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dorlomin

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Everything posted by dorlomin

  1. Airbag helmet.........! Really not sure about that. And how would it work small little falls when helmets are at their most useful. Helmets are great for anything below 20mph, but above something like 27mph rapidly cease to be much help. Actually reworking this to be additional protection to the helmet might be a great idea. The other great bugbear of helmets is spinal injuries, they are alleged to increase the risk of rotational damage due to getting caught on the ground as the body rolls. This seems to be less of an issue with the airbag.
  2. Existing debts. It will take a while to sink in, so best leave people to their confusion for a while more.
  3. The bitterness!You are just going to have to learn this the hard way.... when you are in debt its the money men who call the shots.
  4. The real costs are of increased cost in raising debts, the anticipation that some clubs will need to be paying for services before they are received or at least put down a big deposit and the probability that the value of their playing assets will all fall as clubs simultaneously try to reduce wage bills and liquefy assets. There is a specific name for it when a highly leveraged market simultaneously attempts to liquefy assets and deleverage: Minsky moment. And trust me when you get a deflationary event kicking off, its gutwrenchingly difficult to stop. So your costs will be going up, income coming down, assets devaluing and will need more operating cash to maintain business operations. Highly leveraged clubs like say.... Hearts... may find no willing sources to roll over their existing commercial paper (or what ever the debt structure of the club is). The credit risks are two fold. Firstly for each club in a deflationary market with shrinking revenue streams the risks of not being able to meet existing debt and less so new debt will make the debt riskier and the yeilds you are being asked for be going towards junk levels. And the second risk is AN Other club goes pop as the season goes on and this causes a serious blow to your (and the rest of the leagues) revenue, the potential of someone blowing up so bad they cannot fulfill fixtures is there. So there exists an inherent risk of chainreacting bankruptcies. You really think your club chairmen are all thick? You really think they dont know how pissed you will all be? You really think its for a few bob TV money all this pish and bother is over? Scottish football is a highly leveraged market with the risk of a significant part of its income stream ceasing to exist in an unstructured fashion. Any club with a reasonable debt portfolio will look like Greece or worse to people who lend the money. Ive said this all before. But no the little villagers cant listen. Too many big words and not enough FTOF in my posts. The down side risks are not ‘a few less quid’. You will be trying to sell in a market already saturated by the Allan McGregors, Steve Naismiths and Sonny Alukos going for a song while every other club is trying to cut wage bills. You will be giving players away. Good luck with it though. What have Rangers to loose? A couple of years in the lower divisions then up relatively debt free.
  5. Because they are a load of superstitious villagers who think that a 'new co' is some kind of witch craft that comes from the depths of hell. They hide behind the sofa when ever Leeds United are on telly as they think it is actually the undead. And for a motherwell fan to be commenting on CVAs....
  6. Hyman Minsky's famed little ditty might be due out for another spin in a few weeks, we shall see. Risk premiums set to soar, demand for cashflows brought forward requiring everyone to have more liquidity on hand (or at least those who have liquefiable assets) and against a substantial retrenchment of projected income. "It's only when the tide goes out that you learn who's been swimming naked." Warren Buffet. Nemesis follows hubris,
  7. Hope your all right mate. Sounds like you had some luck with the Samaritan.
  8. A guess (and its a pretty wild stab) would be water getting in the rear hub.
  9. Does the squeeking happen when your peddling?When you are freewheeling? Does it change with speed? Probibly be near impossible to diagnose over the internet though.
  10. From what you are describing it sounds to me like your chain has stretched. You may need to get a new chain on, but the problem with this is that the teeth in the cassette at the back get worn by the chain so you might need to replace that as well. If it is a stretched chain its just part and parcel of the wear and tear a bike experiances. Video on checking for wear. The other possibility is you have a stiff link.(Video to check for still link)
  11. Unfortunately I have exams in May\ June (doing my MSc) so there is zero chance of me getting up the road for a day or two then.
  12. Your VO2 max is not as affected by age as your twitch muscles that are responsible for speed. Your absolute maximum heart rate will drop but your ability to suck in oxygen and for your heart to pump large volumes of blood will not be all that affected until you are well into your 40s. My guess is that by doing a lot of endurance cycling your legs and lungs are able to sustain a long time at a medium areobic load, but when the speed picks up you are not able to get the oxygen in and sustain the anerobic workload. So rather than age it is just you have not trained for the bursts of intense work. In areas like distance swimming, marathon running and cycling people in their 40s and even 50s can still be very competative at club level, they cannot compete with the very best but are able to get in real good times compared with much younger people. Could be wrong and its difficult to make these guesses over the internet but if you add some burts of intense speed to your training you ability to keep up should improve.
  13. The weather has been ludicrously good for a March. The cycling has been ace and with the clocks going forward it has been nice and light in the evenings. Planning some big ones over this weekend and Easter.
  14. Why? Its a rehashing of existing stories written by some random oncologist at UCL. I wonder how many of his colleagues on short them contracts have used IR35 over the years.
