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PedroMoutinho

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Posts posted by PedroMoutinho

  1. 3 minutes ago, virginton said:

    This is exactly the same measurement that the government has been using for Covid hospital figures all along, so I'm not sure why there's suddenly pearl-clutching about it being used. 

    I do actually, it's because the government have also been telling the public that the weans are a case apart for 15 months, so the idea that applying the same nonsense criteria to that precious category seems ridiculous, whereas an old biddy falling down the stairs weeks after getting a cough is legit. 

     

    It's madness that we're now 16 months into this and we still haven't a clue how many people are actually in hospital because of covid as opposed to with covid.

  2. Mckay will certainly do a job and offer experience at this level but I am very surprised at the 3 year contract. It's certainly not a contract that screams an ambition to get back to the premiership anytime soon like the Rawlins have promised.

  3. 6 minutes ago, Caractacus Potts said:

    What you’re saying makes sense in principle but if Brad McKay does end up needing to get paid off then it won’t have worked and also be paying Holts wage on top of that. You have to have faith that Holts success rate will be better than that of the manager and that’s something I will need to be convinced of. 

    Tbh given that we have signed 100 players over the last 5 years under 4 different managers and I'd say 80%+ have been hopeless, it will be difficult for Holt to have a worse success rate.

    Of course that may not be the case but we are right to at least try this model imo.

  4. 8 minutes ago, Caractacus Potts said:

    Hey Pedro. Good to see your return to back the board. 👏🏻 😆 

    If we have to fork out money to get rid of McKay at the end of the season then will the board deduct that from Holts wage? 

    It’s nothing to do with the board. Recruitment hasn’t been good enough for a long period so the club have appointed someone to improve it.

    I was replying to the argument that having a DOF is a waste of money. It’s not a waste of money if it results in better signings and fewer players having to be paid off.

  5. 27 minutes ago, lanky_ffc said:

    This is the key for me. It's always framed as 'can we afford this?' because it's a position we didn't previously have. But a good DoF can make you money with savvy transfers and save you money by signing less dross that you end up having to pay off early to bin. 

    Whether Holt is that person is a completely different question. 

    Absolutely. The amount we must have spent on signing and paying off players over the last few seasons doesn’t bear thinking about.

    100 players signed over the last 5 years and the vast majority have been nowhere near good enough. £45k a year is a small investment to make if it’s going to result in better recruitment. 

  6. 3 minutes ago, Paco said:

    We are in a third wave. An exit wave. Whatever you want to call it. Cases are clearly out of control in Scotland, I find myself chuckling at people absolutely furious about media/the First Minister/Leitch saying this. It’s a statement of fact. Cases aren’t as important as they once were, obviously, and the wave itself shouldn’t be nearly as bad as the others. That should be stressed. But it’s still a third wave regardless, and there’s still a correlation between numbers of cases and numbers of hospitalisations even if the guaranteed link is broken - previously it was about 10% of all cases would end up in hospital, and we simply won’t have 80 hospital admissions based on today’s positive cases. That’s great news but it could still be 20, or 30. It’s unsustainable to just let that keep building up again because 30 won’t come out every day.

    What hospitals are seeing more regularly is people with one dose of vaccine presenting to them and that creates a massive problem for the UK and the 12-week gap between doses. It’s being dealt with and that’s great, but it takes time to implement. About half of 50-60 year olds have one dose in Scotland at the moment, for context, and 25% of 60-65 year olds. From the little we know, which is mostly just Hancock’s blethering about Bolton, the problem with single doses not working as well is a direct result of the Indian variant and would not be a problem right now if it hadn’t been imported en masse. This is 100% the fault of the UK Government, if Johnson didn’t want to play Emperor to get a trade deal it wouldn’t have happened and we’d still be puffing on the cigars.

