Confidemus Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 http://scotgoespop.blogspot.co.uk/ Monday, September 1, 2014 More poll drama tonight as YouGov look set to report yet another record high for Yes The referendum polling drought will be abruptly broken at 10pm tonight, when new numbers from YouGov (the pollster notorious for adjusting their results with the No-friendly "Kellner Correction") are released. If a tweet from Nick Robinson and a comment in Brian Taylor's blog are anything to go by, they'll show a further narrowing of the gap - and that's absolutely massive news, because the last YouGov poll already showed a record high for Yes of 43% among the whole sample, and of 44% among definite voters. And it gets even better - our old friend Laurence Janta-Lipinski has been dropping broad hints on Twitter that the shift is significant, so there could well be an increase in the Yes vote of more than 1%. If so, we're getting into territory that would be consistent with a dead heat or a small Yes lead with the more Yes-friendly pollsters.Stay tuned... 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HaikuHibee Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuckleMoo Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casual Bystander Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Yeah. if YouGov were to release a poll of more than 50% for the Yes camp I will be stunned, absolutely stunned. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 I'm glad we're not over reacting on here. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doulikefish Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 My own twitter feed if its 47% in the yougov poll we work harder we canvass harder no slacking we keep talking to the undecideds and the soft no types #indyref And unionist journo feed Paul Hutcheon @paulhutcheon 7m Beginning to sense a change of mood amongst @UK_Together sources #indyref Expand 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Confidemus Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casual Bystander Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 I'm glad we're not over reacting on here. I think it's important that the yes campaigners don't see this as some sort of victory. I still don't believe the polls and wouldn't no matter which side they are showing for. However, we all have to admit that if YG are showing it within touching distance that is quite a jump. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doulikefish Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Apoligies that the links are from twitter but just posting if people dont have a feed Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 4m YouGov IndyRef poll for the Times finds NO leads down to just 6%. It was 18% in July. %age of LAB voters supporting YES up from 13% to 30 Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 2m YouGov/Times IndyRef poll finds undecided voters splitting to YES by 2-1. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 (edited) I think it's important that the yes campaigners don't see this as some sort of victory. I still don't believe the polls and wouldn't no matter which side they are showing for. However, we all have to admit that if YG are showing it within touching distance that is quite a jump. And we still need a really big jump, we'll leave the complacency to UKOK. Edited September 1, 2014 by ayrmad 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HaikuHibee Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Paid 50p to tell yougov that I'd vote Labour in a Holyrood election, didn't vote in 2011 and plan to vote No. Pleasing. YouGov IndyRef poll for the Times finds NO leads down to just 6%. It was 18% in July. %age of LAB voters supporting YES up from 13% to 30 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Assuming this was the poll I took part in the other day. Congrats guys, it's beginning to look probable. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casual Bystander Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Who is running the Mr Bairn, "how I tricked the polls", bingo? Because it's not like he won't shut the f**k up about it, as if his one opinion makes the difference in a vote covering millions. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Assuming this was the poll I took part in the other day. Congrats guys, it's beginning to look probable. This isn't some sort of competition, we're voting for this country' future. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bairn Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 This isn't some sort of competition, we're voting for this country' future. Right, and if it's a Yes vote I want Scotland to do as well as possible after independence. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlackIsleBud Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Looks confirmed: Yougov 53/47 No/Yes.......getting there folks....keep it up!! 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casual Bystander Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 If it is 47%, that will mean that in one month, YG has polled the Yes as 35% (07/08), 38% (15/08), 47% (01/09). That is one fucker of a curve no matter how you wish to spin those figures. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayrmad Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Ladbrokes just cut the price twice in 11 minutes. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LinkinFighter Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Very interesting. Might lump on yes being above 45% now. 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strichener Posted September 1, 2014 Share Posted September 1, 2014 Ladbrokes just cut the price twice in 11 minutes. Was just away to say they are now at 11/4 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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