  15. Not only is it above the law, its the intent of this area of law. I dont give a f*ck for the tax office. They have been in the back pockets of big business for decades.But there are a lot of small companies run by good people that will be screwed by this. It does show up football fans for the dickheads they can be. They are enjoying this so much they dont realise small businesses are getting creamed by this. But then the same thing happenes when the shysters took over Rover (with government help) or is happening again with Petroplus where over 2000 jobs are at risk or the wave of bankrupcies sweeping US shale gas producers as the jig is up for that little wheeze. What I think as a fan of the club is different to how I view it in the bigger game. Its just one more incident of the kind of ruthless capitalism we have had for decades. £100 milion wipeout is chicken feed compared to some of what has going on right now, company after company playing these games while Greece and Ireland have the life squeezed out of them so Germany can give German banks near the full amount Greece owes to them. Bit different when its the people who have to pay and the companies who are owed. The documentary I got the link form is a great over view on how the system is built specifically to profit those who practice this kind of business.
  16. Sorry to be a bit rude but have not watched the news for the past few years? Craig Whyte and Rangers are pennies compared to what people have gotten away with.
  17. Paid of the first lien creditor, that would be Craig Whyte. That plus the bank money wipe out the operating cash.
  18. £10 million pound per point deducted. The arithmetic is hard to avoid. But then I worry that he may liquidate the club and reform it in the English league structure.
  19. Weathers been more like mid autumn round down here past few days. Managed to rack up over 100 miles in the past 3 days. Nice to be able to get out and no worry of black ice this time of the year.
  20. I have proper full bore off road lights for my road bike. Means that light is never an issue, lucky as I occasionally cycle over night. But have been so busy the past 4 weeks I have not gotten any decent rides in.
  21. 12 days to shortest day of the year. Roll on the lighter nights nights.
  22. Its all very simple. The sun largely emits in shortwavelengths. This is due to its blackbody temperature. The atmosphere is pretty transparent to shortwavelength light so it quite easily reaches the surface as we can all see, the only exception being ultraviolet wavelengths that are absorbed by O3 in the high stratosphere. When this light reaches the surface it is partly reflected back into space as shortwave and partly absorbed. The ratio of reflection vs absorbtion is down to the albedo of the surface or how light it is. White like snow reflects almost everything. Black absorbs almost everything, this absorbtion heats up the body and it emits an increased amout of infrared radition. The atmosphere is rather opaque to infrared radiation as several key components H2O, CO2, CH4 and others absorb in those wavelengths. When a molecules electrons absorb light they become excited i.e. warm. They then transmit this energy to their neighbours. Easily done as they will experiance about 1 billion collisions a second. The upward infrared emitted from the surface (called upwelling) rapidly heats the atmosphere by this mechanism. Increasing the amount of molecules in the atmosphere that can absorb this infrared radiation effectively increase its ability to store 'heat'. This is the greenhouse effect. The electron states that complex molecules can exist at are complex to calculate as pressure and temperature effect them. But since the late 70s when the master piece by Ramanathan and Coakely was published we have been narrowing down those wavelengths to an increadible scale. We have a very good idea of what the first order changes (called a forcing) will be from a doubling of CO2. Anyone who says otherwise is a liar. The issue emerges with the feedback. The most important by a wide degree is the water vapor feedback. This again is not particularly controversial. Warmer air holds more moiture. We can measure this by measuring the moisture conent of a column of air when the temperature changes through the day. It is really mid 19th century science. Increasing the amount of moisture in the atmosphere will increase the greenhouse effect. The problems come from understanding how much warming will happen how quickly when we raise the CO2 content of the atmosphere. The biggest uncertainty is the oceans, the slower the oceans are to mix the heat from the surface the quicker the atmosphere will warm. The two main mechanisms for heat to get from the surface of the ocean to the deeps are wind mixing and sea currents. The less wind mixing the quicker the surface layer will warm and so the quicker the atmospehre will warm. The more windmixing the longer it will take as the wind will mix warmer surface water deeper so keep it cool longer slowing the rate of warming in the atmosphere. This is the big problem that you will see quoted out of context. The next big issue is the carbon cycle. There is a huge amount of science here and its only really for the deperately nerdy. But again the simple explanation is the oceans. The amount of gas a liquid can hold is dependent on the temperature, and the quicker the oceans heat the quicker they will stop being able to absorb CO2 so the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will rise. Today about 40% of the CO2 emitted is absorbed by the oceans. If they warm quicker then the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will rise quicker for the same level of emissions than if they warm slower. The other area of uncertainty is clouds. Clouds can act as a positive and negative feedback depending on altitude and time of day. There is some uncertainty about how much feedback the clouds will provide, but this uncertainty is sold as a solid fact that it will stop all warming by those who have an agenda to distort the science. Simply put the huge swings in termperature between glacial and interglacial phases of the ice age show there is a very strong feedback mechanism in the climate system. It is unlikely that clouds will dampen the warming too much as they have not done so previously. You increase the amount of CO2 in the atmospehre you get a warmer world. That is well understood physics. Clowns like Monckton yapping away are just a distraction. who claims to be able to cure aids.
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