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Latest Polls and Latest Odds


Lex

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Well I refer you to the rest of my post. Why are they trusted to make these decisions? Why not make the world be subject to Martial law?

Because they're elected to make those decisions, dimwit. Do you think Tony Blair was a military expert or was he making a political decision when we helped to invade Iraq? Edited by Baxter Parp
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Independence threads are being sabotaged by unoinist filibuster.

Why?

If it's such a forgone conclusion

William Hill has cut Yes to 11/4 Ladbrokes.to 3

What price is No?

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Yet more great news for our union of nations today. A new YouGov poll says that 57% of those polled would prefer to stay in the UK with increased devolved powers, whereas only 35% of those prefer independence. More devolution seems to be very much the will of the people of this country, and i'm firmly in that camp.

http://www.bettertogether.net/page/-/YouGov%20survey%20on%20devolution%20%2811%20April%2014%29.pdf

Is it polling day yet? Can't wait!

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Yet more great news for our union of nations today. A new YouGov poll says that 57% of those polled would prefer to stay in the UK with increased devolved powers, whereas only 35% of those prefer independence. More devolution seems to be very much the will of the people of this country, and i'm firmly in that camp.

http://www.bettertogether.net/page/-/YouGov%20survey%20on%20devolution%20%2811%20April%2014%29.pdf

Is it polling day yet? Can't wait!

Trollolololol

Well, at least the bookies are with you.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-11/scots-independence-odds-cut-as-bookmaker-sees-close-vote.html

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Oh I cannot wait my friend. Enjoy your mental breakdown on the 19th.

How's about the most recent poll ?

http://www.yesscotland.net/news/new-poll-yes-47-strong-majority-would-vote-yes-indyref-if-better

Majority would vote yes if better off?

That's like saying the majority of Scots would support Spain for the world cup if they were born in Valencia.

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Yet more great news for our union of nations today. A new YouGov poll says that 57% of those polled would prefer to stay in the UK with increased devolved powers, whereas only 35% of those prefer independence. More devolution seems to be very much the will of the people of this country, and i'm firmly in that camp.

http://www.bettertogether.net/page/-/YouGov%20survey%20on%20devolution%20%2811%20April%2014%29.pdf

Is it polling day yet? Can't wait!

Oh dear. Soooooooooo much fail in one post.

1) Better Together commission a poll, yet they don't actually put the referendum question to the public. Why not?

2) Instead, in the hope of getting a lower "Yes" vote, they ask a hypothetical and leading question in its place.

3) Even with this attempt to rig the poll, the "Yes" vote only drops 2% when compared with the last time that YouGov asked their version of the actual referendum question

4) Obviously, the Devo-max & No options are not identical, but the Devo-max option offered in this poll only increases the non-Yes vote by 5% compared with YouGov's previous poll.

So, if we compare these 2 most recent YouGov polls, what conclusions can we draw?

1) The Yes vote is hardening. 35/37ths of the Yes vote will stick with Yes even if Devo-max is offered

2) Don't Know has dropped from 11% to 8%. Is this a result of the inclusion of Devo-max?

3) If we take 1 & 2 together, this implies that there are only 5% definite devo-maxers.

4) We don't know whether the remaining 52% of the non-Yes vote are devo-maxers or actually wish for no change

Now, the lesson of 1979 shows us that Unionist "jam tomorrow" promises cannot be trusted, so the real question posed by this poll is "Just how big and how soft is the devo-max support?"

I strongly suspect that it will be easier to convert a devo-maxer than a hardcore No voter. I also suspect that the hardcore No voters are a minority of the 52%.

I'm sure even Lex can see where I'm going here...

Oh, and finally, let's just remember that this is a YouGov poll - They are Better Together's favourite pollsters for a reason...

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Yet more great news for our union of nations today. A new YouGov poll says that 57% of those polled would prefer to stay in the UK with increased devolved powers, whereas only 35% of those prefer independence. More devolution seems to be very much the will of the people of this country, and i'm firmly in that camp.

http://www.bettertogether.net/page/-/YouGov%20survey%20on%20devolution%20%2811%20April%2014%29.pdf

Is it polling day

yet? Can't wait!

Which part of the unionist parties proposed devolution plans excites you the most?

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