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The US Presidential election prediction thread


ICTChris

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2 minutes ago, Granny Danger said:

If I’m understanding this correct, the bulk of votes still to be counted in swing states are mail in.  If they split 60/40 or 66/34 to Biden he can still overturn the large leads that Trump has at present.  Indications are that this sort of split in mail-ins is possible.

 

I've been working out the numbers. Biden needs 63% in Georgia and 59% in Wisconsin. That's gettable, but only just. Going to work out Pennsylvania and Michigan now.

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Just now, GordonS said:

I've been working out the numbers. Biden needs 63% in Georgia and 59% in Wisconsin. That's gettable, but only just. Going to work out Pennsylvania and Michigan now.

If they are all/mainly mail in then definitely possible.

 

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1 minute ago, GordonS said:

I've been working out the numbers. Biden needs 63% in Georgia and 59% in Wisconsin. That's gettable, but only just. Going to work out Pennsylvania and Michigan now.

Guy on cnbc saying mail in votes in penn state going 5 to 1 for Biden 

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Trump surely didn't want the count stopped in Arizona, where he was losing, but has been gaining ground?
I don't know how accurate that was I saw it on Twitter then Neil picked up on it and mentioned it on air before his BBC coverage finished. Perhaps it's a fatigue / time thing rather than anything more sinister.
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Just now, Billy Jean King said:
14 minutes ago, Ralstonite said:
Trump surely didn't want the count stopped in Arizona, where he was losing, but has been gaining ground?

I don't know how accurate that was I saw it on Twitter then Neil picked up on it and mentioned it on air before his BBC coverage finished. Perhaps it's a fatigue / time thing rather than anything more sinister.

It's probably to do with the fact he's an absolute imbecile.

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Biden needs 58.72% of the remaining 1,384,943 votes in Michigan and 68.37% of the remaining  1,845,198  in Pennsylvania. Michigan is achievable but Pennsylvania will be tough. About 400,000 of those votes are from Philadelphia, where he's currently on 73.3%.

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Anyone else think that the fact Biden's VP would be a woman would have turned a lot of folk off as well?


Yeah, there’s probably an element of sexism to it like there was with Hillary in 2016 but it’s also worth remembering that Harris is a terrible candidate with nothing to offer people beyond her identity.
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Yeah, there’s probably an element of sexism to it like there was with Hillary in 2016 but it’s also worth remembering that Harris is a terrible candidate with nothing to offer people beyond her identity.
Let's call a spade a spade, Harris was brought in for the female and black vote. It's wrong but that's what Biden has tried
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1 minute ago, doulikefish said:

After Lottie getting kicked off the bake off i didnt think there would be more shocks this week 

She’s going to the supreme court to get Hollywood’s decision overturned.  In other news, Prue Leith has threatened to leave Wisconsin.  

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Just now, John Lambies Doos said:
2 minutes ago, NotThePars said:


Yeah, there’s probably an element of sexism to it like there was with Hillary in 2016 but it’s also worth remembering that Harris is a terrible candidate with nothing to offer people beyond her identity.

Let's call a spade a spade, Harris was brought in for the female and black vote. It's wrong but that's what Biden has tried

"spade" is an unfortunate choice of words here.

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