seats but not a majority and no one to support them. The Labour end up as a minority government with support from SNP. Hopefully a few more votes shed off LD to Labour in the next few weeks. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kejan Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 (edited) https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2019/ SNP on 43 in that MRP poll, but they are a baw hair (1-3%) from winning : Angus, Ochill, Gordon, East Renfrew, Coatbridge, Edinburgh West, Aberdeen South. We've still got two weeks to go, but certainly anything all to play for in loads of areas (if going by this). Swinson's on 38% and the SNP on 33%. Edited November 27, 2019 by Kejan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Im_Rodger Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 My constituency has a chance of turning Blue.Never thought I’d see the day. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee Bully Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Pish.Tell me why 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donathan Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 My constituency has a chance of turning Blue.Never thought I’d see the day.Only lost by 266 votes last time. In fact the top 3 were within 460 votes of one another. A genuine 3-way marginal. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky88 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 (edited) I would be highly sceptical of the MRP. When you look at the constituency MRP results from Scotland in 2017 the model still massively over predicted how well SNP would do and entirely missed Labour taking seats from SNP. Midlothian, for example. SNP predicted to get 40% of the vote to labour's 28% in 2017. In other words, way out as labour took seat with 36%. Looks to me like it was actually pretty lucky to stumble on broadly the right result in 2017 Edited November 28, 2019 by sparky88 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted November 28, 2019 Author Share Posted November 28, 2019 My constituency has a chance of turning Blue.Never thought I’d see the day.Tactical voting would get you over the line there rog 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eez-eh Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 People treating the polls like gospel despite the fact they’ve gotten very little right the past few votes. They got it wildly wrong two and a half years ago, and there’s been suggestions that they’re still working off a very low youth turnout. If young people vote in the same numbers as they did in 2017 then I think there’s a bit of hope that they’ll be wide of the mark again. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Lambies Doos Posted November 28, 2019 Author Share Posted November 28, 2019 People treating the polls like gospel despite the fact they’ve gotten very little right the past few votes. They got it wildly wrong two and a half years ago, and there’s been suggestions that they’re still working off a very low youth turnout. If young people vote in the same numbers as they did in 2017 then I think there’s a bit of hope that they’ll be wide of the mark again.This poll was the only one that predicted a hung parliament 2 years ago, when others were showing a 12 point lead for Tory's. It's 100,000 people and was laughed at 2 yrs ago. I appreciate polls can be shite and yes this could be way off but based on 2yrs ago people are taking this one a bit more seriously 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Ooft. defensive much? Edited to add: you appear to have detected some hostility in my post which wasn't there. I'm basing my response on recent conversations with a pollster who has been quoted elsewhere on this thread. Polls and graphs are all he’s got mate and Henderson to Deliver has already taken graphs off of him. That explains the hostility. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Tarmo Kink Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 My constituency has a chance of turning Blue.Never thought I’d see the day.Genuinely beautiful stuff.- No indyref2- No sneaky tactics like other parties to back out of what the people voted for (Brexit)- No second Brexit vote, we’ve already had one and the sore losers can’t take it- GETTING BREXIT DONE- Being clear on all the above issues, no ifs buts and maybes like Labour- No NI or VAT increase- Proposal Australian points system for immigration- No crackpot money tree plans- Increasing mental health awareness in Scottish schools- Increasing sporting activities in Scottish schools, no fat bassas going to the chippy at lunchtime- Introducing LIFE SENTENCES THAT MEAN LIFE aka like in America. If you murder, rape or do anything to a child YOU SHOULD NEVER BE RELEASED!