    Having said all that, the Indian variant is here now. Cases are rising. It is what it is. Short of another lockdown we can’t stop that. Up until early May, it was looking like we were on the way out of everything with next to no exit wave. All that is fundamentally different now is the route to normality will see more people in hospital, and more dead, than we thought a month ago. It’ll also clearly be a few weeks slower, Scotland have already made that clear and England will follow eventually. The can is getting kicked down the road, but it shouldn’t change the fundamental fact that vaccines work, and the full population will be vaccinated soon.

    The more this goes on the more I wonder if Mark fucking Drakeford was the visionary we didn’t know we had, when he told us in March that 2021 was fucked.

    Who are all these people who’re going to be hospitalised? Near enough half of adults have 2 doses- this covers the groups that previously made up 99% of hospitalisations.

    Three quarters have 1 dose. The groups not yet vaccinated are at more risk of hospitalisation from flu so I don’t imagine significant numbers going into hospital now.

    Of course some will but that shouldn’t be in numbers that will overwhelm the NHS.

  7. 59 minutes ago, Elric said:

    Sturgeon has asked for furlough to be kept as long as necessary. Why?  We are never going to get back to normal as long as businesses do not reopen because they can claim furlough for the workers. Does this mean she is going to impose further restrictions on the hospitality and entertainment sectors?

    The problem is if we’re not fully open by August, we won’t be back to normal this year imo.

    In September you’ve got schools going back, unis going back, more indoor mixing and seasonality coming back into play so cases will naturally rise. I can’t see Sturgeon opening up fully in those circumstances.

    Our best hope is that furlough ends as planned in September and she is forced to open as otherwise it’ll be dragged on longer as ‘we just don’t know’.

  8. 4 minutes ago, deegee said:

    I’ve got the Other Half’s family panicking and wanting to cancel a booked lunch catch-up in 10 days time in case the dad and (disabled) sister catch COVID. One of her sisters won’t visit family this week as she was away to Oban for the weekend with her husband.

    This is what is has boiled down to; folk being meek and petrified of their shadows, scared of “unknown” variants despite every single one of her family being double- dunted with vaccine. I had cross words last night as I questioned if her family, scared to meet for a lunch, have not been shopping, gone to work, met anyone anywhere and why would a couple days in Oban be more deadly than if her sister and man had stayed at home and went to work or supermarket etc.  
    While I think her family are being totally irrational and borderline stupid, you can’t help them if they’ve been bombarded with doom & gloom for 15 months. It’s as if no other accidents or illness can cause hospitalisation or death. Despite the figures suggesting this virus is currently a very minor risk to life and no worse than a bad cold for most youngsters unvaccinated.

    Time to sack clowns like Yousaf for reckless lies and to put Leitch and co back into their unseen back- offices and let them disappear.

    In many ways it’s understandable that people are feeling like this when all they’ve been bombarded with for the last 18 months is covid death figures, case figures and warnings about killing granny. All of it with no context or comparison with other conditions.

    Some people would be scared to go out during flu season if we had the same constant focus on that (that’s not a suggestion independent sage!). 

  9. I had thought the media may have put a certain slant on Humza’s comments about children being hospitalised but it seems he really did say that. 


    Surely he can’t remain in post? 

    “And therefore the risk of somebody did that- travelled from a level 2 area into a level 1 area, took their children into a soft play area, could lead to the hospitalisation of children.”

  10. I think Sturgeon and Leitch et al have become so wedded to NPIs (that in many cases have no effect) and used to micromanaging that they just can’t see the wood for the trees.

    Are they really saying that hospitals in somewhere like Stirling or Edinburgh will be overwhelmed if pubs are allowed to stay open half an hour later and soft plays open?

  11. Again I haven’t a clue about the ins and outs of what’s gone on here. But I do think planning for summer 2022 is a good idea. It doesn’t make sense imo to plan an event like this atm when no one has any idea when or if TFS will be back at full capacity.

    Clearly it sounds like communication from the club could have been much better but I can understand them wanting to wait until all fans can attend before unveiling the signage. They may also have been focused on the end of the season and then finding a new manager.

