Think it is exactly that. The football pundits have zero sense of perspective when it comes to comparing England to other teams, we've had years of them winning a couple of games at a tourney then the pundits immediately get carried away and have them winning it. Bizarrely, the opposite has often been true in the cricket coverage. England's batting gives them a great chance to win this tourney but I haven't really heard many of their own pundits talking them up too much.