- Refresh the woeful Curriculum for Excellence- Raising the Living Wage- Building new towns across Scotland- Net-zero emissions in Scotland by 2050- Investing heavily in walking/cycling paths as well as boosting funding for road repairs/upgrades- Not nationalising the railway, it’s brutal enough as it is- Actually being a democratic party, other 3 main parties want to stop Brexit which = undemocratic- Keeping the voting age at 18, under 18s are clueless and most 18-21 are bandwagon studenty-type idiots that believe media soundbites like TORIES ARE KILLING NHS WORKERS!!!!Only one way to vote folks, the Conservatives are the only backable party in this election. -3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee-Bey Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Rider Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 11 minutes ago, Tarmo Kink said: Genuinely beautiful stuff. - No indyref2 - No sneaky tactics like other parties to back out of what the people voted for (Brexit) - No second Brexit vote, we’ve already had one and the sore losers can’t take it - GETTING BREXIT DONE - Being clear on all the above issues, no ifs buts and maybes like Labour - No NI or VAT increase - Proposal Australian points system for immigration - No crackpot money tree plans - Increasing mental health awareness in Scottish schools - Increasing sporting activities in Scottish schools, no fat bassas going to the chippy at lunchtime - Introducing LIFE SENTENCES THAT MEAN LIFE aka like in America. If you murder, rape or do anything to a child YOU SHOULD NEVER BE RELEASED! - Refresh the woeful Curriculum for Excellence - Raising the Living Wage - Building new towns across Scotland - Net-zero emissions in Scotland by 2050 - Investing heavily in walking/cycling paths as well as boosting funding for road repairs/upgrades - Not nationalising the railway, it’s brutal enough as it is - Actually being a democratic party, other 3 main parties want to stop Brexit which = undemocratic - Keeping the voting age at 18, under 18s are clueless and most 18-21 are bandwagon studenty-type idiots that believe media soundbites like TORIES ARE KILLING NHS WORKERS!!!! Only one way to vote folks, the Conservatives are the only backable party in this election. Wot, no mention of ARE TROOPS!!!! Tory lite mate! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dons_1988 Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Genuinely beautiful stuff.- No indyref2- No sneaky tactics like other parties to back out of what the people voted for (Brexit)- No second Brexit vote, we’ve already had one and the sore losers can’t take it- GETTING BREXIT DONE- Being clear on all the above issues, no ifs buts and maybes like Labour- No NI or VAT increase- Proposal Australian points system for immigration- No crackpot money tree plans- Increasing mental health awareness in Scottish schools- Increasing sporting activities in Scottish schools, no fat bassas going to the chippy at lunchtime- Introducing LIFE SENTENCES THAT MEAN LIFE aka like in America. If you murder, rape or do anything to a child YOU SHOULD NEVER BE RELEASED!- Refresh the woeful Curriculum for Excellence- Raising the Living Wage- Building new towns across Scotland- Net-zero emissions in Scotland by 2050- Investing heavily in walking/cycling paths as well as boosting funding for road repairs/upgrades- Not nationalising the railway, it’s brutal enough as it is- Actually being a democratic party, other 3 main parties want to stop Brexit which = undemocratic- Keeping the voting age at 18, under 18s are clueless and most 18-21 are bandwagon studenty-type idiots that believe media soundbites like TORIES ARE KILLING NHS WORKERS!!!!Only one way to vote folks, the Conservatives are the only backable party in this election.Heads gone 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tirso Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 16 minutes ago, Tarmo Kink said: - No NI or VAT increase - Increasing mental health awareness in Scottish schools - Increasing sporting activities in Scottish schools, no fat bassas going to the chippy at lunchtime - Introducing LIFE SENTENCES THAT MEAN LIFE aka like in America. If you murder, rape or do anything to a child YOU SHOULD NEVER BE RELEASED! - Refresh the woeful Curriculum for Excellence - Investing heavily in walking/cycling paths as well as boosting funding for road repairs/upgrades Only one way to vote folks, the Conservatives are the only backable party in this election. in this election? are these not all more or less devolved? how would they actually do that from Westminster? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inanimate Carbon Rod Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Imagine being surprised that the tories are polling well in a constituency where people are so servile and cretinous that lights and shop signs arent allowed to be green for fear of being vandalised. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee-Bey Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 I'll admit it, Tarmo has done me there. It's clearly a parody with the CAPS and the magic money tree stuff and the fact around half of that stuff is devolved. I mean, nobody is that thick. Well played Mr Kink sir. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamamafegan Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Had no idea that Tarmo is a snivelling Tory rat. What a shame. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyle Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 (edited) Seat breakdown SNP 48 Tories 6 Labour 1 Lib dems 4 Scotland only poll by Ipsos Mori for STV Edit: The same poll puts support for independence at 50%. https://stv.tv/news/politics/1442737-stv-poll-snp-heading-for-landslide-of-scottish-seats/ Edited November 28, 2019 by Kyle 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miguel Sanchez Posted November 28, 2019 Share Posted November 28, 2019 Can't believe that's a serious post from Tarmo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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