  12. 15 minutes ago, Peter LaFleur said:

    I worry for Alston’s career from this point on as his body is absolutely finished for full time football. Does he retire or go part time? You could see his quality was still there at set pieces but within a game he was absolutely useless. A real shame to watch.

    Rumours Alston’s going to Kilmarnock.

  13. 6 minutes ago, Shadwell Dog said:

    Deans and his crew are hopeless FFS. You should be asking why Rawlins is happy to have incompetent buffoons like them on the board and not why the patrons wanted them to resign after a disastrous two seasons for the club.

    I personally would like Deans replaced but a group coming in demanding removal of chairmen and directors is hardly going to endear them to the people who decide whether to accept their offer.

    Martin Ritchie said in his book the original BTB bid was never going to be accepted because of the way those running it apparently behaved towards the BOD.

    There is a way to get people on board in business and it isn’t by going in all guns blazing demanding people’s heads. 

  14. I don’t know anything about the ins and outs of the fan proposal or who was involved. But what I would say is that just because someone is a fan doesn’t mean they’ll be a good owner/director.

    Martin Ritchie, Sandy Alexander and Lex Miller were all Falkirk fans and we can all see how that turned out. 

    The Rawlins are experienced businesspeople with a proven track record of success in football. They will clearly have a plan for the club (which I would like to hear more about).

    I can see why they wouldn’t be keen on a bunch of people appearing and demanding control of managerial appointments and removal of directors before the Rawlins have even had a chance to start implementing their ideas.

  15. If anything I hope the SG learn from the current case rates in Scotland compared to England that harsher restrictions does not automatically = less cases. This has also been the case in the US.

    England by and large opened its economy 2 weeks ahead of us. There’s also fewer restrictions there atm- large events beginning to start up, no early closing time for hospitality, no restrictions on number of households meeting indoors and gatherings of up to 30 permitted outdoors.

    And yet England also currently has a case rate half of Scotland’s.

  16. I’ve said previously that I don’t have much confidence in Gary Deans but Phil and Carrie Rawlins are experienced businesspeople with a proven track record and I think we need to trust them until proven otherwise.

    I would like to see some form of fan involvement (rather than fan ownership) in the running of the club but this should be in a way that engages as many fans as possible.

    I would also like to see more communication coming from them though on what their plans are for next season and beyond. 

  17. 46 minutes ago, Caractacus Potts said:

    Jefferies to Levein and we end up with Holt and again disregard Totten!? Don’t understand the thinking with that. 

    Alex Totten worked in the commercial department of the club and had done for many years. He hadn’t worked in a footballing capacity for a long time. 

    Why on earth would we appoint a director of football with no recent experience in football?

  18. 1 hour ago, craigkillie said:

    It's very easy to "abandon" something you never had in the first place, Mr Tory shill that runs that wretched account.

    It certainly was her policy 2 months ago 

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-56347695.amp

    First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said Scotland's objective must be "to eliminate" coronavirus.

    "You can't just say you'll accept X number of cases a year and X number of deaths and X number of hospitalisations a year. The virus won't behave, it won't play ball with you like that.

    She added: "You have to have an approach, in my view, where our objective has to be to eliminate. Even if you don't quite achieve elimination it is the act of trying to get it as low as possible that keeps it under control."

     

     

  19. 1 hour ago, Proudtobeabairn said:

    While a fan group would be far better than the set up we currently have, it wouldn't be my first choice.  I'd much rather have a single owner (Geoff Brown type) though it would clearly need to be someone who knows what they're doing (preferably with deep pockets) 

    Fans groups occasionally work but can also become rife with ego and cliques.  

    Like the manager role there are no guarantees of success at board level though we seem to be more incapable than most at balancing the bad times with some good.  

    Personally I’d like all fans to be given the opportunity to buy shares. However, I don’t think this needs to be done through any form of group or consortium. 

    These groups often turn into ego contests and I’m not sure that just handing control over to fans’ reps or similar would be much of an improvement.
     

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