Ireland

[Jacksgranda]

23 minutes ago, Carnoustie Young Guvnor said:

The UK is falling apart.  First time ever majority for Republican parties in N Ireland, Sinn Fein likely to win in ROI today, Plaid on the rise in Wales and support for indy nearing 30% and SNP hegemony in Scotland with polls showing majority in favour of indy.  The UK is done now, it won't see out the decade.

Not according to the 2019 general election.

[Carnoustie Young Guvnor]

3 minutes ago, Jacksgranda said:

Not according to the 2019 general election.

 

8 minutes ago, Jacksgranda said:

Not according to the 2019 general election.

For the first time ever there are more nationalist/Republican MP's from N Ireland than unionist.  The union is over, its only old people keeping it on life support now.  It will soon be switched off.

[LongTimeLurker]

1 hour ago, Carnoustie Young Guvnor said:

For the first time ever there are more nationalist/Republican MP's from N Ireland than unionist.  The union is over, its only old people keeping it on life support now.  It will soon be switched off.

Not really, the Alliance party is a crypto-Unionist party for people too posh to want to label themselves politically the same way as William Ulsterman types, so it's really 9-9 and the Unionist vote is still significantly larger in percentage terms than the Nationalist/Republican one. There's no more seats that are likely to swing Nationalist/Republican any time soon, but there are still seats that could still turn Unionist again on a good day for the DUP or UUP. The Union may well end eventually, but that isn't likely to be in any way imminent unless something really mental happens on the EU exit agreement that has yet to be negotiated by Boris J.

[Jacksgranda]

2 hours ago, Carnoustie Young Guvnor said:

 

For the first time ever there are more nationalist/Republican MP's from N Ireland than unionist.  The union is over, its only old people keeping it on life support now.  It will soon be switched off.

There are still more unionist votes than nationalist/republican, never mind the Alliance voters, most of whom would be soft unionists.

Unionist share of the vote - 42.3%

Nationalist + Republican - 14.9% + 22.8% + 1.2% = 38.9%

Fence sitters - 16.8%

So Republicans/nationalists trail by 20%

[John Lambies Doos]

There are still more unionist votes than nationalist/republican, never mind the Alliance voters, most of whom would be soft unionists.

Unionist share of the vote - 42.3%

Nationalist + Republican - 14.9% + 22.8% + 1.2% = 38.9%

Fence sitters - 16.8%

So Republicans/nationalists trail by 20%

And unionists trail by 17%. He's right, it's on its last legs

 

Edit..... [emoji481][emoji481][emoji481][emoji481][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji1022]󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿[emoji1022]󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿[emoji1022]󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿[emoji1022]󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿[emoji1132][emoji1132][emoji1132][emoji1132][emoji7][emoji898][emoji106]

[Jacksgranda]

2 hours ago, Jacksgranda said:

There are still more unionist votes than nationalist/republican, never mind the Alliance voters, most of whom would be soft unionists.

Unionist share of the vote - 42.3%

Nationalist + Republican - 14.9% + 22.8% + 1.2% = 38.9%

Fence sitters - 16.8%

So Republicans/nationalists trail by 20%

 

47 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

And unionists trail by 17%. He's right, it's on its last legs

 

Edit..... 󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Unionists +3%

[John Lambies Doos]

Unionists +3%

So you have unionists at 42.3% and Republicans plus nationalists at 38.9%. and fence sisters c.17%. Yet you state that Unionists trail by 3% and R+N by 20%.
Maybe I'm reading this wrong but how you working that out?

[Jacksgranda]

You are reading it wrong - go back and read the posts

[John Lambies Doos]

You are reading it wrong - go back and read the posts

But your assuming all the fence sitters are unionists?

[DublinMagyar]

Exit poll

FG 22.4%
SF 22.3%
FF 22.2%

[DublinMagyar]

Labour fucked [emoji23]

[John Lambies Doos]

Wow exit poll in Irish election puts FG on 22.4%, SF on 22.3% and FF on 22.2%.
Form a govt on that [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji23][emoji1132]

[John Lambies Doos]

Labour fucked [emoji23]

4.6

[John Lambies Doos]

I'm over in Ireland again this weekend watching RTE

[John Lambies Doos]

SF getting massive youth vote

[welshbairn]

12 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

I'm over in Ireland again this weekend watching RTE

Watched a bit on VPN, seems there's no counting till tomorrow and the exit poll doesn't reflect the spread of seats, ie if the Sinn Fein vote came mainly from mad North Dubliners they won't be getting as many seats as the poll suggests. They only got about 12% from the eld feckers. Bit boring, I was hoping for a night of drama as the results came in.

[welshbairn]

Sinn Fein will be regretting only putting up 42 candidates.

[sparky88]

34 minutes ago, John Lambies Doos said:

Wow exit poll in Irish election puts FG on 22.4%, SF on 22.3% and FF on 22.2%.
Form a govt on that

FF FG coalition?

[LongTimeLurker]

Almost 25% of the electorate of an EU state voting for a former terrorist organisation in a national election should draw negative comment from the international media but won't. Guess it's just more of the swing towards cranky populism that is happening across much of the western world.

[DublinMagyar]

FORMER