Scotty Tunbridge Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The Fox lads seem a bit subdued tbh.The rumours going about that Texas is going to be close probably has them consigned to defeat. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Yeah enjoying CNN analysis now. By far the best. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Horrendous numbers in Miami-Dade for Biden. This bodes very badly for the Democrat chances in Florida and Trump is now definite favourite. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanFan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 28 minutes ago, Aladdin said: 538 gave Trump a 30% chance of winning going into the last week in 2016. He needed a few things to fall in his favour and they did. They don't make predictions, they simply run a model which runs umpteen simulations and works out probability. 538 does election forecasting, which is essentially a prediction. It’s old news, but Silver and company had egg on their face in 2016. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeTillEhDeh Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Horrendous numbers in Miami-Dade for Biden. This bodes very badly for the Democrat chances in Florida and Trump is now definite favourite.It does not include the early voters they were saying. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee-Bey Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Fox think Biden has a 59% chance of taking Georgia. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, AmericanFan said: 538 does election forecasting, which is essentially a prediction. It’s old news, but Silver and company had egg on their face in 2016. You've no idea how numbers work. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G51 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 NYT estimate Trump has an 82% chance of taking Florida. No Biden landslide, then. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, DeeTillEhDeh said: 3 minutes ago, GordonS said: Horrendous numbers in Miami-Dade for Biden. This bodes very badly for the Democrat chances in Florida and Trump is now definite favourite. It does not include the early voters they were saying. Doesn't matter, even without that they still expected Dems to win the county on the day. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, G51 said: NYT estimate Trump has an 82% chance of taking Florida. No Biden landslide, then. Too soon to say that - it seems that something bad happened among Floridian Cubans. Other early signs in Georgia and North Carolina are good, and Texas, Arizona and Ohio are still in play. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiGi Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Another year and they'll need to move the cameras back 10 yards to fit all of Andrew Neil's massive bonce onto a 50inch tv screen. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanFan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) 38 minutes ago, welshbairn said: What State are you in and what county? If you voted did you vote the same down ballot, and can you do that with one tick or button or do you have to do it for every job? Not that I'm nosey or anything.. Texas. Travis County. I voted for candidates from multiple parties because each individual race presents different issues and candidates across the spectrum, so I literally spent more than 10 minutes in the booth hitting about 15-20 different buttons. I hate our 2-party system and both the far right and far left. Edited November 4, 2020 by AmericanFan 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G51 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, GordonS said: Too soon to say that - it seems that something bad happened among Floridian Cubans. Other early signs in Georgia and North Carolina are good, and Texas, Arizona and Ohio are still in play. It's extremely difficult for Biden to win a landslide without Florida. NYT also forecasting Trump has a 56% chance of taking Georgia. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GordonS Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 From NYT. Look at the bottom two rows. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RossBFaeDundee Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump wins West Virginia 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanFan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, GordonS said: You've no idea how numbers work. If you say so. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fratelli Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Both the BBC's and ITV's coverage would put you to sleep. Like the way CNN are dissecting every state. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotThePars Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 9 minutes ago, AmericanFan said: 538 does election forecasting, which is essentially a prediction. It’s old news, but Silver and company had egg on their face in 2016. Nate and his fans are perpetually trying to recapture the high of 2012 when he assured everyone Obama would do fine 1 minute ago, GordonS said: From NYT. Look at the bottom two rows. The funniest outcome is a strong Biden win with minority turns to Trump 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wee-Bey Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, RossBFaeDundee said: Trump wins West Virginia 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanFan Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 34 minutes ago, Bully Wee Villa said: @AmericanFan, did you ever pick a team in the end? No pressure, but if the answer is Celtic or Rangers, you're banned Waiting out the season. It will not be Rangers or Celtic because that was one of the original criteria. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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