HibeeJibee Posted June 21 Share Posted June 21 (edited) French latest polls (7 since Wednesday) with 1 week left: far right 32-35%... leftist alliance 26-30%... centrists/liberals 19-22%... conservatives 6-9%... extreme right 1-3%... rest 1-2% each. EDIT: regarding run-offs, where choice is far right v centrists/liberals the latter are 8% ahead, but where far right v left alliance the latter are 7% behind. Predicted seats: (290 required for outright majority) 200-300 Far right 135-240 left alliance 80-130 Centrists/Liberals (government) 10-60 Conservatives +10-30 others with average: 240 Far right 190 left alliance 100 Centrists/liberals 35 Conservatives +15 others Edited June 21 by HibeeJibee 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DA Baracus Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 To the shock of no one, Farage is simping for the Russians and Putin. No doubt the usual folk will be along to defend him. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky88 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 5 minutes ago, DA Baracus said: To the shock of no one, Farage is simping for the Russians and Putin. No doubt the usual folk will be along to defend him. Think Farage will live to regret exposing his views on everything apart from immigration to the scrutiny of an election campaign. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 16 minutes ago, DA Baracus said: To the shock of no one, Farage is simping for the Russians and Putin. No doubt the usual folk will be along to defend him. The Sage of Greenock? 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suspect Device Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 1 hour ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: The Sage of Greenock? Give him thyme. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiffRaff Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 1 hour ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: The Sage of Greenock? He will be cumin along shortly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Granny Danger Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 4 hours ago, RiffRaff said: He will be cumin along shortly. Aye, just give it thyme. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HibeeJibee Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 On 21/06/2024 at 21:25, HibeeJibee said: French latest polls (7 since Wednesday) with 1 week left: Predicted seats: (290 required for outright majority) 200-300 Far right 135-240 left alliance 80-130 Centrists/Liberals (government) 10-60 Conservatives +10-30 others with average: 240 Far right 190 left alliance 100 Centrists/liberals 35 Conservatives +15 others Latest: (290 required for outright majority) 210-275 Far right 150-210 Left alliance 75-130 Centrists/liberals (government) 30-60 Conservatives +9-22 others average: 240 Far right 185 Left alliance 95 Centrists/liberals (government) 45 Conservatives +15 others (Interestingly in this scenario neither a coalition of Far right + Conservatives nor of Left alliance + Centrists/liberals could command a full majority... only a grand coalition or looser agreement between Communists, Extreme Left, Far Left, Labour, Greens, Centrists/Liberals and Conservatives could reliably pass legislation) 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
parsforlife Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 4 minutes ago, HibeeJibee said: Latest: (290 required for outright majority) 210-275 Far right 150-210 Left alliance 75-130 Centrists/liberals (government) 30-60 Conservatives +9-22 others average: 240 Far right 185 Left alliance 95 Centrists/liberals (government) 45 Conservatives +15 others (Interestingly in this scenario neither a coalition of Far right + Conservatives nor of Left alliance + Centrists/liberals could command a full majority... only a grand coalition or looser agreement between Communists, Extreme Left, Far Left, Labour, Greens, Centrists/Liberals and Conservatives could reliably pass legislation) A grand coalition would IMO be the likely outcome, if Far Right even fall 1 short of a majority (presuming the others make up are not far/extreme right) It is without doubt better than the other outcome but comes with huge risk due to the internal politics of only lasting short term, The far right being extra energised with a 'everyone's against us and their all incompetent' message. Would feel like it was postponing the inevitable in the hope the far right find a way to destroy themselves from within before another election was called. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MazzyStar Posted June 24 Share Posted June 24 There will be no coalition between the NFP and the centrists. Macron has done everything he can to equate the left with the far right. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suspect Device Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I see are Tommeh has been arrested in Canada for immigration offences. Which is mildly funny. Tommy Robinson arrested in Canada on suspicion of immigration offences | Evening Standard 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Salt n Vinegar Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 39 minutes ago, Suspect Device said: I see are Tommeh has been arrested in Canada for immigration offences. Which is mildly funny. Tommy Robinson arrested in Canada on suspicion of immigration offences | Evening Standard Lock him up! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DublinMagyar Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 1 hour ago, Salt n Vinegar said: Lock him up! Again 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Salt n Vinegar Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I was reminded of a brilliant piece of trolling inflicted on Farage. I think he was taking part in a phone-in, (maybe LBC?) and a caller said that he had been vehemently opposed to Brexit but one event made him change his mind. Farage asked him what that event was, only to be told "I was kicked in the head by a horse..." The Princess Anne story reminded me of that. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doulikefish Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 4 hours ago, Suspect Device said: I see are Tommeh has been arrested in Canada for immigration offences. Which is mildly funny. Tommy Robinson arrested in Canada on suspicion of immigration offences | Evening Standard 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherrif John Bunnell Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 I take it he was over there championing the rights of the First Nations tribes? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eindhovendee Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 7 hours ago, Salt n Vinegar said: I was reminded of a brilliant piece of trolling inflicted on Farage. I think he was taking part in a phone-in, (maybe LBC?) and a caller said that he had been vehemently opposed to Brexit but one event made him change his mind. Farage asked him what that event was, only to be told "I was kicked in the head by a horse..." The Princess Anne story reminded me of that. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TxRover Posted June 25 Share Posted June 25 On 22/06/2024 at 05:49, DeeTillEhDeh said: The Sage of Greenock? More Japanese Knotweed…sage is useful. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HibeeJibee Posted June 27 Share Posted June 27 On 21/06/2024 at 21:25, HibeeJibee said: French latest polls (7 since Wednesday) with 1 week left: far right 32-35%... leftist alliance 26-30%... centrists/liberals 19-22%... conservatives 6-9%... extreme right 1-3%... rest 1-2% each. EDIT: regarding run-offs, where choice is far right v centrists/liberals the latter are 8% ahead, but where far right v left alliance the latter are 7% behind. On 24/06/2024 at 19:45, HibeeJibee said: Latest: (290 required for outright majority) 210-275 Far right 150-210 Left alliance 75-130 Centrists/liberals (government) 30-60 Conservatives +9-22 others average: 240 Far right 185 Left alliance 95 Centrists/liberals (government) 45 Conservatives +15 others (Interestingly in this scenario neither a coalition of Far right + Conservatives nor of Left alliance + Centrists/liberals could command a full majority... only a grand coalition or looser agreement between Communists, Extreme Left, Far Left, Labour, Greens, Centrists/Liberals and Conservatives could reliably pass legislation) Macron has royally screwed this up: with 3 days left several polls since Tuesday show far right rising to 36-37%... leftist alliance on 27-29%... his centrists/liberals on 20-21%... conservatives on 6-8%. Far right also leads polling of voting intentions in runoffs next weekend both where straight Left v Far Right (by 13% - or 4% depending on leftist bloc) and 3 way Left v Centre v Far Right (by 13% over centrists/17% over left - 7% depending on bloc). 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Steele Posted June 29 Share Posted June 29 This rise of the far-right here and across Europe. Are the bawheids who are in favour of this rise and actively support it, think this is a new cuddly sort of fascism or are they so fucking stupid they don't know or understand how these movements end? Rant over . 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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