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Geopolitics in the 2020s.


dorlomin

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3 hours ago, FreedomFarter said:

BBC report on the ongoing Azerbaijani blockade of the Artsakh Armenians. One in three current deaths among them are due to malnutrition.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66646677

Screenshot_20230830_051937_Chrome.thumb.jpg.f8e83ecb80ab6e8a7145f07793ed75cd.jpg

Time for Tony to do some PR I think.

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The situation in Ngorno-Karabakh is desperate - there have been reports of the first deaths from stavation in the Armenian held territory, still home to hundreds of thousands of people.  France seems to be taking a lead role in the diplomatic efforts to break the impasse, as well as increased prominence of EU monitoring groups around the area.  In fact, an EU monitoring group came under fire from Azerbijiani troops a few days ago.  France is also putting together a humanitarian convoy and preparing a motion to the UN Security Council on the crisis.

 

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2 hours ago, MazzyStar said:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-africa-66390790
Maybe @TxRover could tell us who the good guys and who the wanks are in this situation (from a US/ neo-colonial perspective). 

Wild guess:

Bad-French/U.S./UK, deposed President/PM, Army

Good-Poor sods watching this shite happen and knowing they’re f**ked regardless.

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5 minutes ago, TxRover said:

Wild guess:

Bad-French/U.S./UK, deposed President/PM, Army

Good-Poor sods watching this shite happen and knowing they’re f**ked regardless.

Fair enough. The ex leader does seem like a w****r, but the army doing a coup is never usually a good sign. However, the people seem fairly happy and it looks like the election that just happened before the coup was fraudulent. 

Edited by MazzyStar
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5 minutes ago, MazzyStar said:

Fair enough. The ex leader does seem like a w****r, but the army doing a coup is never usually a good sign. However, the people seem fairly happy and it looks like the election that just happened before the coup was fraudulent. 

Surely the country is pretty fucked if it had a president that used to be a 1970’s magician.

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There's other cases not mentioned in that tweet, Idriss Deby and now his son Mahamat Deby in Chad, for example. A crumbling of these dictator dynasties propped up by France was always going to happen eventually and now appears to be that time. Unfortunately, them being replaced with military dictatorships is unlikely to improve things much for the common people.

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Since the 1960s, there's been a low level civil war in Colombia between the state and an insurgent group (FARC). Under the guise of the ridiculous War on Drugs, Bill Clinton spent a load of US taxpayers' money on weapons and aircraft for the Colombian military in 1999. That had the effect in Colombia of hugely heating up the conflict. Bush then upped the funding even further through the 2000s which he justified under his War on Terror doctrine. A total of $3.78B worth of military aid was given to Colombia between '99 and '05. When you pour all that money into the military of a very poor country with embedded corruption, individuals high up in that military get dollar signs in their eyes. Then perhaps as we've seen a glimpse of recently with Ukraine, US officials demand war "results" in return for the military aid. So the Colombians sought to inflate enemy combatant deaths to ensure the continued flow of US dollars. This resulted:

Screenshot_20230831_011724_Chrome.jpg.cabec7e43facb113f7022efc162ed876.jpg

 

The Colombian military leaders responsible are being brought to trial now because their actions have been judged war crimes. Many will get very lenient sentences of a few years' house arrest but at least its something.

Among those charged yesterday was former general Mario Montoya. The significance of him is that he was USA's main man in the Colombian military, working most closely with US advisors. He was also the most visible face of the military in Colombian media at the time. Well he ordered multiple of these massacres of innocent civilians.

Screenshot_20230831_020024_Chrome.thumb.jpg.52a53adf77ad48500d2ae5b76bdbf2cd.jpg

https://archive.ph/cFGte#selection-635.154-635.510

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1 hour ago, FreedomFarter said:

Since the 1960s, there's been a low level civil war in Colombia between the state and an insurgent group (FARC). Under the guise of the ridiculous War on Drugs, Bill Clinton spent a load of US taxpayers' money on weapons and aircraft for the Colombian military in 1999. That had the effect in Colombia of hugely heating up the conflict. Bush then upped the funding even further through the 2000s which he justified under his War on Terror doctrine. A total of $3.78B worth of military aid was given to Colombia between '99 and '05. When you pour all that money into the military of a very poor country with embedded corruption, individuals high up in that military get dollar signs in their eyes. Then perhaps as we've seen a glimpse of recently with Ukraine, US officials demand war "results" in return for the military aid. So the Colombians sought to inflate enemy combatant deaths to ensure the continued flow of US dollars. This resulted:

Screenshot_20230831_011724_Chrome.jpg.cabec7e43facb113f7022efc162ed876.jpg

 

The Colombian military leaders responsible are being brought to trial now because their actions have been judged war crimes. Many will get very lenient sentences of a few years' house arrest but at least its something.

Among those charged yesterday was former general Mario Montoya. The significance of him is that he was USA's main man in the Colombian military, working most closely with US advisors. He was also the most visible face of the military in Colombian media at the time. Well he ordered multiple of these massacres of innocent civilians.

Screenshot_20230831_020024_Chrome.thumb.jpg.52a53adf77ad48500d2ae5b76bdbf2cd.jpg

https://archive.ph/cFGte#selection-635.154-635.510

Think at one point years back one of the local politicians was from Airdrie.

Go figure.

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Armenian MoD has announced that it will hold joint exercises withthe US Army between September 11th and 20th.  Don't think there is any precedent for this and it's telling that this comes hot on the heels of further border fighting with Azeri forces and reports of a build up of Azeri troops and equipment.  Several airlifts from Israel and Turkey hvae been observed this week, both countries have been major arms suppliers to Baku.

This also comes on the back of increasing frustration from Armenia with Russia, who they feel has not protected them from Azeri aggression, as they are bound to do by treaty.  The ongoing blockade of the Lachin corridor is despite the Russian peacekeeping troops stationed in Karabakh, another source of frustration.  Pashiniyan, Armenian president, has openly criticised Russia for it's actions.  in addition, Armenia has this week sent an aid package to Ukraine and the Armenian first lady is attending a meeting in Kyiv.

 

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Israeli president in Azerbaijan to do more deals, further strengthening the ties between the two:

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-azerbaijan-president-flies-relationship-strengthens

 

An Azeri analyst describes his pleasure at Trump's Abraham Accords:

Screenshot_20230906_184817_Chrome.thumb.jpg.8e06c2430631545ff1250f9abc2e75d8.jpg

What Trump did with those accords was make life easier for the ethnic cleanser regimes in north Africa, west and central Asia. The likes of Morocco, UAE, Sudan, Azerbaijan and Israel can now formally and publicly support each other. Bad news for the Sahrawis, Yemenis, Darfurians, Armenians and Palestinians, among others.

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